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I Told You So

Hometrack

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Must be due soon, surely Wriggs is going to have to change his year end estimates this month.

I think he still estimated London -5% year end last time, even though his own figure was -5.09% last month.

My guess is he changes UK to -2.5% from his flat prediction, and London to -7.5%.

Any other takers?

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Must be due soon, surely Wriggs is going to have to change his year end estimates this month.

I think he still estimated London -5% year end last time, even though his own figure was -5.09% last month.

My guess is he changes UK to -2.5% from his flat prediction, and London to -7.5%.

Any other takers?

Nah his last predictions were:

London -5%

UK -5%

I think he'll leave as is for the forthcoming report andwill downgrade London to -8% when it hits -7%

I think he may leave UK at -5% for the rest of the year....though he has had it at 0, 3, 0 -5 so far this year (I think).

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I think he'll leave national predictions untouched. London might be affected by recent events. I assume it's due out on Monday? Nationwide is due soon too.

It's not a great month for YoY watchers, as August was a bit of low on the 2004 surveys.

I'm quite hopeful of the first negative YoY in the Halifax come September's figures - prices need only drop by about .3% or in the next couple of months for that to happen. It'll be interesting to see how they spin it.

Nationwide YoY won't go negative until spring at the earliest.

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  • 301 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



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