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  1. First post in a long while... But very relevant to how the markets will react and what that will do to the debate. The Government issues debt and a calendar of all the planned issuance dates can be found here http://www.dmo.gov.uk/reportView.aspx?rptCode=D5D&rptName=fa29db60-825e-4dc9-93a1-0ec538b00338||GILT%20MARKET%20(10)&reportpage=Issuance_Calendar It shows the next planned debt issuance by the DMO will be on tuesday 5th July. At that point the market will start to tell the government what it thinks. At the moment HMG is proposing to borrow at 1.5% for 5 years. Whether there will be takers is a key question? Now set aside that they could borrow the money from HSBC more cheaply... Whether Mr Carney will have to use his £250bn to buy them is another question... and before changes to the Bank Return we would have known within a week... now it is hidden from the people. More on that topic here: http://www.housepricecrash.co.uk/forum/index.php?/topic/204683-do-posts-on-hpc-make-a-difference-i-think-so-and-here-is-an-example/?p=1102719084 So we won't know who buys but we will know how easily the government can get the debt away. So look for some nerves in the market (and some brown trouser moments in government) in the days running up to the 5th July. If liquidity becomes a real problem then we might even see the issuance cancelled... (apologies for the scatological metaphor). If the market isn't keen to buy UK Government debt then I think we'll see the pound in all sorts of pressure, we may need that emergency budget that Mr Osborne has gone quiet about, and perhaps, we'll see some mortgage deals withdrawn, and the first signs of winter for anyone with big mortgages. Optobear
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