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Seasonal Adjustment

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Seasonal adjustment Fluctuations in economic time series are caused by seasonal, cyclical and irregular movements. A seasonally adjusted series is one from which seasonal movements have been eliminated. Seasonal movements are defined as those which are caused by regular annual events such as climate, holidays, vacation periods and cycles related to crops, production and retail sales associated with Christmas and Easter. It should be noted, however, that seasonally adjusted series contain irregular as well as longer-term cyclical fluctuations.

http://www.economics.gov.nf.ca/mnGlossary.asp#s

So in other words they're massaging the figures to show what they want to portray?

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So in other words they're massaging the figures to show what they want to portray?

No, some businesses sell shedloads of stuff before Christmas - and nothing in January. If you looked at their January figures in isolation, you would think they were going bust.

Likewise houses. Who is out house-hunting in December?

Surely seasonal adjustment is just common sense - but, like any figures, can be distorted.

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No, some businesses sell shedloads of stuff before Christmas - and nothing in January. If you looked at their January figures in isolation, you would think they were going bust.

Likewise houses. Who is out house-hunting in December?

Surely seasonal adjustment is just common sense - but, like any figures, can be distorted.

But don't they do the figuers YOY too? So every January would be the same?

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  • 301 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



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