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Hidenburg Omen

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I hope so, a serious market event would add to the sense of doom, and speed the BTL panic sell off which I believe has now started.

The bizarre thing being the sell off would be unintentional. The stock market is bouyed with nervous money looking for larger returns. The banks are using free central bank money to prop up BTL IMHO.

If the stock market tanks, this marks a buying opportunity for the banks, squeezing BTL. Rates rise as a result of the shortage and prices correct as people pull out of the hassle of BTL and for the better returns of the stock market.

As wiser heads have stated, they can be irrational longer than I can be solvent:(

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Slightly OT, but that's not a very good metaphor. One of the defining features of the Hindenburg disaster is that there were no warning signs. Furthemore, if the most widely believed theory among experts is correct (that a high-speed turn on the final approach to the landing field exerted stress on the airframe that resulted in a load-bearing wire breaking and puncturing a gas cell, leaking hydrogen from which was subsequently ignited by static electricity in the atmosphere), there could not have been any until 2-3 minutes at most before ignition. By contrast, this method of predicting a stock market crash relies on the analysis of data collected over a period of weeks.

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  • 238 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?

      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%

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