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Osborne Faces £20Bn Black Hole In Uk Public Finances, Says Report


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HOLA441

http://www.theguardian.com/business/2014/mar/07/george-osborne-20bn-black-hole-public-finances

George Osborne is facing a £20bn black hole in the public finances, which means austerity may have to continue until 2020, according to research by the Financial Times.

In a blow to the chancellor, who hopes to run a budget surplus in the next parliament, the research suggests austerity may have to last a year longer than expected because the government will not be able to rely on economic recovery to eliminate part of the deficit.

Osborne is already committed to imposing £25bn in spending reductions between 2016-17 and 2017-18, which would have to include £12bn in welfare cuts.

A black hole here, a black hole there, pretty soon we are going to be talking about serious money!

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HOLA4410

That £20bn is forecasted. What the Guardian article does not cover from the original FT is the problem with the model. I don't have a subscription but think it is around the spare capacity in the economy.

On a related point these forecast cuts are treated as 'banked' but the reality is they are just numbers on paper. Institutions have no idea how they will make the cuts. The idea is i think public sector debt transferred to private sector debt. Attached with that is alot of public sector job losses. The political parties do not talk about tax rises.

Edited by Ash4781
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HOLA4411

..if as expected Labour get in at the next election ....you may bring that date forward by three years.... :rolleyes:

....scots go for independence, that cuts 50 odd from labours majority.

...people fed up with libdems as the "all talk" party..that's another 20 or 30

....people get wind of labours postal vote rigging tactics(and basically their revealed hatred of democracy.....that's another 50 at least.

looks like tory-ukip coalition to me.

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By 2020 the UK will have disappeared over the event horizon never to be seen or heard from again.

No you are surely wrong, instead house prices will increase in mass until they form a singularity and all the one bed slave boxes in the Universe will be compressed to less than the size of an atom - thereby having infinite value per square foot.

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