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ntb

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Posts posted by ntb

  1. But the UK has officially been in a recovery since 2012. No irony or sarcasm here. Look at the GDP figures. The UK is in its 4th year of recovery.

    The government is still borrowing 6% of GDP into existance every year. A sizable chunk more is being borrowed by 'consumers' and business. Strip debt growth out before you look at GDP to get a meaningful figure.

  2. What do you think of the deflationist denningers musings?

    Do you think the taper will continue as planned?

    I follow him pretty closely. I can't find fault in his logic or facts. I'm inclined to give much more credence to a position arrived at through logic and facts rather than plucked out of the air. I haven't seen an inflationist argument put before him that has survived scrutiny.

  3. If you are assuming the Fed will stop tapering and QE will continue over here then you are assuming that they are willing to destroy bond holders i.e. the pension and insurance industries rather than the gentle raping they have endured so far. I don't think so. QE has been tried, it has failed. No point in inflicting more damage.

  4. The teacher I hold in highest regard wasn't particularly brilliant at motivating and enthralling the class, there were others that were better. He was an ex Commando and he was adept at keeping discipline and stopping disruption so that those who wanted to learn could get on with it. He earned my lasting admiration when the biggest and most disruptive bullying lummox in the class was dragged from the classroom by the throat and slammed repeatedly into some lockers before being dragged back to his seat. Being in his class was a real pleasure compared to some of the wet individuals that couldn't or wouldn't tackle those destined for a life in prison.

  5. I read an article in the middle of the night that said that the US Fed was buying 110% of its bonds and that it will be 140% within a few years. I have no idea how they can buy more than 100% but perhaps the BOE is buying most of our stuff.... but if they were then they would not be demanding higher rates... unless they are incredibly thick.

    Just a guess but I would take it to mean buying more in total than the newly issued bonds, i.e. rolling over matured bonds as well.

  6. http://www.theonion.com/articles/detroit-sold-for-scrap,1931/

    Prescient article from the Onion in 2006...

    Snip

    DETROIT—Detroit, a former industrial metropolis in southeastern Michigan with a population of just under 1 million, was sold at auction Tuesday to bulk scrap dealers and smelting foundries across the United States.

    "This is what's best for Detroit," Mayor Kwame M. Kilpatrick said. "We must act now, while we can still get a little something for it."

    /Snip

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