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House Price Crash Forum


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Everything posted by PeanutButter

  1. Sounds like my cup of tea, I'll take a gander. Since we're doing media recommendations
  2. Let’s not underestimate the lockdown marriage break ups, and the number of people who have had to share space at close quarters for so long they’ll pay over odds to get their own. Certainly in one area I monitor in the country there are no rentals avail for weeks at a time. And ones that come up all go quickly.
  3. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/jul/19/uk-living-standards-squeeze-real-pay-inflation-strikes Two big conclusions can be drawn from the latest data. The first is that there will be trouble ahead unless the government responds to the falling living standards of teachers, nurses, civil servants and other groups of public sector workers. This will mean either people leaving the public sector or strikes, and probably both. The second is that the economy is rapidly reaching crunch point. If average regular pay is rising by just over 4% and annual inflation is running well above 10%, something has to give. That something will be consumer spending, with the lowest-paid and most vulnerable workers suffering most.
  4. Getting distracted by housing and who is the worst party is what they would prefer. Distraction distraction, while people's budgets go to the wall.
  5. I think civil unrest would be the quickest route to easing the pressure of these particular bills.
  6. He's a good person, you can tell. He's smart, that's obvious. Anyone thinking of this is political terms is crazy, this guy is more genuine in his concern than any MP. UK citizens will suffer this winter. UK children will suffer this winter. He's not wrong about civil unrest.
  7. A family member was trying to convince us that rent to rent was a great idea. Airbnb has absolutely distorted the market.
  8. Had family in Perth for a while, have thought about it. Good land prices still.
  9. I was under the duvet in my pyjamas like a good Christian.
  10. For once I'll be an optimist. 1% for the yanks, 0.5% for us It's the Sun I swear
  11. Nuclear should be a priority. But my preference is to also see a huge push for off grid consumer solutions, grey water recycling, individual sustainability and self sufficiency. Here's a piece on Tasmania I found interesting: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-07-30/tasmania-among-best-places-to-survive-global-collapse/100333892 (ignore the hyperbolic headline) This trend will only continue.
  12. Agreed. It will absolutely come to that, but first we'll do the hand wringing dance, until a strongman popular leader arrives to authorise brutality. We're coming to a convergence point between human population growth + climate breakdown. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/01/the-children-s-continent/
  13. + Lots of land - Heavily armed population itching for violence Personally, I prefer a western economy island. https://gain.nd.edu/our-work/country-index/rankings/
  14. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/jul/19/a-lot-of-challenges-can-housing-industry-build-homes-habitable-in-high-temperatures
  15. I know, the climate scientists are suffering what I’d describe as panic/depression/despair. If ppl here have children I do strongly urge them to research more about places that will best withstand the coming turmoil. UK, NI are both good places to start but I suspect the 14,000 boat migrants a year will be also only increase.
  16. Wait and see what kind of landlord they will make. Fair rents, prompt repairs, good communication? Good to have competition. And at least you know they won’t get repossessed and kick you out.
  17. Denialists only have denial. Realists can plan ahead. We should all be planning for a future where temps like this are more frequent, longer, hotter, start earlier, run later. Because this will only get worse. We’re a HPC forum. This sort of thing could certainly crash the prices of particular dwellings and boost others.
  18. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11024507/Interest-rates-2-Bank-England-warns-inflation-bites-Brits.html Interest rates may have to go up to 2% or more in the next year to halt soaring inflation, Bank of England warns, as it says taking aggressive action now is better than doing 'too little too late' Comments btl
  19. Seriously, just read the passivhaus doc. The overheating of buildings is a growing concern in the UK. This document outlines common problems and a recommended approach to designing for summer comfort in the UK climate for domestic dwellings up to four storeys high; non-domestic buildings and multi-family dwellings are not discussed in detail, although most of the same principles apply. Examples include hot water distribution, lighting in circulation areas and other additional sources of unwanted heat as well as the control of ventilation and heating and possible thermal separation between units. This document complements the detailed guidance in the Passivhaus Trust booklet “How to Build a Passivhaus.” Whilst it includes some details and examples it does not replace practical design guidance or the need to test each design to ensure it is fit for purpose. Passivhaus buildings are known for delivering excellent winter comfort in the coldest of climates, with no draughts or condensation, and lower heating bills. The Passivhaus Standard also includes targets for summer comfort (including humidity) and the Passivhaus design software (PHPP) provides increasingly powerful tools to consider this. Delivering summer comfort can be more of a challenge because, whilst there is always a heating system to control winter temperatures, there is typically no source of active cooling available in the summer. Other European countries with hotter summers than the UK manage to maintain comfortable temperatures in their low-energy buildings without active cooling, so it follows that active cooling should not be required in the UK. Typically, in warm-hot climates, buildings have always had to be designed to cope with hot summer temperatures and the building’s occupants have learned how to keep a building cool by the use of shading and night ventilation. Where this is not possible (e.g. in noisy environments) cooling will probably be specified. Although a warming climate is sometimes blamed for the increase in overheating, the real issue is the change in our buildings. The insulation we use to keep us warm in winter also retains heat from sun and internal gains in summer. If this heat gain is not removed, we become uncomfortable. Even more significantly, high performance glazing allows us to install more glass in our buildings without winter discomfort or high heating bills. However, the increased glazing considerably raises the risk of overheating. Whilst it is now generally accepted that good low-energy design is more about the reduction of the heating demand than passive solar gains, Passivhaus buildings with a particularly poor form factor can end up with additional south glazing as the only practical way to achieve the 15kWh/m2 .yr annual heat demand target. This has been a particular problem with very small buildings though it has been largely addressed by improvements in the calculation methodology in PHPP 9 (Schnieders, 2015).
  20. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/resources/idt-d6338d9f-8789-4bc2-b6d7-3691c0e7d138 I think they're focused on cutting down energy usage (therefore emissions), making homes warm makes sense from that pov. And don't mention increased risk of flooding... We have the same problem with leaves of the line, no snow ploughs on the roads - none of it happens frequently enough to justify investing in the fixes. We'd rather just whinge. So it's up to the house owners to plan ahead. Our govt isn't going to do it for us.
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