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14stFlyer

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Everything posted by 14stFlyer

  1. You may be right Dave. But what will Boris’s “cave” look like, and what will the implications for everyday life in NI be?
  2. But implementing Article 16 is not what is being talked about kzb. The government are threatening to simply not implement the agreement at all, and are trying to force the EU to renegotiate the protocol. I am with Bruce on this and from a principle perspective want the EU to play hard ball. However, I recognise that any hardline response from the EU is likely to be played to the tories advantage in the U.K. electorate (and seized on by Unionists). A nice amicable split is not looking good at the moment.
  3. To me, we are like lemmings who have looked ahead of us to the cliff and do not like the look of the drop into the river. This said, virtually all the lemmings who jump survive, and perhaps it is the ones at the back of the pack going the other way that get eaten by the predators?
  4. I think this impasse was inevitable. The NI issue has still not been resolved (despite a signed deal and pressure from the Biden administration), and the jingoistic nonsense of giving “UK citizens the continued right to access the British Banger” will play well with the masses. The cynical amongst us (and that includes me) will claim that this endgame was visualised by certain members of our Tory government a VERY long time ago. The sad thing is, it might work. But at what cost?
  5. And that is the way forward for us to decarbonise too. We will find it difficult to accept a drop in either standard of living or breadth of opportunities. Instead we must simply find less damaging ways to do things at least as well, if not better than before. In my view nuclear reactors and electric cars are good examples of this: simply better at providing the energy source and travel solutions than the coal power stations and ICE cars that they are replacing. And better from an environmental and sustainability viewpoint as well.
  6. I have posted this graph of voter turn out vs socioeconomic background in the Brexit vote to point out that, while I do not dispute the base data behind your comments on demographics, I do not agree with your conclusions. I believe that younger people (under 40s) from lower socioeconomic groups tended not to vote in the referendum (unless you believe a higher proportion of young people are middle class, when there is ample evidence that the opposite tends to be true). In my view this is at least part of the reason for your often quoted “only old people voted for Brexit” mantra. I believe the geographical distribution of Brexit vote is more illuminating, as it highlights “no” areas in “globalised” cities and where migration patterns were broadly positive for local people, and “yes” areas in post-industrial locations with populations with less social and geographical mobility and, in my view broadly negative migration patterns for local people. Of course, this map could just represent areas of foreigner hating... but I think not. Also, your smiley face at the Tim Martin comments suggest to me that you are recognising that lack of EU FOM is having an effect on job markets, even if having FOM before 2016 was not. Data from LSE “Brexit, inequality and the demographic divide”
  7. The breaking down of the red wall and focus of our main political parties on the North, the removal of EU freedom of movement, the apparent leaving of over 1 million EU migrants from England, the government’s levelling up agenda, the offering of jobs locally to our youngsters rather than preferentially to Eastern Europeans abroad. Maybe even a future shortage of young people to do the jobs our economy requires? These changes in both emphasis and reality have occurred. I suspect, like me, you think that much of this is lip service. Boris and his Brexit cronies will actually, where they can, continue with policies of elitism, inequality and exclusion. And the people who voted for Brexit may never get the benefits that they were hoping for. However, the vote to leave the EU has definitely got these issues out into open discussion. And that was definitely not the status quo.
  8. Spot on. We have had an era of “money makes money” regardless of risk level. One of the most obvious examples of this is the escalating asset prices of things like housing. This has led to increasing inequality in our society (obviously) and has to stop if we are going to get the right incentives back into our society. Perhaps it is already in the process of doing so. A return to a situation where all money/wealth is earned would be most welcome.
