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Frank Hovis

East Coast Storm Surge

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I've seen the footage of the 1953 floods, most recently as part of the Dr Feelgood film which featured Canvey Island (famously below sea level), and they were horrendous with many killed. Predictions of potentially the same over the next few days because of several factors coming together at the same time:

This week winter will hit pockets of the UK with a vengeance, with snowfall and gale-force winds that could cause the most serious coastal tidal surge for more than 30 years.

The Environment Agency and Met Office are warning communities along the length of the east coast of England that the winds, large waves and a tidal surge caused by low pressure will combine with high tides today, throughout Friday and to Saturday morning, bringing a risk of 'significant' coastal flooding.

In some places, sea levels could be as high as those during the devastating floods of 1953. However, flood defences built since then – including the Thames, Deptford and Hull Barriers – mean that many parts of the country are much better protected than in 1953.

Already this morning there has been severe travel disruption in Scotland as high batter the UK, with flooding predicted for eastern England later.

As well as warnings for Scotland, the Met Office has issued amber 'be prepared' warnings for the East Midlands, the East of England, North East and North West England, and Yorkshire and Humber.

London and South East England,Northern Ireland, Wales and the West Midlands have been placed under a yellow 'severe weather' warning.

The Environment Agency recently issued a severe flood warning – its highest category – to homes and businesses near The Quay in Sandwich, Kent, for high tides at 00:43 and 13:06 on Friday. At present, there are also 16 flood warnings and 52 flood alerts in place.

Areas most at risk include the North Sea coast from Northumberland down to the Thames Estuary and Kent.

The Environment Agency will be closing the Thames Barrier on Thursday night to defend London, in addition to operating other defences including those at Colne in Essex and Hull.

Natural Resources Wales, the organisation which leads on flooding in Wales, is urging people along the north Wales coast between eastern Anglesey and Liverpool to be prepared for flooding on Thursday.

Dr Paul Leinster, Environment Agency Chief Executive, said: 'Gale force winds and large waves along the east coast of England are forecast during Thursday and Friday, coinciding with high tides and a significant coastal surge.

Sounds like it could be a a bad one. The nearest I've seen was the after-effects of a storm caused by a similar combination of effects at Penzance, huge concrete slabs were ripped off the sea wall and benches had been torn out of the bolts that were holding them.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2518340/Sea-levels-reach-level-devastating-1953-floods-coastal-surge-gale-force-winds-threaten-batter-east-coast.html

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It's quite windy this morning.

If that's not a reason to seal yourself into your apocalypse bunker, I don't know what is.

Unless it's that sort of wind, in which case sealing yourself into an apocalypse bunker would be highly inadvisable.

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Environment Agency phoned with automatic message about flood warning at 7:30 am this morning. River Trent, which is tidal, is in danger of bursting near us apparently. Deep Joy.

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Guest eight

It's quite windy this morning.

Yes, it was nice being out on the A1 in a 750kg bean can. At one point the wind folded my wing mirror flat against the door, fortunately another gust returned it to its rightful place about thirty seconds later. The wipers wouldn't work as the wind was lifting them away from the screen.

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I have to say it's bloomin' serious out there. Might just make the local news. If someone in London is blown off their bike it might even go national.

If it's Cameron or Andrew Mitchell, there may even be a national day of mourning - if they survive. :ph34r:

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BBC news getting very bullish last 30 minutes.

I am on the North West coast. Just been down to the sea for high tide and the roads are flooded. Spray (foam) is being forced a few hundred yards inland.

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Yes, it was nice being out on the A1 in a 750kg bean can. At one point the wind folded my wing mirror flat against the door, fortunately another gust returned it to its rightful place about thirty seconds later. The wipers wouldn't work as the wind was lifting them away from the screen.

On the plus side its a good day for people with shares in Wind Farms :D:P

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On the plus side its a good day for people with shares in Wind Farms :D:P

If they don't blow over...

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They get switched off if it's too windy. ;)

Accounting for 10.8% of the Uk's electricity generation as I type - which also includes a net 1GW we are exporting to Europe. Seem to be working fine :P

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They get switched off if it's too windy. ;)

How windy does it have to get?

Wind output is currently over 5000 MW, or about 11% of UK electricity consumption. That's a lot of gas or coal not being burnt.

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I can't believe people are turning a typical winter UK storm into a debate on whether or not wind farms are a good idea or not. .

On second thoughts actually i can :D

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It looks like Scotland got a bit of wind! Lorries blown over and trains not there!

My bin blew over! And I'm not in Scotland any more!

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I can't believe people are turning a typical winter UK storm into a debate on whether or not wind farms are a good idea or not. .

On second thoughts actually i can :D

Agree about the nonsense on the windfarms (though I have done my bit by loosening a few bolts ;) ) but this is hardly a typical winter storm! I'd be very worried if I lived somewhere low-lying on the east coast.

Here's Rhyl today and the east is likely to be worse:

37floods9web.jpg

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