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House Price Crash Forum


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About gp_

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  1. The biggest problem are countries thar are acutally developing rather than poor. Their consumption is increasing faster than that of developed countries. China and India are the big ones. Even more so when you see it presented like this: https://brilliantmaps.com/population-circle/
  2. You are entirely missing my point. Religion has very little to do with population growth (except for some fundamentalist Muslim countries that opress women very seriously). The problem is your rather Dawkins typ anti-religious bigoty is getting in the way of seeing the real problems - economics and lifestyles.
  3. Very few. I once had an interesting conversation with a guy whose brother had come to the UK illegally, and been kicked out. The short version of it was that he made much less money than he expected by working illegally, and he got kicked out fairly fast. They are not after benefits, they are after jobs. The numbers show how many more people are entering than claiming asylum. The rest are wroking illegally. I think the idea of a bounty on traffickers is a good one, but I a bounty on turning in employers would be better, or making them entitled to claim the minimum wage from employers if they give evidence against them. The reason peopl employ illegal immigrants is they want cheap labour. Fines are not enough to deter them, so we need to up the amounts.
  4. You do know that Ethopians are not Catholics? They have had their own church for two millennia. The countries with the fastest growing populations are Muslim ones, but the real determinants are poverty, urbanisation and women's rights. People living in cities have fewer children, women who can get a job have an economic incentive not to have as many children, etc.
  5. Maybe an indepentent school, but not one of those two. Harrow is not particularly good, just posh. Eton is academically good, and an amazingly good place to make contacts, BUT a very high proportion of the old Etonians I have known over the years are a bit obnoxious. Not all of them, but enough. My kids are/were home educated up to GCSE. Better education at a much lower cost. Older one doing a degree apprenticeship so a degree from a Russel Group university without any debt. Harder work than studying full time but you get work experience at the same time, definitely a better option for those going vocational subjects. You need to blame Blair for this too. Unnecessarilly expanding the number of people doing full time undergraduate degrees (mostly at crap unisversities) makes it a lot more expensive for the government to fund it. What makes me sad is that doing non-vocational degrees is now only a risk the affluent can take.
  6. Direct link: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-06-15/world-s-most-bubbly-housing-markets-flash-2008-style-warnings and The Telegraph is calling for the BoE to take the heat out of the housing market: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2021/06/15/bank-england-readies-action-against-fire-uk-housing-market/ I think a fairly influential consensus is forming that interest rates need to rise and house prices will (and need to come down).
  7. @shlomo yes and no. Comparing with London shows how big regional variations are. On the other hand, even looked at in isolation, the Manchester flats are cheaper in real terms and cheaper as a proportion of incomes then they were 20 years ago. The area has improved. The only real explanation I can think of is that increased supply has kept rents down. There has been a lot of development both in the area and in adjacent areas - especially in the city centre. These flats are walking distance of the city centre, but now there are also more flats in the city centre.
  8. To add to my earlier comment, I was really surprised about the manchester flats going at roughly the same rate 20 years later. The area has improved, Manchester is supposed to be more popular, etc. and we have had 20 years worth if inflation and income rises. I am really very surprised.
  9. It depends where you are. A flat identical to the one I lived in in Manchester (same block, seems same layout from photos) 20 years ago is available at about the same rent. Flats identical to the one I lived in in central London the previous year seem to be not far short of double the rent.
  10. https://www.gov.uk/private-renting-tenancy-agreements/your-landlord-wants-to-end In addition, if they gave you notice for a shorter period than the six months, it is probably invalid.
  11. https://www.facebook.com/abcnews.au/videos/mark-humphries-the-honest-auctioneer/4023822551043159/
  12. From a tenants point of view, its a lot easier. You would have to show tenants around yourself, but it also means you get to meet them face to face, and they get to meet you. Gives you both a better idea of who you are dealing with.
  13. So essentially we are going to spend more but CO2 emissions will still increase anyway. The UK's entire CO2 output is less than an year (or maybe two) of China's increase. What is the point?
  14. He had to pay a little over 2k with courts costs and compensation. Still not enough. The compensation alone should have been a few thousands, at least. Does anyone know whether the compensation prevents the tenant getting further compensation through the civil courts? According to this: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9591249/Landlord-dumped-tenants-belongings-fell-rent-fined-illegal-eviction.html it was in the magistrates court which sounds like compensation for the criminal act alone.
  15. I checked their fees for landlords on their website. i.e. the landlord has to pay them a minimum of £600 for let only fees.
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