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Everything posted by Guest_JohnBrown_*

  1. You raise a good point. IIRC because I cant find anything online to back up what I'm going to say next, during the height (or bottom of ) the 1990's recession, the word "recession" was used around 12-14 times per days in the Daily Mail, a separate university study showed, those companies that continued their advertising & marketing like activities or increased it survived the recession in the main. Those that reduced their advertising and marketing activities were less likely to survive. Its common sense yet bosses dont do the common sense thing in some instances and do things like sack some of the sales staff. Of course there are other factors which can also shelve a company, if one happens to be in an industry & category that the banks want to rein in lending with, like the bike dealership industry, that can knock you back as well, hence the mention of other factors. Anyway I would argue, the boss needs to decide what do they want to do currently? Expand in terms of take on more staff or become more profitable? If they want to become more profitable, put up prices but only if you expect to lose zero or x% of your sales though. The gamble/risk is if a business loses too much custom when the prices go up. Durham University with fsmed.org (long since gone) did a purple credit card size ready reckoner back in the 90's which explained the %'s to increase profit. Eg Cutting Prices % that sales must increase to maintain current gross profit. As an illustration, a company achieving a 40% gp which cuts prices by 10% will need to generate 33% additional sales before starting to improve on the pre price cut trading position. Inversely. Increasing Prices A company achieving 40% gross profit which puts up prices by 10% can afford to lose 20% of their sales before they start to see any deterioration on their trading position at the old lower price. In other words if you dont lose any sales you have just increased your profit with minimal change and cost to you! I've attached a rich text document which has the %'es in the ready reckoner format which might make it easier to understand. I guess the bottom line is, who wants to take the risk and put prices up? If sales remain constant, then profit will increase, sure customers might moan, but thats just part of business. We see bigger businesses doing this right now, but they have mixed this up a bit more by doing things like offer smaller (portion) sizes of their product for the same money a little more devious but its happening. Of course other avenues should be looked at, like are all staff engaged in productive activity or can the work environment be more streamlined. Can processes be speeded up or got rid of in some cases? Some things are cheaper to outsource as well. If someone wants to grow then I would suggest they look back at what a startup would do today. What activities & practices would they be engaged in to grow? Like computer programming, one should break the task down into smaller more manageable tasks which can help to make targets/mile stones easier to calculate as well. It also makes tracking the progress over time easier and also gives one a business plan to work to which alot of companies tend to lose sight of as they get bogged down into the day to day running of things. Its also worth having some contingencies thrown into the plan. Why? Because people think better when not under stress so if a plan exists before the problem, the problem is less, by virtue of already having a plan to deal with the problem. Inversely people dont think straight when under varying degrees of stress which can be caused by problems, hence the old adage "go to bed and think on it". Anyway the attached will give people an idea of how much they can put up prices by and what sales% they can afford to lose before their trading position gets worse. Price Increase.rtf Price Increase.rtf
  2. If they work. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/howaboutthat/ufo/8026971/Aliens-have-deactivated-British-and-US-nuclear-missiles-say-US-military-pilots.html
  3. Interesting reads. http://nottspolitics.org/2011/06/16/the-life-and-death-of-the-property-owning-democracy/ http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2010/feb/28/economics-conservatives-legacy-housing-election http://www.dur.ac.uk/n.d.lee/ma.pdf <-- Some history of the property owning democracy mindset. http://markwadsworth.blogspot.co.uk/2012/05/property-owning-democracy-is-great-but.html
  4. Facebook has said that 8.7% of its 955m global users are duplicate accounts, pages for pets and those designed for spam. http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2012/aug/02/facebook-83m-profiles-bogus-fake
  5. Have you tried copying an AI (which will ultimately control the physical robot) and put it into another computer? If its any good ie complex, its like human cloning, the DNA are the same but the personality will be different and you get different results. Its where Chaos Theory comes into it play. When people discuss robots, they should really consider the AI software is the most valuable part of the robot, machines are useless without the software to drive them.
  6. Totally agree, by toning it down a bit and being less animated he could grow on other more mainstream potential viewers.
  7. You dont know if I know it already though and like all markets, there needs to be a buyer and seller who can agree a price. So to help establish a price point, tell me why I need this intelligence advice? Sell it to me and I'll decide if I need it or not.
  8. Yes and no, it depends on the other parties starting position, ie they might have obtained the stock at a previous high price before seeing it decline over a timescale, so they then decide to sit and wait for an [unknown] period of time for the price to rise, which the other morning could have been the opportunity they were waiting for.
