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About Me

Found 18 results

  1. Hello all My name is Chad Lawson i am writing this little blog/topic here today to explain my thoughts and opinions. I believe that there will be a house price crash in 2021 i am unsure when about in the year but i am very certain, i believe this will be the case due to the corona virus and people are getting let off without paying rent as such and so on due to not being able to work, I think that house prices will slowly start to decline until it hits and crashes in 2021. This will be the best time to buy and invest in a house as after the the crash will happen people are going to try an
  2. "Monetary trends, meanwhile, have weakened further in early 2018, with G7 plus E7 six-month real narrow money growth falling to a nine-year low in February. Real broad money has also continued to decelerate. The emerging economic slowdown, therefore, could extend into late 2018, allowing for the usual lead." http://moneymovesmarkets.com/journal/2018/4/10/a-monetarist-perspective-on-current-equity-markets.html Monetary trends looking similar to 2007/8 for the moment. There is a clear trend. It will be interesting to see if it continues or reverses in coming months. It looks lik
  3. As per Economist the most appropriate position for Banks to lend is when House Price to Income Ratio is 3.5 Currently in UK its hovering around 7.5 !!! https://www.theguardian.com/money/2017/mar/17/average-house-price-times-annual-salary-official-figures-ons BUT for the majority of 21 to 35 year olds (largest first time home buying segment) its hovering around 10 for most of the UK, except around 15 for Greater London. This is mainly due to non availability of well paid jobs to young professionals. I know this because I live in London and most 21 to 35 year olds I know make
  4. August 2007, bang. Historically, we're "due" another recession. I know I know, it's different this time. But let's look back and remind ourselves of the build up and chaos of the last GFC, almost 10 years ago. What happens this time when rates can't be lowered? Prime London falling on record low 0.25% rates, weak GBP, student debt, massively overpriced stocks, BTL crackdown, stagnant wages, record personal debt (credit cards, cars), Brexit, Corbyn, Trump, China, Qatar, Italian Banks. Ideal time to buy? Property market: Review of 2007 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/property/in
  5. The words 'negative' and 'equity' have finally appeared in the ES http://www.homesandproperty.co.uk/property-news/london-firsttime-buyers-95-per-cent-mortgages-combined-with-slowing-property-prices-increase-a110941.html
  6. Have we had a Black Monday thread recently? https://www.rt.com/business/362618-stock-market-severe-fall/
  7. Back onto house prices instead of politics or racism! List what you have seen and see if we can start a snowball rolling.....
  8. http://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/homes-propertysection/britains-property-market-is-going-to-implode-as-housing-nears-peak-affordability/ar-BBsgGgO?li=BBoPOOl&ocid=mailsignoutmd apologies if its been posted already. hohoho
  9. Guest

    The Tide Is Turning

    Boomer - "House prices have tripled because of all the demand, especially those Syrians that turn up and buy houses, its chaos. Get in quick and buy somewhere before you miss out" We - "hmmm, the housing stock to population ratio has stayed constant in that time, maybe something else is to blame?" Boomer - "that's just what happens with houses, they always go up!" Us - "maybe the introduction of BTL mortgages in 1996 kicked off a boom?" Boomer - "naah, its just houses .... can't go wrong with bricks n mortar" Us - "London was long a poster child for the House price boom, but that was fue
  10. Last month, I posted a video about black Wednesday on a thread. I can't remember which one so I'll repost here: I'm too lazy to explain what black Wednesday was, so this excerpt from wikipedia will have to do. What I worry about is the possibility of another black Wednesday type event (does not necessarily have to be on Wednesday). There are several reasons that I believe this could happen, many of which the members of this forum know quite well, starting with an obvious giant housing bubble, but also including Very low interest rates Brexit fears Trade imbalances Unemployment, high cost
  11. If you're going to dig out a basement best be careful about it http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-34935821 Luckily Duffy sold it before it collapsed
  12. I don't see any references to this fascinating research piece from Deutsche Bank so decided to post it. http://uk.businessinsider.com/deutsche-bank-calls-the-top-on-londons-insane-property-bubble-2015-10?r=US&IR=T It's in a PDF here on page 29 http://www.dbresearch.com/PROD/DBR_INTERNET_EN-PROD/PROD0000000000368569/Konzept_Issue_06.pdf Deutsche Bank has called the top of London's runaway housing market in a blisteringly pessimistic note sent to clients on Thursday. In the bank's sixth "Konzepts" paper, Sahil Mahtani argues that a combination of rising interest rates, the Bank of Engla
  13. i like to start another working day with a quick browse on property-bee/rightmove to see whats been reduced in the last 24 hours can anyone beat this? http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-45743786.html nice little £100k off the original £650k asking price
  14. http://blogs.economictimes.indiatimes.com/LettersfromLondon/entry/clear-and-present-danger-to-uk-property
  15. biggest faller of the week thus far: http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-44042254.html £100k off the asking price in just over a month can anyone find a bigger cut?
  16. Today's quotes from the bank on Sky ("We could limit amounts of certain types of mortgages that banks could undertake, we could provide advice. The chancellor has asked us if we would provide advice on changing the terms of Help to Buy.") and the government on the BBC ("I think if he says that we need to pare back on some of the government schemes like Help to Buy, then I think we should do so.") suggest conscious signalling that some kind of intervention is afoot . If scaling back support for the market is announced, I see two things as inevitable: (1) rapid retreat by the smart money as the
  17. i've seen a lot of price reductions in the last month but this one is the biggest thus far: http://www.rightmove.co.uk/property-for-sale/property-46170395.html# 13/05/2014 Price changed: from '£360,000' to '£300,000' 03/05/2014 Initial entry found. a one off or the start of something big??
  18. Making tea. Absolute 80s on. There's a new FCA advert - Can you afford your mortgage????? There's new lending rules coming in end of this month. Don't forget about council tax etc etc etc. Makes a change after listening to countless 'Your money is safe with the FCA looking on'. http://www.fca.org.uk/consumers/financial-services-products/mortgages/mortgage-market-review 'In the past, some people were allowed to take out a mortgage they could not afford. This led to some of them falling behind with their payments or losing their home.' You don't say . . . Here's the rules: http://www.fca
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