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Cpi / Rpi Predictions

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Last month CPI was 3.7%, and RPI was 4.8%

Forexfactory usually underpredict the actual, and are currently predicting CPI as 4.1%, and RPI as 5.3% (!!!)

Any other guesses as to what's going to happen...?

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Last month CPI was 3.7%, and RPI was 4.8%

Forexfactory usually underpredict the actual, and are currently predicting CPI as 4.1%, and RPI as 5.3% (!!!)

A 5.3% print on RPI would be quite something – a rise of 1.0 on the index.

The last time the RPI index was higher in January than December was back in 1991.

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A 5.3% print on RPI would be quite something – a rise of 1.0 on the index.

The last time the RPI index was higher in January than December was back in 1991.

Would this be due to VAT?

My prediction CPI 21.6% RPI 27.4%

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Last month CPI was 3.7%, and RPI was 4.8%

Forexfactory usually underpredict the actual, and are currently predicting CPI as 4.1%, and RPI as 5.3% (!!!)

Any other guesses as to what's going to happen...?

Yep, they haven't over-estimated in the last 12 months and were .5% under in May, so I'm going for a nice round 6% RPI :P

CPI 4.2% and we remain in awe of the BoE and their fan-charts.

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Yep, they haven't over-estimated in the last 12 months and were .5% under in May, so I'm going for a nice round 6% RPI :P

You can see why NS&I removed all their tax-free RPI+1% products !

I see it going up, definitely not down.

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Last month CPI was 3.7%, and RPI was 4.8%

Forexfactory usually underpredict the actual, and are currently predicting CPI as 4.1%, and RPI as 5.3% (!!!)

Any other guesses as to what's going to happen...?

Many of us with lots in N S and I index linkers are starting to see serious returns ?

Took long enough but patience is the key. Hopefully !!

A few years of me getting 5- 10% return on my savings - added to house prices falling at a similar amount in nominal terms - will result in a nice position in 2013 or so.

Unless the whole thing goes teets up of course. :lol:

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You can see why NS&I removed all their tax-free RPI+1% products !

... and also why the BoE's own pension scheme moved so heavily into index-linked Gilts (even at the time the BoE was scaremongering the general population with deflation fairy tales).

Frankly, I can't believe that the inflation figure is so low - I reckon the entire calculation system for the indices is seriously biased towards under-reporting the true rise in cost of living.

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You can see why NS&I removed all their tax-free RPI+1% products !

Indeed. Mine are doing very nicely, but then I buy my shopping and fuel and suddenly don't feel so smug anymore.. :rolleyes:

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  • 312 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



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