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Phase Shift: The Next Leg Down In House Prices


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The US may yet become competitive again.

http://www.oftwominds.com/blogmar11/phase-shift-housing3-11.html

bubble-decline2.gif

Phase Shift: The Next Leg Down in House Prices (March 24, 2011)

Housing has supposedly "hit bottom." Perhaps it will drop abruptly in a phase shift to much lower valuations.

Way back in August 2006, near the top of the housing bubble, I suggested a two-part scenario for the housing bust: it would take eight more years to play out, and the declines would occur in sharp downlegs following a phase-shift model.

Phase Transitions, Symmetry and Post-Bubble Declines (August 2, 2006)

Here is the chart I presented at that time as a possible time model:

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