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PotNoodle

Housing Market Now Totally Polarised

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We all saw, during the boom, a growing market polarisation.

"It's different this time. We are seeing a new plateau."

"No, it's not different. It will crash."

Now, we are seeing another, distinct, polarisation.

"It's recovering. These are bargains."

"No, this is a bull trap. It will crash."

So, FTSE first... see what happens when there is a bull trap (red squares) after the DotCom bubble

and after the Credit Crunch collapse.......

FTSE.jpg

And see a similar thing in the last HPC, 1989-91 and see where we are now.

HPC.jpg

Will it ? Won't it ?

I know what I think.

post-9120-1245401222_thumb.jpg

post-9120-1245401239_thumb.jpg

Edited by PotNoodle

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"If there is a single truism, it is this: markets that rely on relative wealth to keep prices from falling are heavily dependent on jobs to keep them afloat."

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8078914.stm

UK unemployment is rising faster in this recession than at anytime since the 1980s, according to official figures. BBC News is keeping track of reported job losses and creations.

Polarised it may be. On track for a massive 60% correction certainly.

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[Polarised it may be. On track for a massive 60% correction certainly.

Is that 60% from peak, or 60% from now, RB ?

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