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Uk Oct Mortgage Approvals Lowest Since Feb

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http://us.mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE6AS0M920101129?ca=rdt

Mon Nov 29, 2010 4:36am EST

LONDON, Nov 29 (Reuters) - The number of mortgage approvals in Britain fell to its lowest in eight months in October, but mortgage lending rose twice as fast as expected, official data showed on Monday.

The Bank of England said mortgage approvals numbered 47,185 in October, down from 47,369 in September. That was the lowest since February, but broadly in line with analysts' forecasts for a reading of 47,000.

Net mortgage lending, however, rose twice as fast as expected, by 963 million pounds last month, the biggest rise since August.

Net mortgage lending up. Probably less people making overpayments as it comes up to Christmas.

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From Independent

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/mortgage-approvals-fall-for-sixth-month-running-2146513.html

Mortgage approvals fall for sixth month running

The number of mortgages approved for house purchase fell for the sixth month in a row during October as buyers continued to stay away from the property market.

Only 47,185 loans were approved for people buying a property during the month, the lowest level since February, according to the Bank of England.

The subdued level of transactions, which is well below the 70,000 to 80,000 approvals a month which are considered to be consistent with a stable market, will continue to put downward pressure on house prices.

The figures come as property intelligence group Hometrack said house prices fell for the fifth consecutive month during November as the number of people looking to buy a property dropped at its fastest pace for nearly two years.

Activity in the housing market has fallen sharply in recent months as potential buyers wait until the outlook for both house prices and the wider economy is clearer, while those who want to go ahead with a purchase are continuing to struggle to raise the mortgage finance they need.

The shortage of buyers, combined with sellers continuing to put their properties on to the market, has triggered a fresh round of house price falls.

Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at IHS Global Insight, said: "The Bank of England mortgage approvals data shows that housing market activity remains marooned in the doldrums, which seems highly likely to maintain downward pressure on prices.

"The data reinforces our belief that house prices will trend down to lose around 10% from their peak 2010 levels by the end of 2011."

Vicky Redwood, senior UK economist at Capital Economics, said: "October's UK household borrowing figures provide yet further evidence of the troubles in the housing market.

"With housing market activity this weak, we suspect that the recent house price falls have much further to go."

There was a pick-up in net lending, which strips out redemptions and repayments, during October, with this rising to £1.25 billion, up from £246 million in September, although it was still below August's figure and well down on the long-term average.

There was also a slight increase in the number of people remortgaging to a new deal during the month, at 29,275.

Unsecured borrowing rose by £287 million during October, the biggest monthly jump since May, but only a fraction of lending of more than £2 billion a month regularly seen during the earlier part of the decade.

The increase was driven by a £302 million rise in outstanding credit card debt, up from a rise of £207 million in September.

Borrowing through loans and overdrafts contracted for the fifth consecutive month, but at its lowest rate since March, with people repaying only £15 million more than they borrowed, down from £135 million more in September.

Building societies continued to endure a difficult market during October, with lending by the sector contracting for the 22nd consecutive month as existing borrowers repaid £290 million more than was advanced to new customers.

At the same time, savers continued to take their money away from the sector, with deposits held by building societies falling by £1.31 billion during the month, the Building Societies Association said.

Adrian Coles, director-general of the BSA, said: "Reports of falling house prices and Government spending cuts have lowered consumer confidence, which has put further downward pressure on demand for mortgages.

"An encouraging trend in recent quarters, however, has been the growth in mortgage approvals at mutuals and this may lead to some recovery in mutuals' market share over the next few months."

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From Independent

"The data reinforces our belief that house prices will trend down to lose around 10% from their peak 2010 levels by the end of 2011."

Now i can see how they can reasonably predict house prices will trend down but they always go too far and predict how far and when. Impossible to know.

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The subdued level of transactions, which is well below the 70,000 to 80,000 approvals a month which are considered to be consistent with a stable market, will continue to put downward pressure on house prices.

Happy Crimbo coming up folks! :D

And another thing, when "subdued" is equated with an almost 50% mega crash* in new loans you know the VIs are scared.

__________________

Correction = >10% down

Crash = >20% down

Mega crash+ >50% down

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  • 144 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



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