http://www.hbosplc.com/economy/NationalPressRelease.asp
Key Points :
ï‚· House prices rose by 1.1% (seasonally adjusted) in December and, on a quarterly basis, by 0.1% in Quarter 4. This was the smallest quarterly gain since 2000 Quarter 2, providing further evidence that house price inflation is slowing.
ï‚· House prices increased by 15.1% in 2004, but by only 2.8% in the second half, with the annual rise last year the smallest since 2001 when prices rose by 11.7%. (2002: 26.4% and 2003: 15.4%.)
ï‚· The three northern English regions recorded the biggest price rises in Britain in Quarter 4: North West (3.0%), Yorkshire and the Humber (1.2%) and the North (0.7%). All other regions in Britain saw a fall in prices during the quarter with the biggest declines in Wales (-6.2%) and the South East (-1.6%). Prices in London fell by 0.5%: the second successive quarterly drop in the capital.
ï‚· There was a clear north/south divide in 2004. The biggest annual house price rises were in the North West (27%), the North (26%), Northern Ireland (24%) and Yorkshire and the Humber (22%). The smallest annual price gains were in Greater London (4%) and the South East (7%).
 The differential between the average house price in the south1 and its equivalent in the north1 has fallen by £15,000 from a record £99,000 in early 2003 to £84,000 at the end of 2004.
 Scotland is now the only region of the UK where the average price remains below £100,000 (£99,056). London remains the most expensive region with an average price of £241,670.
 Housing market fundamentals remain sound – a strong labour market, historically low interest rates and a shortage of housing supply – which should curb the extent of the downturn in the housing market and result in only a 2% fall in house prices this year.
ï‚· The continuing signs of a genuine slowdown in the housing market are likely to reduce the pressures on the Bank of England to raise interest rates again. We believe that base rates have peaked at their current rate of 4.75% and that rates will end the year at 4.25%.