  9. And the Govt wants to buy up the remaining stock to renationalise it which would give Santander who I believe are the other main shareholder a nice little windfall just when they need a bailout by the back door!
  10. Audio from a trader during the May 2010 Flash Crash. Its funny!
  11. Made it into the Daily Mail as well now. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2182817/Stock-exchange-glitch-cost-U-S-trading-firm-440m-just-minutes-lead-bankruptcy.html
  12. Chat bots getting into an argument. Just change the interface so it outputs the words via a browser or tcpip interface instead of speech engine. Simples. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-14843549
  13. It just keeps getting funnier. Masters of the Universe, my backside! http://www.zerohedge.com/news/knight-ceo-comments-algo-failure-which-has-cost-him-70-his-market-hap-one-day
  14. Money is irrelevant in the long term scheme of things, intelligence is everything.
  15. I was saying to a friend just a few weeks ago, I wonder when we will see the next algo screw up on a magnificent scale. How coincidental http://www.zerohedge.com/news/knight-faces-440mm-loss Background. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/what-happens-when-hft-algo-goes-totally-berserk-and-serves-knight-capital-bill http://www.zerohedge.com/news/nyse-cancel-trades-beyond-30-band-opening-price-various-stocks-knight-foot-bill-balance Video explaining how it happened. http://www.zerohedge.com/news/broken-market-chronicles-algos-gone-autosell-wild-video-explanation-what-happened Expect to see some more of these algo's screwing up in the future, and who's algo will cost them the most?
  16. No but in this instance if he did then he turned a good thing into an equally bad thing and is simply no better in some respects as Coke are or the Govts who continue to allow coke to be sold for various health risks. Has it also got something to do with the cancer causing risk as well? www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-2164635/Calls-ban-Coca-Cola-colouring-linked-cancer.html
  17. I'll sell you the software that creates fake accounts online, beit email accounts with hotmail, google, & yahoo to name a few, create fake accounts on internet forums like this, and can manipulate online voting systems like the green & red arrow in the dailymail or other competitions like this one: http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/3676732/Fat-bloke-wins-modelling-poll.html You get your own search engine to watch out for your online reputation, can have different IP addresses for different accounts to ensure continuity, and you can even have an AI which will output vocabulary, spelling mistakes to make it seem like a human mistake, based on the profile of the fake account ie using the words expected to be used by people of different age ranges and other background attributes. It doesnt come cheap its something only big companies can afford as each is custom built to their exact specifications!
  18. Lets face it many of these companies do nothing for one's health. Given a 100% free capitalistic market place with no state to bring to justice blatant lies and misleading evidence to sell products would just see more of this taking place. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2181906/Philips-ad-banned-saying-fryer-makes-healthy-chips-using-air--small-print-advised-oil-needed.html In a free market the above lies would go unchecked, as would many other abuses by other companies as exemplified here: .http://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episode/b01l1yxk/Panorama_The_Truth_About_Sports_Products/ The Govt is not perfect because it relies on the financial system to exist, so when capitalism dies the Govt will need to create a new mechanism in which facilitate the exchange of goods and services between people unless it also starts rehashing the laws like property ownership, Land Value Tax and so on.
  19. Correct and that system wont be too dissimilar to what exists now, ie some people will still be engaged in the arts or social forms of enterprise but more jobs will exist in the science research arena in the main.
  20. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2182498/Government-discusses-nationalising-Royal-Bank-Scotland-lend-cash-strapped-Britons.html
  21. Its paradise for computer programmers because robots are useless bits of metal or plastic, its the software that is important which is why the UK educational system is putting more effort into teach computer programming starting this year. http://www.theregister.co.uk/2012/06/13/microsoft_gcses_and_it_qualifications/ 60% of computer GCSE will be programming. AI is the next big breakthrough though. Edit. Matthew 5:5 Blessed are the Geeks: for they shall inherit the earth.
  22. If you have shopped in Waitrose you might know how things work. Yes there is a delete button and deleting some items (alcohol & meat in the main as its the most expensive items to be found in a supermarket) triggers a requirement for a human to check your shopping to make sure you havent forgotten to put the item back on the shelf. Of course this doesnt show up those instances when an item didnt scan but made it into the basket, but Waitrose profile their customers shopping and an algorithm works out when a shopper needs to be investigated but there is a way to work out when an algorithm will trigger a human check, so its not perfect.
  23. If people want to make money out of this libor rate rigging, people should find a bookie to have a punt with and bet that no CEO or CFO will go to jail. More information here. http://www.cps.gov.uk/legal/a_to_c/corporate_prosecutions/
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