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Everything posted by libspero

  1. George isn't standing.. http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/tory-leadership-theresa-may-overtakes-boris-johnson-in-poll-as-george-osborne-rules-himself-out-a7106796.html He's really not right for the role and I doubt he wants it anyway..
  2. Actually, I think this may be one area where you're mistaken. We may find the allure of Britain has lost its lustre.. I could imagine economic migration slowing to a trickle and many voluntarily repatriating if things dip seriously. I'd say it's not even impossible that we see the first ever negative net migration figures at some point in the next few years. Unless Europe really does fall apart.
  3. Do you remember if it was ever enshrined in law? Politicians aren't best known for sticking to their principles when it doesn't suit them.
  4. Interesting statistic.. do you have a link per chance? Edit: found it, a Sky poll https://mobile.twitter.com/SkyData/status/746700869656256512
  5. Interesting that the supermarket shares are down.. not least because you'd think they'd be a safe haven plus if tariffs are imposed that might make them more competitive against the German discounters..
  6. Banks seem to be taking the biggest beating..
  7. Well what can they promise? The future is not theirs to determine, it's ours. If we vote out, the only thing that happens is we start the process of leaving the European political body.. which will take years and may even involve a change of terms and a second referendum on membership. Within that time we will have elections, possibly several, where the public will get to vote on any future direction we take. Why can't the "in" vote tell you what direction they will take us in? Will there be a federal army? Will we be forced to adopt the Euro? What are the time scales for each? There is equal uncertainty in either direction.. the only difference is that in one of them we get to choose.
  8. I imagine there are a large number of undecided voters who won't make up their minds until the last week/day. How the campaigns conduct themselves in the final few days / hours will be crucial IMHO.
  9. This is the only British guy who has any legislative power: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jonathan_Hill,_Baron_Hill_of_Oareford And he is sworn not to propose any legislation that favours the UK.
  10. How is that? Our MEPs claim they have no ability to propose bills or motions.. which only leaves us the power of asking Mr Juncker or Schulz very nicely as far as I can tell. We couldn't even influence any decent concessions when Cameron went on bended knee.. how do you imagine a stronger negotiating position than when we have a referendum gun to their head?
  11. That's slightly disingenuous.. We can vote in any prime minister we choose, US presidential sicophant or otherwise. We have no control over our European leadership at all.
  12. Which is a shame, because really the only thing this is about is sovereignty.. who do we want in charge, a British government or the Germans.
  13. I always presumed Gove was a Trojan horse. People who don't know him won't vote because of him. Those that do know him (Teachers) despise him and would vote against him even if it meant a thousand puppies were instantly put to death. Edit to add: I think Farage keeping a low profile is very deliberate and very sensible. The media took considerable effort to paint UKIP a party of right wing racists during the general election.. the Brexit vote has to be seen to be in no way connected with that kind of scortched Earth.
  14. I agree with the OP that the Brexit campaign don't appear as well polished or funded.. Some decent images and witty campaign messages need providing for circulation on social media. I think you overestimate the majority of Brits if you think the finer points of any future trade relations are really the most pressing thing on their mind though. And quite rightly.. this idea that everything falls off a cliff the second we leave is nonsense. A result in favour of leave would simply be recognition of the nations earnest intention to do so. At that point we have as much time as we want to make plans, decide an exit strategy or even simply put a gun to Merkel's head and renegotiate our membership properly like Dave pretended to do the first time around.
  15. Really? I thought this was just BS peddled to scare people. Can you link me up to some government roadmaps or official documents showing that the ultimate goal of NHS reform is to move to a US style insurance based system? That would be very interesting.
  16. Is this Merkel's new plan to house the waves of refugees she invited to Germany last year?
  17. I'm happy just to sit back and enjoy a few more of Boris' speeches.. (Sorry, couldn't embed) http://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/video/boris-people-shout-tory-t/vi-BBrPpEh
  18. Thrown to the dogs.. Edit to add: Really though they'll think they're better off because in their minds they will only be paying 20% tax. They will just be left wondering why they have less money each month now they're no longer a higher rate payer..
  19. Looks like Osborne found a different way to keep everyone happy.. I heard somewhere he plans to raise the higher tax threshold.. which means more people paying 40% (NI+IT) and more people happy because they'll slip under the child benefit cut off. There's a real politicians solution.. give with one and and take away with the other.
  20. There's no benefit to the government (that I can see) in getting involved in private pensions. It doesn't cost the government anything either way, and if you draw earlier you start paying tax earlier.
  21. The flat rate pension reform was never going to be an easy sell because it was never going to be popular. On one hand you are taking away a sizeable tax loophole from the highest earning, most influential people with the sharpest elbows and trying to give the difference to low earners who probably don't even realise/appreciate the help you are trying to give them. I'll give George 10/10 for trying though.
  22. Not quite sure that's true. Oil companies were paying good dividends because they were making big profits which represented good value. Then the supply/demand dynamics changed (mostly supply because demand is still increasing). The same is true of commodities like Iron/Steel.. Companies were paying good dividends on big profits because China was hoovering up all the world could produce during it's construction boom. Then China stopped buying.. and demand collapsed. That is a bit different to a financial bubble like the tech bubble where companies never paid any dividends because they never made any money. Where future returns were pure fantasy.
  23. I've often wondered this myself. I believe it is the BMA and Dr's unions who are opposed to this. I think they argue that it would be too expensive to train so many doctors and there wouldn't be enough guaranteed jobs for them. The other argument is that by lowering the bar you don't get the same quality.. Though I'm not sure how this stacks up against employing foreign doctors when vacancies can't be filled. A cynic might say that it keeps it a small club who can command higher wages.
  24. So if UK consultant salaries rose, we would really just be aligning ourselves with salaries and working conditions in the US? In which case it's hard to understand what the fuss is about.
  25. Probably not helpful to jump in halfway through a thread and stick my oar in, but a friend of mine who is a junior Doctor made the point that doctors in the US get paid quite a bit more than they do in the UK and he'd consider moving there. I presume this is fully trained doctors though? So is this a case of paying junior doctors relatively less while they're training (and getting paid for it by the NHS in the process), so that consultant wages can be increased so they lose fewer consultants to the US. Sort of a deferred payment over their career perhaps? Only an idea / thought
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