Jump to content
House Price Crash Forum
Sign in to follow this  
The Masked Tulip

Why The Bear Market Bottom Is Not Yet In

Recommended Posts

Well, this is all doom and gloom or a bear feast depending on your POV.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/146984-why...m-is-not-yet-in

Before the bear market is over, the DJIA is likely to decline by at least 60 per cent – perhaps something more than 80 per cent (given the current level of earnings and replacement value of assets.

Hyperinflation scenario

That would take the Dow down to 2,800-5,600 points, sometime between 2009-2014, according to Napier. Recently the hyperinflationists like Dr. Marc Faber and Jim Rogers have suggested that inflation is likely to come to the rescue of share prices and support the Dow in an economic recession.

:blink:

Edited by The Masked Tulip

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Well, this is all doom and gloom or a bear feast depending on your POV.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/146984-why...m-is-not-yet-in

:blink:

now this i can agree with, in fact id go with sub 2000 points by 2014, however like any investment it is all a matter of timing and theyre not exactrly going out on a limb with their forecast of between now and 2014, i still say above 9000 this time next year

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Nine years is short for a bear market as these cycles can last up to 14 years. When Napier wrote his book in 2005 he said we would need to see four things before a true market bottom emerged: a bond market crash, a recession, lower interest rates and a general price disturbance (inflation or deflation) leading to a final bottom in share prices.

There's a long time to go yet then.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

  • 406 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.