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Everything posted by nightowl
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In 2020 an identifiable new virus existed so the world went nuts imagining it was the return of the medieval plagues. Since then the invasion of Ukraine and the idea of WW3 has taken over.
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đŸ˜³ Ten years...that's a slow response to an issue by most people's measure. I can see the maths issue here, but continual immigration isn't a step change like the xs deaths are surely? Is it realistic that a disproportionate % of new arrivals suddenly die with a year of arriving since 2021? It may well be a factor, but to me it just only explains a small part of the cause.
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Brexit/Rejoin - An alternative to the dichotomy
nightowl replied to TTID's topic in House prices and the economy
I expect few here have any concept of the ins and outs of import&export, and the red tape partially smaller businesses face generally anyway, so just repeat idioligical stuff parrot fashion. -
An 'idiot' who did raise concerns about sub master's treatment by the post office years ago. Making waves when needed isn't going to produce many friends in high places who want to retain a status quo, but is going to require an 'oddball' character trait- so he type are very much needed.
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Spring Budget 2024 (Complete Hunt Guide)
nightowl replied to Pmax2020's topic in House prices and the economy
Has there been a budget in the last 20 years that has been HPI defeating? Not sure why there was hope this one would be any different. Reduction in NIC for working age people is something of a step in the right direction in a wider sense even if not HPI specific. -
Err... this quiz is a parody quiz that mocks the concept of how people label anyone who has any opinion on selected subjects as 'right wing' rather than 'right on' in a nonsensical way. It can't be real because it doesn't ask if you have ever agreed with Jacob Rees Mogg on anything đŸ˜‰
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Gambling doesn't equate to entrepreneurship, even if entrepreneurship involves gambling.đŸ˜†đŸ˜†
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Sunak Addressing The Nation At 5.40pm
nightowl replied to Social Justice League's topic in House prices and the economy
Never before has so little been said by so many, of which some are themselves so little. Or something like that. -
George Galloway wins Rochdale by-election.
nightowl replied to Bruce Banner's topic in House prices and the economy
I wonder how many MPs in marginals (from both the main two parties) are feeling a bit twitchy nowđŸ˜³ -
Hung with a low percentage for the 'winner' and runner up to ram home the point. Anyway, I'm not sure laundries are a big concern of the nation or vote winner for the workers partyđŸ¤¨. All sound utopian pipe dreams in reality as lovely as it all sounds (laundries excepted).
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If bank of M&D borrow against the house they are still living in that will cost in terms of interest paid even if it's deferred via equity release so reducing the future inheritance. The lottery of whether the parents are able or willing to bring forward inheritance, brings about a fundamental quirk - that ability is brought about from (taxed) working and owning an asset inflated by means beyond their control but then need to help their kids out of a hole not of their making eitherđŸ¤¨
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The downside is until they inherit (minus taxes) they will suffer the downsides of HPI. Given how old people tend to be when they inherit they maybe pushing 60 so housing their family will still be a problem. Their life would be better with lower prices when they really need it, and a smaller windfall when they dont.
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Are house price falls about to accelerate?
nightowl replied to 70PC's topic in House prices and the economy
The early 90s had a short sharp recession which was hard to ignore, but today we have a gentler more drawn out perma-recession if you like. "House price crash" might have to renamed "house price long term drift" or something equally dull. -
The halcion days of the nineties were preceded by a proper recession rather than the psuedo recessions we have had since so recreating those days might require a real recession. Worst still, I cant see modern music competing with those years of 90s top club bangers either đŸ˜®
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Boomers have their hand out again!!!
nightowl replied to hughjass's topic in House prices and the economy
But the overall NIC receipts the gov gets is more complicated when you factor in the often forgotten employer element too. đŸ¥´ -
Boomers have their hand out again!!!
nightowl replied to hughjass's topic in House prices and the economy
Just had a look at NIC rates....I have no idea what the rate is as it's just far to complicated for what it is! Nuts. -
Why is Macron acting like a ‘warlord’?
nightowl replied to shlomo's topic in House prices and the economy
If these ex colonies have a french presence and Russia still managed coups despite this, why is Macron so confident these same troops will be effective in Ukraine...assuming he can redeploy them.and risk losing any influence at all in these African countries đŸ¤¨. -
Why is Macron acting like a ‘warlord’?
nightowl replied to shlomo's topic in House prices and the economy
Memories of WW2 or maybe under other pressure from internal politics we aren't aware of over here (farmers kicking off maybe)