gone west Posted November 15, 2005 Share Posted November 15, 2005 With the winter's first cold snap and WTI touching its 200 day MA, I think/feel/believe we may have seen at least a short-term bottom for oil. Anyone agree/disagree? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mongoose Posted November 16, 2005 Share Posted November 16, 2005 With the winter's first cold snap and WTI touching its 200 day MA, I think/feel/believe we may have seen at least a short-term bottom for oil. Anyone agree/disagree? I agree, I am starting to dip in again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Te Mata Posted November 16, 2005 Share Posted November 16, 2005 (edited) I agree too. COT data shows the commercial oil traders are long long long. We are up 70c since the EIA Petroleum Status Report this morning also. Definately time to dip in. Latest COT data: Edited November 16, 2005 by wayneL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buylowsellhigh Posted November 16, 2005 Share Posted November 16, 2005 time to dip in. I had a dip. I bought the January Future today but I don't really trust it. What's putting me off is the general Bearishness in US Commodities which seems to have been triggered by the strength of the $. If the $ continues higher it could keep a lid on Oil prices. My opinion. --- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Te Mata Posted November 17, 2005 Share Posted November 17, 2005 I had a dip. I bought the January Future today but I don't really trust it. What's putting me off is the general Bearishness in US Commodities which seems to have been triggered by the strength of the $. If the $ continues higher it could keep a lid on Oil prices. My opinion. --- And a good opinion it is. All eyes are on gold ATM + ~$7 on the feb contract as it stands right now. What happens at $500? it will be an interesting psychological level. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buylowsellhigh Posted November 18, 2005 Share Posted November 18, 2005 (edited) bought the January Future today but I don't really trust it. Jan Crude trailing stop was hit yesterday morning as the $ moved higher. No surprise there. All eyes are on gold. What happens at $500? I'd be surprised if it went through $500 first attempt. But with the US Government giving the media the inflation green light on Wednesday ...you never know. --- Edited November 18, 2005 by Buylowsellhigh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buylowsellhigh Posted November 18, 2005 Share Posted November 18, 2005 All eyes are on gold ATM + ~$7 on the feb contract as it stands right now. What happens at $500? it will be an interesting psychological level. I sold February Gold Futures(GCG6) heavily today at $493. Are you game ? http://customer1.barchart.com/custom/vsn/0563.htm --- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Te Mata Posted November 19, 2005 Share Posted November 19, 2005 (edited) I sold February Gold Futures(GCG6) heavily today at $493. Are you game ? Nice reversal bar, but no I'm not short, which is a good omen your position A shame about the oil, but I'm still a believer. A dragonfly doji for friday, also a reversal bar FWIW. Still watching it. Got my eye on Yen futures for a reversal, also based on COT data. Just an eye mind you, no cash yet. Re GOLD; Have you had a look at the CBOT full size gold contract (ZG)? It's 100% electronic which I think is a great advantage http://www.cbot.com/cbot/pub/cont_detail/0...8+21219,00.html Edited November 19, 2005 by wayneL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Golden Shower Posted November 19, 2005 Share Posted November 19, 2005 I'm not convinced we've seen the last of the selling yet. This down leg has had big volume (Katrina related?) to it, and it's hugging the bottom Bollinger Band too. It's a shame because there's a nice little oil stock I want to buy into, but the falling price is making me hold back for now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gone west Posted November 19, 2005 Author Share Posted November 19, 2005 Nice reversal bar, but no I'm not short, which is a good omen your position A shame about the oil, but I'm still a believer. A dragonfly doji for friday, also a reversal bar FWIW. Still watching it. Got my eye on Yen futures for a reversal, also based on COT data. Just an eye mind you, no cash yet. Re GOLD; Have you had a look at the CBOT full size gold contract (ZG)? It's 100% electronic which I think is a great advantage http://www.cbot.com/cbot/pub/cont_detail/0...8+21219,00.html I still think we are at or near a local bottom for oil. Fundamentally, another storm is on the way in the US. A big one this time, due for mid-late next week. Technically, the last three slides in oil have been more and more protracted, a sign that oil bears are getting weaker and fewer and we remain within the channel. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buylowsellhigh Posted November 20, 2005 Share Posted November 20, 2005 Got my eye on Yen futures for a reversal, also based on COT data. Just an eye mind you, no cash yet. I bought Yen March Futures on Friday. Switched my cash into Yen also. It just opened lower, so time to grab a nippy sweety from the top shelf I think, lol. Re GOLD; Have you had a look at the CBOT full size gold contract (ZG)? It's 100% electronic which I think is a great advantage To be honest I prefer COMEX open outcry as ecbot Gold is a bit thin. I would rather take my chances with no overnight stop on Access than get caught in an illiquid market meltdown. --- Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Enzo Posted November 21, 2005 Share Posted November 21, 2005 (edited) // Edited November 21, 2005 by Enzo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Te Mata Posted November 21, 2005 Share Posted November 21, 2005 I bought Yen March Futures on Friday. Switched my cash into Yen also. --- Support @85.95 1hr chart. In with a low risk entry. Commercial traders are lined up against the dollar all over the place... Dollar index, pound, euro, yen. FWIW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Te Mata Posted November 21, 2005 Share Posted November 21, 2005 I bought Yen March Futures on Friday. Switched my cash into Yen also. It just opened lower, so time to grab a nippy sweety from the top shelf I think, lol. YO BLSH! I like how this trade is looking! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gone west Posted November 22, 2005 Author Share Posted November 22, 2005 If WTI hits 59 tomorrow, I will consider the bottom was reached Friday. Not sure if things will go much beyond 60. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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