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Nationwide Regional Plots

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Guest Riser

Well its taken its time but Nationwide HPI has gone Negative

Forget the spin in the Nationwide Q3 2005 report

National Quarter on Quarter Inflation Adjusted Annual HPI hits -0.1%

The trend is clear, here are the figures for each region:

Q305National.gif National -0.1% Q305North.gif North -0.23%

Q305YorkHum.gif York and Humberside 1.69% Q305NorthWest.gif North West 1.87 %

Q305EastMid.gif East Mids -0.57 % Q305WestMid.gif West Mids -1.52 %

East Anglia -1.66 % Outer SEast -2.98 %

Outer Met -2.35 % London -1.07 %

South West -2.38 % Wales 0.16 %

Scotland 4.00 % N Ireland 7.74 %

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post-1619-1128026915_thumb.jpg

post-1619-1128026948_thumb.jpg

post-1619-1128027350_thumb.jpg

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Guest Riser

Here is the Q3 2005 HPI Buy-Sell Signal for housing using inflation adjusted annual HPI from Nationwide data

HPI has just gone negative fown to -0.1% B)

The latest Nationwide report quotes HPI 2.8% but this is not nflation adjusted, you will also notice the HPI trend is straight down, no flattening out as it approaches 0% due to fiddles such as averaging over the past three months or quoting changes against the previous quarter, the attached chart tells it straight. Regional charts are available using the link in my sig.

Housing a SELL based on latest Nationwide data HPI -0.1 %

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Good work Riser.

As you say, the inflation adjusted measure is now negative, but in your opinion is it likely to carry on being negative over the next several months as well ?

EDIT: I must admit I'd still prefer the headline YoY figure (now at 1.8%) to go negative as well, but this is a good start.

Edited by Warwickshire Lad

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Guest Riser
Good work Riser.

As you say, the inflation adjusted measure is now negative, but in your opinion is it likely to carry on being negative over the next several months as well ?

EDIT: I must admit I'd still prefer the headline YoY figure to go negative, but this is a good start.

Every time we have been at this point at the past the falling HPI trend has continued straight through zero, I see no reason this time will be any different. Its easy to predict stagnation when HPI drops to zero but the trend clearly shows it won't stay that way for long

B)

Edited by Riser

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Every time we have been at this point at the past the falling HPI trend has continued straight through zero, I see no reason this time will be any different. Its esy to predict stagnation when HPI drops to zero but the trend clearly shows it wo't stay that way for long

B)

Really good work and beautifully presented - keep it up - it's going to be great watching these progress in the coming quarters!

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-------------------------------------------------------------

-- The House Price Crash Academy of Excellence --

-------------------------------------------------------------

--- School Report ---

-------------------------------------------------------------

Term : Autumn

Year : 2005/06

Pupil : Riser

Teacher : Shaker

Subject : Economics

Grade : A *

-------------------------------------------------------------

Comments :

As per usual excellent, clear and concise work from

the Riser. He is proving to be a most excellent pupil

who is a joy to teach. His graphical skills are worthy

of particular comment for their clarity & presentation

Keep it up the good work, and bringing in those

deliciously juicy ripe apples of yours.

Professor S Baby

-------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------

Edited by shakerbaby

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Guest consa
-------------------------------------------------------------

-- The House Price Crash Academy of Excellence --

-------------------------------------------------------------

--- School Report ---

-------------------------------------------------------------

Term : Autumn

Year : 2005/06

Pupil : Riser

Teacher : Shaker

Subject : Economics

Grade : A *

-------------------------------------------------------------

Comments :

As per usual excellent, clear and concise work from

the Riser. He is proving to be a most excellent pupil

who is a joy to teach. His graphical skills are worthy

of particular comment for their clarity & presentation

Keep it up the good work, and bringing in those

deliciously juicy ripe apples of yours.

Professor S Baby

-------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------

:lol::lol: thats good but I don't suspect Riser will be amused by the teacher bit :huh:

BTW nice work Riser!!

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Guest Riser
...............

Keep it up the good work, and bringing in those

deliciously juicy ripe apples of yours.

Professor S Baby

-------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------

Thanks for all the feedback

Here you go Prof, are these the apples you were thinking about B)

Apple Bottom

There is no denying an APPLE BOTTOM when you see one. It has natural lift to it and looks like the back is it's support structure. Sometimes you see the girl walking like she's actually being carried by her ass, itself! This kind of ass can't even fit into white girls' clothes, you have to buy a whole new line of clothing to accommodate this beauty! This booty doesn't wiggle or jiggle, it BOUNCES. When this booty is spotted, the two ass cheeks don't even move in unison, they move one up-the other down, and vice versa. This is very evident in athletic builds and ladies with African bloodlines.

Apple for the Prof. :)

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  • 302 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



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