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Futuroid

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Everything posted by Futuroid

  1. No, I don't think that's it. I'm in favour of a Federal Europe and have been since the start of this thread.
  2. Has anyone seen those sector-by-sector Brexit impact reports yet? Just checking in casethey got lost in all the kerfuffle about an ariso marrying an actress.
  3. But at exactly the same time the screenshot above was taken... I wonder it it's just a coincidence that Rupert Murdoch owns The Times and also is very friendly with leading leave politicians Michael Gove and Liam Fox? Fake news, from our own government.
  4. Call me skeptical, but isn't it funny how this story broke on the day the government unveiled their majestic industrial strategy... almost as if the whole thing was being stage managed by a government desperate to put forward something, anything positive. And then we have a look behind the headline. When the story broke, it was trailed as 1850 new jobs. The original BBC headline was "New 1 billion pound investment bringing 1850 new pharmaceutical jobs to the UK", but when you look a little closer, you realise there may have been some, ahem, careful presentation. MSD / Merck, were credited by the BBC and others as creating 950 new jobs. But now, after clarification it turns out that 800 of these jobs are already in the UK and they will simply close one location and move the 800 staff elsewhere. In reality, they have said they should be creating around 150 new roles. https://www.ft.com/content/d94fbeba-d102-11e7-b781-794ce08b24dc Qiagen, slated as creating "up to 800 new jobs" is actually "potentially creating up to 800 new jobs". Now, I wonder what that "potentially" hangs on... So, if Brexit goes well, big pharma gets what they want from May's band of merry men and MSD / Qiagen hold to their guns, there will be 150 new research jobs next year with the potential for another 800. Possibly. Potentially. Break out the champagne lads, everything is going to be all right!
  5. UK government told to accept high immigration or forget trade deal with India after Brexit http://uk.businessinsider.com/britain-must-accept-immigration-post-brexit-trade-deals-india-liam-fox-2017-11 Leaving the EU and signing new trade deals with countries elsewhere will mean continued high levels of immigration to Britain, leading businessman warns UK government. Lord Bilimoria, co-founder of Cobra beer, told BI that India will not accept any trade deal with the UK government unless its workers are allowed to move to Britain. Theresa May's visit to India "was a disaster," Bilimoria claimed. Oh dear, and it all looked so easy back in June 2016. No surprise that May's visit to India was a disaster, her visits everywhere are a disaster
  6. Well, this is unfortunate: Johnson & Johnson pulls plan for first UK research centre http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2017/11/25/johnson-johnson-pulls-plan-first-uk-research-centre/ "The company had identified a site for its JLabs concept, which helps fledgling pharmaceutical manufacturers to develop their products, just outside Cambridge. But the plans have been put on hold over concerns that the UK is both politically and economically weak while negotiations to leave the European Union are ongoing. It is understood that Johnson & Johnson had further concerns about the future of EU funding for pharmaceutical research once the UK leaves the bloc." To be honest, one Johnson in the UK is more than enough!
  7. Also from the link above... "For experts in voter behaviour or cognitive science, however, this is unsurprising. Humans do not instinctively enjoy changing their minds. Admitting that you were wrong, especially when the original decision has huge ramifications, is a painful and destabilising experience that the brain tends to resist. " and... "To admit that you now believe you were wrong requires unusual honesty and courage; publicly to admit it takes even more. I contacted dozens of leave voters who had expressed regret on public forums. Many didn’t reply. Some agreed to talk, and then got cold feet at the last moment. A few, fearful of stoking tensions with relatives and colleagues, or of attracting abuse from Brexiteers, would only be interviewed anonymously. Others wouldn’t risk even that. “I have too many related family and business issues to deal with around this subject,” one told me. “Any hint would damage me even more.” and... "People are more likely to change their minds when they’re presented with new information than when they’re asked to reassess what they already knew. For the regretters, it’s often not that key facts were unavailable at the time; rather that the complexity of the issue meant they were too easily overlooked, or the leave campaign misrepresented them, or the remain camp failed to make them unignorable."
  8. And you may ask yourself Where is that £350 million? And you may ask yourself Where has that unicorn gone to? And you may ask yourself Am I right? No I’m wrong And you will scream to yourself, "My God! What have I done?" ‘I thought I’d put in a protest vote’: the people who regret voting leave https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/nov/25/protest-vote-regret-voting-leave-brexit "My friends and family who voted leave can all see it’s a shitshow, and we all wish we hadn’t voted for it. I’m talking about dozens of people. I think there are a lot of shy regretters who don’t show up in the polls. I think if the polls start to switch, then slowly but surely the discourse will change."
  9. The farmers would be alright because although they would pay tax on the land (at the "agricultural land" rate), they would also be generating income by growing crops / grazing cattle to offset it. If LVT replaced income tax, etc. then this would encourage them to be efficient and reward those who were. The higher the yield, the more money they would be making. The people who would lost big time from LVT would be the people who buy (or inherit) and hold. Unfortunately these people are usually very rich and very well connected. That is the whole point of LVT. Land is a finite and fundamental resource - we should encourage its most efficient use, not allow a few hundred people hoard a massive proportion of it.
