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1929crash

Ocean Currents Likely To Take Oil To Atlantic

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Couldn't embed the above animation, but worth watching - only 30 seconds or so!

All Concentrations Down to Zero - June 3, 2010

This animation shows one scenario of how oil released at the location of the Deepwater Horizon disaster on April 20 in the Gulf of Mexico may move in the upper 65 feet of the ocean. This is not a forecast, but rather, it illustrates a likely dispersal pathway of the oil for roughly four months following the spill. It assumes oil spilling continuously from April 20 to June 20. The colors represent a dilution factor ranging from red (most concentrated) to beige (most diluted).

The simulations do not make any assumptions about the daily rate or total amount of oil spilled and the dilution factor does not attempt to estimate the actual barrels of oil at any spot. Instead, one unit per day of a liquid "dye tracer" is injected in the model at the spill site (injected continuously over the period April 20 through June 20). The animations on this page show possible scenarios of what might happen to dye released in the upper 65 feet of ocean at the spill site. The dilution factor depicts how dye released at the site of the spill will be progressively diluted as it is transported and mixed by ocean currents. For example, areas showing a dilution factor of 0.01 would have one-hundredth the concentration of oil present at the spill site.

The animation is based on a computer model simulation, using a virtual dye, that assumes weather and current conditions similar to those that occur in a typical year. It is one of a set of six scenarios released today (view these below) that simulate possible pathways the oil might take under a variety of oceanic conditions. Each of the six scenarios shows the same overall movement of oil through the Gulf to the Atlantic and up the East Coast. However, the timing and fine-scale details differ, depending on the details of the ocean currents in the Gulf. (Visualization by Tim Scheitlin and Mary Haley, NCAR; based on model simulations.)

http://www2.ucar.edu/news/oil-spill-animations

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Guest Noodle

Thanks, I saw that but failed to bookmark it...

Oh sweet! Bermuda gets hit!

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And the Caymans, with any luck.

The animation doesn't show it directly, but once the oil gets into the Gulf Stream, it will be transported to the British Isles. :(

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Guest Noodle

The animation doesn't show it directly, but once the oil gets into the Gulf Stream, it will be transported to the British Isles. :(

SWEET AS!

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Guest Noodle

In our tremendous scavenger tradition we'll be down there with billy cans sponging up every last drop for fencing off at boot sales.

bransDM2301_468x329.jpg

Aren't the barrels in the background a bit of a cliche.

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Guest Noodle

So, is it going to stop the stream now?

What, you mean the Gulf Stream? :blink:

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Yep, the Gulf Stream.

After all if a little bit of fresh water is going to nail it, surely a dirty great coating of oil is going to upset it...?

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Guest Noodle

Yep, the Gulf Stream.

After all if a little bit of fresh water is going to nail it, surely a dirty great coating of oil is going to upset it...?

Well, it's not a 'little' bit of fresh water. But it is a little bit of oil, just looks like a lot because the millimetre or so spreads across the surface and is easily distinguishable using remote sensing techniques.

No.

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Well, it's not a 'little' bit of fresh water. But it is a little bit of oil, just looks like a lot because the millimetre or so spreads across the surface and is easily distinguishable using remote sensing techniques.

No.

Water on earth : 326,000,000,000,000,000,000 gallons, Oil Released : 116,000,000 . Can someone else calculate the percentage but it is incredibly tiny, oh and remember the oil is also degrading. However it is a neat way of getting people to buy more wind turbine, and extract money from people.

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Guest Noodle

Water on earth : 326,000,000,000,000,000,000 gallons, Oil Released : 116,000,000 . Can someone else calculate the percentage but it is incredibly tiny, oh and remember the oil is also degrading. However it is a neat way of getting people to buy more wind turbine, and extract money from people.

I could, but lazy today.

Your logic shines.

The words you are actually looking for are 'fate and transport modeling'.

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The animation doesn't show it directly, but once the oil gets into the Gulf Stream, it will be transported to the British Isles. :(

Time to start up a burger bar or diving school or some other beach related business in Cornwall and claim for lost earnings about x10 times real earnings, as every one and his dog seems to be doing in the US.

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Guest Noodle

Time to start up a burger bar or diving school or some other beach related business in Cornwall and claim for lost earnings about x10 times real earnings, as every one and his dog seems to be doing in the US.

I was just looking at this;

Claims

. . . and thinking, this is the US, in a recession, BP's finished.

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I was just looking at this;

Claims

. . . and thinking, this is the US, in a recession, BP's finished.

There was an article in the times about the dubious nature of many claims a week or so ago - not sure if its still accessible with the pay-per-view thingy anymore.

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Water on earth : 326,000,000,000,000,000,000 gallons, Oil Released : 116,000,000 . Can someone else calculate the percentage but it is incredibly tiny, oh and remember the oil is also degrading. However it is a neat way of getting people to buy more wind turbine, and extract money from people.

Your logic is fundamentally flawed. You don't know how much oil will eventually leak out. Heck, nobody knows how much has already leaked out.

Since circulation depends on density differences in the water column, a relatively small amount could disrupt the flow.

Also, as the amount of oil increases the ability of the environment to break down the oil will reduce in efficiency.

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Guest Noodle

Your logic is fundamentally flawed. You don't know how much oil will eventually leak out. Heck, nobody knows how much has already leaked out.

Since circulation depends on density differences in the water column, a relatively small amount could disrupt the flow.

Also, as the amount of oil increases the ability of the environment to break down the oil will reduce in efficiency.

You worry too much.

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  • 261 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



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