Jump to content
House Price Crash Forum
Sign in to follow this  
The Masked Tulip

Why The Bear Market Bottom Is Not Yet In

Recommended Posts

Well, this is all doom and gloom or a bear feast depending on your POV.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/146984-why...m-is-not-yet-in

Before the bear market is over, the DJIA is likely to decline by at least 60 per cent – perhaps something more than 80 per cent (given the current level of earnings and replacement value of assets.

Hyperinflation scenario

That would take the Dow down to 2,800-5,600 points, sometime between 2009-2014, according to Napier. Recently the hyperinflationists like Dr. Marc Faber and Jim Rogers have suggested that inflation is likely to come to the rescue of share prices and support the Dow in an economic recession.

:blink:

Edited by The Masked Tulip

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Well, this is all doom and gloom or a bear feast depending on your POV.

http://seekingalpha.com/article/146984-why...m-is-not-yet-in

:blink:

now this i can agree with, in fact id go with sub 2000 points by 2014, however like any investment it is all a matter of timing and theyre not exactrly going out on a limb with their forecast of between now and 2014, i still say above 9000 this time next year

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Nine years is short for a bear market as these cycles can last up to 14 years. When Napier wrote his book in 2005 he said we would need to see four things before a true market bottom emerged: a bond market crash, a recession, lower interest rates and a general price disturbance (inflation or deflation) leading to a final bottom in share prices.

There's a long time to go yet then.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

  • The Prime Minister stated that there were three Brexit options available to the UK:   287 members have voted

    1. 1. Which of the Prime Minister's options would you choose?


      • Leave with the negotiated deal
      • Remain
      • Leave with no deal

    Please sign in or register to vote in this poll. View topic


×

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.