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House Price Crash Forum


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Everything posted by Unmoderated

  1. Agree - though good article out stating 7K steps is the magic number this month . https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9956187/Walking-just-7-000-steps-day-middle-age-cut-risk-early-death-70-study-says.html
  2. Yeah, it's a cynical thought I've had too. Preserve employment numbers by soaking up people into universities. The point is more that this is competitive pressure in a global market. The perception is you need a degree or a professional (proper one) to compete in a global industry for a decent job. I agree you can overeducate a workforce for sure. But what's interesting is the shift in type of courses. The total number of people in tertiary education has not changed as much as I had thought. Certainly not from 10% to 50%. The other issue is where is the on the job training or apprenticeships that used to grace the young? https://ifs.org.uk/publications/14729 On average £130K more earnings over their lifetime. Even at a lower tax rate plus NI that's £39K, in other words it is the cost of a four year degree at £9k/year. Historically the relationship was always that education was free but because you tended to earn more it was fair that you paid more tax. The degree lead to a higher paid job then as it does now. However, now you're clobbered with paying for your own education and then paying into a system when you graduate that supports a cohort that had it all for free. Although you might be an outlier an anecdote is not the singular of fact and the facts are that tertiary education was either free, or paid (apprenticeships) compared to today where you pay (a fortune) and there are precious few apprenticeships available. Back then if you went on to earn more then fine, you paid more tax but that was most likely due to the effect of that education so the system was paying for itself. Now it doesn't - why not? where is all that money going? What you describe is a unique position where someone pays more for not going to university IF they end up earning as much as someone who did go. Question for you, how did they earn that much? Was it by working with technical people who started off on a graduate scheme after going to uni? Or building a business and employing university graduates? Even a humble builder requires civil engineers, building control and permission not to mention using materials that have been processed by companies employing people in R&D who... guess what... went to university. No man is an island and education has far wider reaching benefits than those individuals. Yet as a society we've chosen to socialise those benefits and privatise the costs.
  3. UK is aligned with other countries. What seems to be the case though is the costs for tertiary education have gone from being funded by the state to the individual so now they pay twice. Once to get their degree and again when they're earning more and paying higher rates of tax.
  4. I'll explain. The DD example is a strawman at it's finest. You've opened an analogy with a pre-known and almost universally agreed 'bad position'. The point with buying or not buying a house and whether that's good or bad is impossible to answer since it's an individual level decision. I think the issue is the perception that buying a house is some massive gamble when, put simply, it's a game of financial maths adn doing what's best for you. You want to rent because you've a neuroses about prices collapsing the second you buy something then that's ok. If, on the other hand, you accept that a paper gain or loss is just that and you can afford to make the repayments as stress tested (and if you've concerns about rate rises you can fix that rate) then also fine. Drink driving to save £20 it is not. That's always a dumb idea whether you get away with it or not. As for me, and as posted above, I got a stream of borderline abuse for being a mug and capitulating 4 years ago. Best thing I've done after quitting smoking and getting qualified I'd say. It's nice to be able to move forward from everything's so unfair and the world's against me to look forward to improving my home, quality of life and financial position. You couldn't rent a flat for what my mortgage costs on a three bed detached with lovely garden, log burner and nice walk into a decent market town with plenty of pubs and restaurants (no need to drink drive OR waste £20 on a taxi!). You might well be on here arguing until the day you buy or the day you die. I wish you luck.
  5. Great response. I announced on here that I'd bitten the bullet (about 4 years ago). A stream of vitriol ensued. I was a moron, credit was tightening etc etc. I bought a fixer upper in a good town but on a bit of a cut through road that I knew was being turned into a dead-end and a relief road built (doing it now!). The biggest issue I have with the place at the moment is that I want to extend it but because of the sheer demand for work and the shortage of some materials the quotes I'm getting are a little crazy. The upshot though is I remortgage for £350K and my repayments are £950/month for a five years 0.99% fixed! This is a nice problem to have and I'm glad I've moved on from the anger I used to feel when I was renting and everything felt so unfair and stacked up against me. I, like you, have much sympathy with many in a precarious housing position but as you've pointed out it is within your control to change that.
  6. Here's an interesting article on tertiary education: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_tertiary_education_attainment
  7. It seems you're a geneticist now too? What's the DNA mutation that makes one blame Boomers? What have I blamed them for? When and where did I write it? I said they got lucky. To say otherwise is to say they're a superior generation (which we can all agree is nonsense).
  8. I did and I can't see where I've been constantly raising it? It was already raised wouldn't you agree? How am I raising it when I'm responding?
