Jump to content
House Price Crash Forum
Sign in to follow this  
Guest LongBlackKilt

The [non-conspiratorial] New World Order

Recommended Posts

Guest LongBlackKilt

Relatively speaking someone must benefit over the next 10-15 years. So who might grow stronger?

I would have thought that Brazil might be a possibility, given its substantial population and reasonable resource base. The Norwegians seem fairly shrewd -- but with such a small population we might not have to consider the heart-stopping excitement of a world in which they ruled. Then there's Oz, although some might say that it's just getting the first taster of climate change. Even the Icelanders coulda been a power-supplying [lightweight] contender [and still might]. And the Germans will keep playing until the 90th minute.

Just a few suggestions for starters.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

almost all of the countries that took part in the western economy of the past few decades are going to suffer.

the ones that will actually be better soon, possibly and in 5 years will probably the ones that are already at the bottom now.

like Zimbabwe and some of the other poorly off African countries.

the biggest difference between the the countries that were part of the western economy, are the ones that were buying and the ones that were selling.

for the US and UK -importers-, it's like we went on a drug binge with our drug dealer, with countries like China.

ALL of us are going to crash after a few days, but China has all of our money and many of our assets that we used to be able to buy the drugs off of them.

so while it looks like we are all in a similar position of crash, 20ish years from now when we all wake up from our stupor, countries like China, Dubai, etc. will be in a much better position as they will have most likely increased their infrastructure, developed new jobs and areas of research etc.

meanwhile we will be still trying to scratch back many of our own assets out of hock, with much less improvement in the interim.

so imo, the countries to look for that will improve in the future, look for the importers that actually spent the income they made during the boom on actually improvements/enhancements to their countries.

coupling that with the countries that were starting fairly down on the industrial ladder as far as technological sophistication/development etc., and we be able to really reap the benefits of being able to start out with the latest/greatest, as opposed to dragging along decades old infrastructure .

Edited by Mr Nice

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Relatively speaking someone must benefit over the next 10-15 years. So who might grow stronger?

I would have thought that Brazil might be a possibility, given its substantial population and reasonable resource base. The Norwegians seem fairly shrewd -- but with such a small population we might not have to consider the heart-stopping excitement of a world in which they ruled. Then there's Oz, although some might say that it's just getting the first taster of climate change. Even the Icelanders coulda been a power-supplying [lightweight] contender [and still might]. And the Germans will keep playing until the 90th minute.

Just a few suggestions for starters.

brazils sitting pretty. iran is ok but has looney tunes laws.

but the fly in the ointment for all these kinds of countries is when the west move from oil to hydrogen.

then it comes down to engineering skill, which we are actually good at.

world leaders, but the education system need to be re-geared away from media studies to more sciences and production engineering. once oil is no longer needed, these countries will go back to how they were in 1666

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Relatively speaking someone must benefit over the next 10-15 years. So who might grow stronger?

I guess it depends on how far we fall.

If we get to the stage of massive defaults/hyperfinflation, then "financial powers" like the UK are in the poo. The ones with the best chances would be:

a/ a strong army. You can use it to run a "Raubwirtschaft" or plunder economy. So the USA would remain v. powerful - Iraq could be the forerunner of this policy.

b/ An important point from WW2 is that although the Germans had the best army and the best weapons, they were overrun by greater numbers + more weaponry. So in the longer term countries like China and India (people+factories) could float to the top.

Much more likely is that current trends will continue (i.e. gradual decline of Western countries and rise of the East). Politics of course will throw a spanner into the works (e.g. countries with enormous mineral resources but terrible leadership will remain dirt poor) and make precise predictions impossible.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

  • 284 Brexit, House prices and Summer 2020

    1. 1. Including the effects Brexit, where do you think average UK house prices will be relative to now in June 2020?


      • down 5% +
      • down 2.5%
      • Even
      • up 2.5%
      • up 5%



×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.