  9. Well there you go. We can break our programming!
  10. Our ‘spoons is back to the good old days and full to capacity, even on a Monday.
  11. The two are not mutually exclusive. In fact I think royalty and balding old hits may well be linked... it’s in the genes 🧬
  12. I do not see it like this at all Kzb. I remember having conversations with both remainers and Brexiteers soon after the “Yes” vote. Both talked about NI as a serious issue that had to be resolved to the satisfaction of all in NI. Both groups thought that it would probably limit the extent to which market divergence could occur after Brexit. The only difference between the groups was that my remainer friends and I saw it as a good thing that separation would be limited, whereas some of my Brexiter friends saw it as an obstacle to be overcome. I suspect little has changed, although no one talks about this in the pub now... or anywhere else for that matter. Just on here.
  13. Are you talking about the EU triggering Article 16 over potential vaccine export, the U.K. government threatening to break terms of the withdrawal agreement, the U.K. government’s failure to bring in some of the signed-up-to checks for products crossing the Irish Sea, or all of the above? Trust is at a very low ebb, I agree, and I think that the majority (but not all) of the reason for this is down to the behaviours of Boris and his cronies.
  14. Sadly I think you are right rollover. Almost from Day 1 it was clear that NI protocol was the biggest single Brexit issue (how can there be no border on the Island of Ireland and yet no border within the EU single market, or within U.K. territory?). And the fudges so far tried have not given us an answer. I still hope that the strong political will felt by all to adhere to the Good Friday Agreement will lead us to closer integration with Europe again in the near term. However, I also worry about an alternative future where agreement cannot be reached and positions continue to become more polarised.
  15. I am afraid people are starting to ignore you when you cry “wolf” dugs.
  16. A legacy technology with a long history of catastrophic failure. I could not disagree more Zugs! The so called catastrophic failures of the nuclear power industry have been hugely inflated when compared to the level of mortality caused by similarly reported catastrophes. We have indoctrinated teachers into thinking Nuclear Power is “bad”, and so now a whole generation of students are coming out of school thinking it is “bad” when it should be seen as an essential part of our future along with renewables.
  17. I'm greedy - I'd like to see net emigration and the housing stock and supporting infrastructure improved and expanded. Our country should be run for the many, not the few. Why do you see this as greedy hotblack? Competition for resources (especially housing, but also education, roads, healthcare, parking...) is the main issue in U.K. life for most. We deserve better.
  18. Just because I voted remain does not mean I am going to turn a blind eye to the EUs contribution to the hard Brexit f**k-up we are now experiencing.
  19. Hmm. Just wait until you are 84.... When I was 18, I thought 40 year olds were so old, and that basically their lives were over. Now, less so.
  20. Hi Erat. Interesting questions? Here is my take on it. “How does this work?” You decide to leave a club, but they won’t let you go without some ridiculous ts &cs. You leave anyway and sign their form with no intention of ever agreeing to their rules. “Is there a secret international code of politicians and diplomats that they know these things are said for domestic tabloid consumption, and have no basis in actual policy and governence?” Yes, there is, but I do not think it applies here. “Or are these kinds of statements just straight up truths, and the government don't realise how duplicitous and untrustworthy it makes them look?” Yes, these are straight up truths. No, of course the government realise how untrustworthy it makes them look. “Or are foreign politicians and diplomats equally as duplicitous and untrustworthy so none of it matters?” Most of them, yes. The ones that aren’t are not stupid or surprised by this behaviour. “Or will there just be wars to enforce national ambitions?” Hopefully not, this sort of approach is called “diplomacy” and really is par for the course, sadly . “Genuine questions.” Genuine answers.
  21. I am with you on this Smash. What are the chances of the average British consumer noticing/feeling the advantages of an Australia trade deal? Close to zero.
  22. Still free I think for the commoners of that land. If they have sheep to feed and pigs to forage of course!
  23. Not sure how far back in time you are going Winkie. The general definition of “common land” as far as I am aware is that it is land owned by a landowner that they have provided access and rights to us commoners on. It was usually the least valuable land of the estate. Some, but by no means all, has some collective ownership over it now (for example National Trust). But, sadly, it never was owned by us collectively, even in pre-history.
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