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bigsmelly

Buying A Nominal Low Vs Buying At Real Low

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On here the accepted wisdom is that '93 was the best time to buy for affordability (the real low)

However, if you have a depost ready, should you buy before that point?

The last time around, the nominal low came a while before the inflation adjusted low.

I feel that we could reach this point very soon, maybe as soon as nexy year, although it might not seem that way at the time.

My personal prediction is that inflation will start to creep back in from 2010 onwards, but given the following scenarios, am i correct in thinking:

1) deflationary envionment continues - best to buy at nominal low, and that will be the real low.

2) moderate-high inflation - best to buy at nominal low,

3) hyperinflation - best to buy at nomial low, or even earlier.

I'm assuming that any way inflation in an inflationary environment would take longer to feed through than asset (house) prices.

thoughts?

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