  10. Gonna be some Daily Mail sadfaces in the UK fishing communities http://neweconomics.org/2017/11/brexit-poses-severe-threat-britains-fishing-communities/ Brexit is almost certain to hit fishing communities hard, new research suggests Boats without quota, processors, retailers and wholesalers will be worse off under nearly all Brexit scenarios Brexit could lead to an increase in overfishing, with disastrous environmental and economic results New Economics Foundation urges the UK government to pursue co-operative approach to Brexit negotiations and use quota to help small boats Looks like the little guys were used as bait.
  11. > Make our own laws We could do this when inside the EU. There were some elements of "pooled soverignty" where the EU level "supranational" law was incorporated into ours, the trick here is to influence that law and create something that you want - this is in fact what we did, time and time again. > Enforce our own borders and citizenship We chose not to do this when we were in the EU. Successive governments of both colours didn't even bother to keep a record of people travelling into the country to work - they were entitled to do this, just as they were entitled to ask anyone who hadn't found a job within three months/or could not financially support themselves to leave. > Save minimum 8bn - maximum 35bn per annum. Please show your working out. > Obtain advantages of free trade with the rest of the world Two words. Liam Fox.
  12. It's all going a bit Pete Tong. Apparently TM is prepared to offer the EU £60 billion for the divorce settlement, but the sticking point is now the border in NI. Bet she capitulates on that as well - she will do pretty much anything now to get trade talks started before Christmas. Liam Fox is still talking about lazy British firms who "don't want to export": https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/liam-fox-left-adrift-after-new-attack-on-firms-z9v5xp33c?shareToken=36532890ec9d8711d2d1b1b0598ad989 Now just isolating himself with his crazy attacks.
  13. They'll still be working here illegally after we leave the EU. Along with a multitude of other nationalities. That won't stop unless flights are stopped (which apparently is a possibility!)
  14. I think that landlords = good is embedded deep in the Tory DNA.
  15. Corbyn has had more electoral success than his last two predecessors and in face he increased Labour's vote share more than any leader since 1945! http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/jeremy-corbyn-election-result-vote-share-increased-1945-clement-attlee-a7781706.html I'm not a Labour man (yet), but he is an excellent campaigner - unsurprising really, since that's what he's been doing in one form or another for his whole political life.
  16. All politicians are going to tell you want you want to hear to some extent. The Conservative party are taking this to new levels (although Trump is probably the master). However the Conservative party is suffering from an existential crisis this time. What is the point of the Conservative party in 2017? From 1979 they had a driving raison d'etre - a small state, low tax, neoliberal vision for the UK. Now they are propping up the housing market, and giving handouts to industry! They have implemented all the privatisations it's electorally possible to implement, but are unprepared to take steps to enable true competition in the land market (via something like LVT) because that would not play well with party members or donors. Until the UK gets land reform, it will continue to underperform similar developed nations. Brexit is the final nail in their coffin, the economic depression that is coming will shred their reputation in fiscal matters (Ok, so they don't really deserve that based on their 2011-> performance, but to the man in street that iceberg is presently invisible, although the tip did pop up to say hi during the budget). When you stuff the cabinet with no talents like Priti Patel and Boris Johnson, you really have to wonder how they've clung on so long!
  17. She didn't say that but she did say she'd sort the unions out and privatisation was openly on the agenda for multiple general elections after 1979. I remember everyone being so happy about getting their windfalls from British gas shares ("tell Sid"), now the same people are pensioners complaining about their gas bills! People went into that with their eyes open. Just like they are going into the forthcoming episode of disaster capitalism with their eyes open, they voted for it despite being told what the consequences would be.
  18. Are they now lost? Have you been in a coma for the past three years?
  19. Well, training them up costs too much. There is no magic money tree you know!
  20. Here you go: https://fullfact.org/education/spending-schools-2020/ "The schools budget is set to rise in cash terms from about £40 billion in 2015/16 to nearly £43 billion in 2019/20, a record level. That’s also a rise when you take expected inflation into account. But once you factor in rising pupil numbers as well, the budget per pupil is set to fall. As the Institute for Fiscal Studies points out, “this will be the first time since the mid-1990s that school spending has fallen in real terms”." Conclusion The cash amount going to schools in England is rising and ahead of inflation, but spending per pupil is set to fall by 8% between 2014 and 2020, taking school-specific inflation into account. My pleasure
  21. Firstly, inflation adjusted spend per pupil has dropped by ~15% in the last 8 years: Source: https://www.ifs.org.uk/publications/8937 Why are textbooks so expensive? http://theconversation.com/required-reading-heres-why-textbooks-are-so-expensive-10502 But if the government didn't keep messing around with the curriculum, the same books the school used ten years ago would be OK. But people like Michael Gove stick their oar in, thinking they know better than the experts. New curriculum = there will hardly be any choice of suitable textbooks on the market, which means you have to pay through the nose. It's the EUs fault - innit! Oh, maybe it's actually the UK government that is partly to blame. Due to real cuts over the last 5-7 years, the public sector is already on a war footing, no room for Brexit induced cuts now without seriously reducing the services offered.
  22. https://www.tes.com/news/school-news/breaking-news/now-schools-are-asking-parents-pay-toilet-paper "Parents are being asked to pay for the most basic of items for their child’s school – including toilet paper – to help with the funding squeeze, a new survey has revealed. Nearly a third of parents have been asked to supply teaching equipment like stationery and books – and almost a fifth have been asked to provide essentials like toilet paper, a PTA UK survey has found."
  23. Union jack production. Or we're all going to get rich by charging whopping tariffs on our imports.
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