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House Price Crash Forum

the_austrian

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About the_austrian

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  1. the_austrian

    Admission When Wrong

    The only way to get a meaningful nominal crash is for there to be less money in circulation. Which can only happen if significant amounts of debt are paid back... which is literally impossible. A big mistake people make is to compare what we are going through now with the depression of the 1930's. A stock market index is NOT THE SAME as a house price index. People need houses more than they need stocks. In the 1930's the leveraged investors were generally wealthy speculators who could easily close their accounts and pay back the debt... they had the liquidity to do so. With the current house (credit) price bubble people are simply unable to pay down the debt. If someone has taken out a 200k mortgage on a semi in the home counties they are not going to be able to pay back the debt. So there will NEVER be a nominal crash. The best people with an interest in housing themselves and their families can hope for is for there to be some serious land reforms such as a Land Value Tax or similar. The only market-based solutions would be a repudiation of the fiat currency by the population which is in effect a hyperinflation event. If that doesn't happen only a true banking crisis would result in house price falls. This would mean they would need to let the banks fail. Which as we have seen is unlikely.
  2. Rare that you see an article intimating that high house prices might not always be a good thing.
  3. the_austrian

    Who Do We Keep Borrowing From?

    The government is borrowing from people who sell things. Let's say the government wants to commission the building of a new hospital. The people who win the contract agree to build the hospital and agree to receive their payment in the future. (They have purchased a government bond.) This means the government is now in further debt. A bond has been issued (to be repaid by taxpayers in the future) and your children are now further in debt. The government is borrowing from anyone who will sell things to the government and is willing to accept deferred payment. It continues for as long as the government debt is valued.
  4. the_austrian

    Moneyweek- The Rise Of The Robots.

    There is a huge distinction between excluding the 'poor' from food directly and excluding them from land. No one made the land. One of the best written expositions of this important distinction is by Winston Churchill... http://www.landvaluetax.org/current-affairs-comment/winston-churchill-said-it-all-better-then-we-can.html In short... the landless have justified grievances against the rich... those with land do not. There is easily enough land on the planet to feed everyone. This is where the arguments against technology are futile. People have been able to feed themselves for thousands of years and we can certainly do so today. Robots are only a problem if you have no means to create wealth (food) yourself. Those with land will always be able to support themselves and robots will only improve their lives.
  5. the_austrian

    We Really Like The House....

    Interesting thread. My only thought is what are you doing with the cash? Fiat money is a dangerous thing to be holding onto... especially as we face a very uncertain future financially. As you accept yourself. Hard to know where to squirrel away that sort of retirement money. Stocks and shares?
  6. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    No coercion no crime... A fraud can be avoided by those who have seen through it. Not so with banking.
  7. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    Call me an optimist but I have faith in the internet remaining free. If it isn't we have (perhaps) bigger problems than banking.
  8. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    It's difficult to see something you do not want to see. And the money is good
  9. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    The days of being able to bump off a president are long gone. If there is sufficient soft pressure in the media (the ballot box is less important... ) to look at reform it will happen. Mervyn King: "Of all the many ways of organising banking, the worst is the one we have today." Central bankers have never spoken like this. They must change because their inconsistencies are becoming more and more obvious. The internet age likes consistency.
  10. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    Truth and reconciliation. I'm long past the stage of wanting to seek revenge. Now all I want is for the system to be fixed so that banks can fail and we can get on with our lives.
  11. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    Perhaps they do not share our cynicism. In fact being somewhat naive concerning the effects of their actions might be a qualifying attribute.
  12. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    I see that most people do not know how banking works and they think their bank account is representative of cash... this doesn’t strictly define fraud. Even the bank could be confused about what is going on. It’s not fraud if it’s not deliberate and that’s where the accusations of conspiracy are relevant. I don’t think there is a deliberate conspiracy amongst the bankers they are merely the happy beneficiaries of legal precedent (and ignorance) that have lead us to where we are now. The most important organisation in the country is the central bank and almost no one pays them any attention. How many people had even heard of Mervyn King before the financial crisis started?
  13. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    I thought the value of cash comes from the state? Or have you changed your position on that
  14. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    No this is a complete misunderstanding... prices remain the same
  15. the_austrian

    Banking Is Not A Conspiracy

    A mistake which they are now forced to accept by the coercion of the state. Coercion can influence the market.
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