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House Price Crash Forum


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  1. Sorry to read this Count. You and I are of similar vintages. I hope you're not feeling too bad. Quite possibly stepping back and looking for other things to absorb your attention is good sense. And no amount of posting here or anywhere else will affect the price of housing one way or the other, so we'll miss you, but whatever is going to happen in housing market is going to happen anyway.
  2. Surprising the press keep referencing the SD holiday as a driver. Prices have risen much more than than the value of the saving, and seem insensitive to the prospect of it being taken away. Ditto for interest rates - these have increased since last year, and for those most in need of it, has become much harder to get. Feels like this market is driven by an ever decreasing pool of wealthy buyers (see Rightmove data that suggests transaction volumes are down and falling). Pricing based on fewer and fewer transactions. Buyers oblivious to some of the factors coming down the pipel
  3. Well Frugal Git, that's a great retrospective of twenty years of HPI! If covid, brexit, mass unemployment, the biggest recession in history and the reimposition of stamp duty next year don't bring it all crashing down, I think we just have to dig in and wait for Jesus to return 😆
  4. The stock response back then to a suggestion that governments wouldn't allow a crash to happen, and would take whatever fiscal and/or monetary steps were needed, was that a housing crash would overwhelm those mechanisms, and that no government had the power to stop it. That was wrong!
  5. Thanks Mikhail, I remember that time! There was a bizarre mix of group-think orthodoxy, paranoia and authoritarian moderation before the site got sold on and became more commercialised. I can't remember what my username was then, but I was variously accused of being an estate agent troll, a BTL muppet, and I think I eventually got booted off for not being sufficiently crashy 😆
  6. I seem to recall that it was a similar fiscal cliff edge that provoked the crash at the end of the eighties. There was an abrupt end to the very beneficial "double MIRAS" in 1988 which caused a similar rush to beat an arbitrary deadline accompanied by a surge in prices, and followed by tumble weed and a collapse. Boom and bust in the 1980s Repossessions last rocketed in the late 1980s and early 1990s following the housing market crash. Many blamed the then Chancellor Nigel Lawson's sudden decision to end double mortgage interest tax relief in August 1988. This meant couple
  7. Holloway, one of the grottier bits of north London, mainly famous for two prisons and a traffic-choked arterial road, and now this remarkable piece of real estate! How to hide your damp problem in plain sight It's great that the agents listed it at £1m on 27th July and then on the same day immediately realised the folly of underpricing it so badly, and put it straight up to £1.2m ?
  8. I bet a lot of these landlords who Hampton say have stopped renting properties, have just stopped renting via estate agents, and instead are renting out properties via Airbnb and similar as short-term lets, easily avoiding the weak 90-day yearly limit. The tax advantages of organising as a holiday-lettings business rather than a normal lettings business are also now more pronounced so wouldn't be surprising.
  9. I'm guessing that the Daily Mail will have to be unusually careful as to how it reports a property crash now.
  10. One of our regulars seems to be asking questions elsewhere ... https://www.mumsnet.com/Talk/property/3002138-Current-Pickle-Rent-or-Buy
  11. Some news from the FT: https://www.ft.com/content/0c3427b2-5ce1-11e7-9bc8-8055f264aa8b
  12. Either the landlord is delusional (this seems unlikely, given that he's got an agent to advise him) or this is just a negotiating tactic: you ask for £150 off, he demands £150 more, you compromise and leave the rent unchanged. I'd ignore his response, try to overlook any game playing element, and ask yourself whether the rent saving on a new flat would outweigh all of the disadvantages of moving. If it would then move.
  13. Brutalism doesn't mean what you think it means. It's about raw exposed concrete. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brutalist_architecture
  14. International trade is incompatible with untrammeled national sovereignty. Government subsidies (is state aid) will not be tolerated within any significant trade agreements which the UK or any other country signs, for obvious reasons. If the UK wants to do as it pleases it will need to retreat into full-on isolationism.
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