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House Price Crash Forum


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  1. @Yellow_Reduced_Sticker it does seem to be a very good rate for a savings account but not sure whether it's a bond or not ..... Nobody's got any crystal ball but for such a short duration of 2 years seems very good. If it's a bond like the headline seems to allude then different story. My almost worthless tuppence ?
  2. I was thinking the same as @harp. At least in terms of it being increasingly over the air... Definitely cables and lots of data needed for streaming and such though. And average size of all this data is generally increasing with 4k etc. But still feel that 5g and onwards they'll be a trend with more share of content consumed via mobile.
  3. With regard to a crisis in China this is something we seem to hear is constantly round the corner. I don't have particular knowledge in China except anecdotally through work colleague who is has family there. He seems to think everything is corrupt (at least low level ie visits to the hospital need gresy hands) and whilst average working wage is low house prices are astronomical...... However bad these things seem though, I do wonder how far China is in BETTER state to weather a storm compared to us in the West. It has a massive growing population firmly controlled under autocratic rule from rulers -that in my eyes- has a focused big vision that has/had carefully studied the mistakes the incumbents like the US (as well as Russia) have made. Anyway despite their problems they sound like they have better trains and less crumbly bridges (and can achieve this feats in a tiny fraction of the time it would take say a beurocratic unionized fasttened? workforce in the US to do.
  4. Sometimes openly the whole raison d'etre. The fashion Street brand supreme I think is a perfect example, hawking clothes to the lucky few who have waited longest in the line or paid double on eBay.
  5. Yes very true, and increasingly Africa too? I'm commenting from a very western centric vista and the importance of the West in leading the way is no doubt on the wane... although still critical?!
  6. It definitely feels like the consumer era has had its day for now, at least in the macro sense dB etc talks about. I know this has been going on for a while and the macro shifts that have so called been baked in have stalled prematurely due to global state intervention etc? I may have mentioned before that I sometimes watch YouTube videos about dead malls in the US. Some give a very nostalgic slice of juxtaposition between say the booming 80s and the in places retail wasteland of today. Of course party this trend may have happened with the move to online but still interesting to watch in a slightly voyeuristic way. One channel called Bright sun films did one on sears the US retail giant I just watched that I thought was rather good. There is no in depth economic analysis but easy to watch and presented well. I was stuck by how recently sears had reached an all time high valuation... Think mid naughties or something... There now closer to bankruptcy.
  7. Re the China hustle... Honestly wasn't surprised at all.... A few scam Chinese company's trying to cash in to the lucrative US money hole. Bigger American institutions not caring when presented with some facts not all as it seems (as long as there commission train keeps chugging). Notorious big name rating agencies pimping out their "legit" name, again without a care as long as they get there fees.
  8. Crucially, humans live extremely short lives at least compared to timescales of say geological ages. Anyway the point being that regardless generation's and individuals only see at a relatively short time frame. Arguably on a whole at a micro time frame... Ie. Just there single generation. I guess the point I'm getting is that even if we knew the world would end in 200 years then 90%+ people would carry on for at least 180 years as normal (the outliers being the Elon musks of the world looking to freeze our dna or something). Maybe the last 20 years or so the younger generation would degenerate into some kind of mass of sex drugs brawl, or create different cults to give themselves up to. In fairly optimistic in the long run be it (at the moment far fetched) scenarios of AI solving our problems or genetic wizardry helping us say live off planet. No doubt I too ignorant of any of these subjects so will continue in my relative bliss unawares!
  9. Thanks, weird that I was told otherwise. Maybe I too small of a fish or something but the inconsistency annoys me.
  10. I've just been on the phone to HL regarding buying gdx/J and am being told it's not available over the phone either. Usual spiel about fsa regulations and missing documents. Sounded like previously it was not ready online but phone OK... Assume everyone gets told the same?
  11. @Noallegiance really well put. I think your right so not convinced but still have that inkling that in the west things are less certain than the last 30-40 years. (I think I similar vintage to you). Obviously it would be different story if say you were from some parts of Africa or say in Syria... Some places have been razed so the change there is through the roof. Slightly off tangent but made me think that I used to have some good discussions with an university tutor /Prof and back when I was starting to pay more attention and I would say that the overall change in civilization / industrial /culture was surely massive or even exponential. He would counter that whilst many posit the same it was really hard to say as it was all about perception and maybe all past generations felt the same, hard to say. Well nowadays I'm convinced that we are experiencing massive change at an accelerating pace. Maybe I'm getting all swept up in the hubris of the age of silicon though!
  12. It does, every other day your hearing about the woes of struggling businesses - albeit usually the consumer retail ones that have been listed here as being the first to go and go down big. But there is also a bit of worrying rhetoric being aired around wars be it military or trade /currency. Nobody has the crystal ball but wonder what is being played or planned out behind the scenes, certainly nothing is certain and maybe I'm being subjectively biased but does seem time's now are less stable or balanced than has been in my living memory.
  13. Was something definitely not going to be released or at least publicly tested this year? Still on the cards can't remember when they said definitely? Anyway those few videos look out of this world. Would be shame if just cgi /scam. Think I remember that there were significant investors and some had purportedly tested with NDA etc
  14. Not sure if this is connected to the large market that has been quoted as existing in liquidity that's not actually pegged to real equity... But a few years ago I knew an ex fund manager that was making a good profit from selling options (put?) as I understood basically collecting large premiums for selling the down the road guarantee that a share could be bought or sold at x price. Sounded like a nice earner at the time and I can imagine how much cumulative amounts were tied up in these kind of opaque derivatives? Also loved reading the flash boys book by Michael Lewis... Real mind opener. Have tried reading a few others of his books since and didn't enjoy nearly as much.
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