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Residential Property Price Index exclusive thread


2buyornot2buy

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On 19/05/2021 at 20:27, 2buyornot2buy said:

Inflation adjusted they must be still down around 50%

Prices are still relatively low in many places although I’m not convinced the peak prices lasted long  enough to be taken seriously, a true bubble it was.  My place was ££350k for about 5mims in 2007 and never recovered much past 200k since, same for many others.  There is just not the strength in the economy of NI for rises.  300 jobs in  Wright bus and people are dancing but it’s a drop in the ocean of what was lost in the years gone by.

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NI House prices have gained aprox £61k in the past 7 years since the bottom in 2013. However, current average prices are still aprox £65k below what they were at the height of the boom in 2007. Therefore, even if house prices were to continue on this path, which almost certain not to happen, it would not be until 2028 until we reached the peek prices again, some 21 years later.

For the record I don't believe that will happen unless general inflation (including wages) takes over. 

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I think these reports are going to get a lot more coverage over the next 6 to 18 months as rates "gradually" rise to more normal levels. 

Q2 transactions, interest rates would have been at 0.75%. 

Q4 rates will probably be at 2.25%. 

Q3 2.75%

And Q4 3%+

I think we'll see transactions fall steadily from now on. I also think proces will be back to pre pandemic levels by this time next year. 

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