  9. What do you believe caused the fall in fertility in the UK?
  10. It seems like you feel I blame the Boomers but how have I done so? It seems like you're keen on raising an us and them? I'm simply pointing out that there are different times and that your arguments against millennials seem to be unfounded and maybe hypocritical (they consume more than Boomers so they can't afford a house - yet Boomers consumed more than their parents and still could afford a house). If you're familiar with Game Theory you'll understand that an effective higher education strike by any generation would back fire on them. Education requirements have changed. The world is more complex and people are increasingly specialised in industries their country specialises in. My friends father has one O-Level and is a property millionaire. I have an honours degree (big deal) and am a Chartered Accountant (I think a genuine big deal) and I am behind where he was at my age.... but am ahead of his son - my friend - in terms of wealth and earnings despite a big difference in financial support from our parents. I agree with the view of higher education but you're arguing that the tail wagged the dog here. If you're faced with the life choice of going or not going to uni and assuming you want any kind of modern apprenticeship (called a graduate scheme these days) you need to go to a decent uni. If we could shut down the half or two thirds of people going to uni for no real benefit. It seems like by trying to add emotive words to your response (e.g. 'nasty boomers' for instance) you're projecting an image onto my argument or me. I agree, Boomers simply made the best of what was in front of them just like every other generation. They were just luckier. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-58430364#comp-comments-button
  11. I've put money into a piggy bank and a stripper's thong.
  12. Roll all earnings in a year together. Capital Gains, Earnings Income, Inheritance and then give a slightly higher tax free limit and a few more bandings, remove the BS 100K to 125K zone with the tax free allowance being abated such that your marginal tax rate is just off the charts and job done. Insane that someone can sit around doing sweet FA all their lives and inherit a million quid and pay virtually no tax on it versus someone getting up every day adn earning £50K for twenty years. As for CGT and risk taking - the risk determines the potential reward. People make a loss, it's on them. People working for a living can't offset their actually costs of earning that money while someone self employed or paying to buy and sell things is able to have these taken into account. The people making big gains from CG or Inheritance actually should pay more given it's the stable legal and economic system that enables all of this to work in the first place.
  13. They weren't choices then anymore than it's a choice now. Back then you had to be top 10% or less to get into uni (and it was free, and you claimed unemployment benefit in the summer hols). Now it's pretty much inceniveable (I didn't go straight to uni so I remember what was actually available to me) you'd get into a decent firm without either a degree or a serious professional qualification (most of which require a degree to get onto a training course for). Credit was simply not available in the way it is now either. Let's take a wild stab in the dark about which generation was overseeing banking and credit regulation while that exploded? If someone can afford a pair of £600 trainers but not a place to live that raises questions about the price of the home (and also his priorities of course). The land my house was built on sold for much less than those trainers in the 1950s. I think you're massively generalising. I'm an early millennial. My last car cost be £8K (cash btw not credit). I had 140K miles out of it over 9 years. I only bought another one (cash, not brand new) when it broke down and wasn't worth repairing. As for those other events travel has become far more affordable. In fact most things have become far more affordable, that's a consequence of economic growth and improvements in productivity. Boomers got to drive around in cars their parent's generation barely saw. They had jet travel for entertainment while their parents played in bombsites. It's inane really to try and make these comparisons. There's a vein of truth in weddings, christening etc becoming overblown events for sure but that's really on them. Their money, their choice. It seems like you believe the Boomers got fairly lucky (inflation killing mortgage and giving raises while enjoying the last of the DB pensions) and that is all. I would agree. They aren't really out there screwing over the young beyond simply being a large enough voting block to attract a little largesse at the expense of the generations before and after but let's not pretend the differences in financial outrun are down to Boomers making the right choices while 'kids these days' are hopeless debt junkies with warped priorities.
  14. How can you prevent someone returning to their home - even if it's a care home? How did you know those hospitals wouldn't have been used without the wonderful benefit of hindsight? It seems that wouldn't have been a viable solution. In any case they were set up as ICU wards not care homes, nor would they have had capacity to act as holding pens (and for how long exactly?) for care home residents.
  15. It seems now that my point is how to care for someone. It isn't. My question is how is the government supposed to stop these people from going back to their homes once discharged from hospital? Even if you stick them in a pop up hospital you'd be out of capacity in a week given the sheer volume of churn of oldies through hospitals. I'm merely asking that if the government murdered all these old people (nonsense anyway) by allowing them back to their homes (that happen to be a care home) when they were well what should they have done with them instead?
  16. So send them to a place where there was nobody to look after them and that was totally unsuited to providing that type of care?
  17. It seems like you didn't want them sent back to their home once they were able to leave hospital?
  18. No worries. I don't think the Boomers are this vilified set of evil people, rather they just got lucky.
  19. Yeah no problem. My expectation is a fairly simple one and that's to generate about £1.50-£2 back for each £1 I spend on the refurb. The more I do myself the closer to £2 we go. Moving costs would be significant if I sold at say £900K and bought at £900k but I'd want to buy something much cheaper, possibly cash at auction and then renovate that. If I can sell at £900K once all is done I'll have £500K equity after disposal (from a £75K deposit four years ago!). For the me the price rise is less relevant than the relative price rise. No point moving house if they've all gone up by the same amount. In the mid 2000s you saw people thinking they were property gurus because they'd spent £50K adding £40K of value to the house only for the market to have saved their arses. End goal is an eco house that's comfortable and a nice but modest size on a nice plot near an ok town. Then I can retire early, drive around in a camper van and tend to my garden. If I get super lucky I'll have a canal mooring and my own narrow boat.
  20. Great work! I too would see similar but always worth bearing in mind what the house is worth immediately before you start the work, what it'll cost, and what it's likely worth afterward. In rough numbers house worth low 500s today, work quotes coming in at 200 and final value mid 800s - poss 900. However, locking in a 5yr fixed rate means I might be living in it a while and enjoying it first before moving onto the next one.
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