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From a report by the Royal Institute of British Architects: "Improving Housing Quality Unlocking the Market"

LINK: http://www.architecture.com/Files/RIBAHoldings/PolicyAndInternationalRelations/Policy/Housing/ImprovingHousingQuality.pdf

Comparing the size of homes across the EU.

Existing homes in Chart 1, and new homes in chart 2.


Edited by Tired of Waiting
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Weimar Germany (Hyperinflation)

Expenditure for a 3 person household. Check out "Rent"

Source : The German Inflation, 1914-1923, C.L.Holtfrerich

Chart and table

There is a factor that is never mentioned but is crucial to the interpretation of this piece of data: there were rent controls in Germany! The Weimar data is not as good as it looks.

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Pretty sure that someone has already produced a similar chart, but this is my analysis of the market. Can't see mortgage approvals increasing anytime soon.

post-26284-003447100 1288354614_thumb.jpg

Nice graph FMUK. But approvals are the leading indicator, and the 2009/10 price rebound is clearly a break in the relationship. I assume the break is caused by low interest rates allowing asset prices to inflate as the maintenance cost of finance becomes more manageable, and also because forced sales have decreased. Government could increase mortgage approvals by legislating that the banks offer loans or lending direct say. But of course it would be a disaster and I don't think it will happen. So approvals are staying low, sales lower and prices are going to float around in the stratosphere because the market isn't clearing. Then some time in the medium term we double dip on the back of an EU crisis and there is a HPC rout.

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HPs compared to 1996 prices.

Not sure why why they've chosen 1996 though.

If someone has a chart comparing different countries' HP/multiple of income I think it would be much more useful.


Edit, source: http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2010/11/24/414621/extensive-irish-forbearance-what-was-it-good-for/

Edited by Tired of Waiting
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Land Registry's latest statistical release: http://www.landreg.gov.uk/assets/library/documents/HPI_Report_Oct_rewlof63.pdf

Includes regional HP and some charts.

Dead cat bouncing very nicely indeed here:


And finally, thanks to exiges, some striking data:

The chart I find most interesting is this one.

FTB (typically those under £200k) are sh1t out of luck whereas those who already have 50% equity by virtue of the HPI have been able to buy without problem. It also suggests those higher priced houses are skewing the average house price figures.


Edited by Tired of Waiting
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Interesting that the Shadowstats figure (blue) is now rising, and diverging from the official U6 and U3 figures.

I think I heard on CNBC that this is now the longest period of official unemployment over 9% in history (can that be true?!) and also that 15m Americans are now unemployed, with 6m of those unemployed for over 6 months.

Ben's gonna have to do something....



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Sorry about the bad news people.

United Nations, UNICEF, Innocenti Research Centre

An overview of child well-being in rich countries

A comprehensive assessment of the lives and well-being of children and adolescents in the economically advanced nations

LINK (PDF) : http://www.unicef-irc.org/publications/pdf/rc7_eng.pdf

They measured 6 "Dimensions", (at the first page of each "dimension" there is a summarising chart.)

1. Material well-being (pg 4); 2. Health and safety (pg 12); 3. Educational well-being (pg 18); 4. Family and peer relationships (pg 22); 5. Behaviours and risks (pg 26); 6. Subjective well-being (pg34)

At the beginning of the report there is a summarising table overall. This one:


The chart that affected me the most (we are a couple wishing to start a family) was this one:


This data is almost 10 years old though, but my concern is that things didn't really improved much since, could even have got worse, and it could even be cultural. Or, hopefully, this UNICEF report has a flawed methodology.

Discussion thread in the main section: http://www.housepricecrash.co.uk/forum/index.php?showtopic=155764&view=findpost&p=2814789

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