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The Masked Tulip

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Everything posted by The Masked Tulip

  1. There is a radio programme on Fivelive each week with Gabby Logan about buying houses. I have never listened to it but I have had the misfortune to listen to the endless promos for it on BBC Fivelive. Has anyone else listened to the promos - they are all about rising house prices, not too late to buy, property can only go up. I find it pretty disgusting. That's all I wanted to say really. Got that off my chest.
  2. Foxtons is well below the 200 day simple moving average, 100 and 50. The MACD could be about to turn up or, probably more likely, turn down which could see another nice drop in the SP. http://schrts.co/6x9anB With the FTSE so high any shock taking down the markets could see FOXT suffer considerably IMPO.
  3. Apparently the cost of building materials and labour costs have shot up so much that banks are now beginning not to lend money. http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11727267
  4. http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-04/manhattan-apartment-sales-plunge-20-as-homebuyers-get-pickier Sales of previously owned condominiums and co-ops fell 20 percent in the third quarter from a year earlier as potential buyers grew cautious amid more choices, according to a report Tuesday from appraiser Miller Samuel Inc. and brokerage Douglas Elliman Real Estate. There were 5,290 resale apartments on the market at the end of September, 53 percent more than the number available in late 2013, the lowest point for listings.
  5. I just have their free subscription - don't really use that much. Most of what I see in the paper edition can be found online elsewhere in other media. All their 'real journalism costs money' stuff is true but I really do not see what the value add the FT gives me in exchange for them wanting cash from me.
  6. They ramped up the price of oil and the share price has tripled. If you time DB right you will probably double your money in a short time. Problem is, from where does it bounce?
  7. There's a growing list of German firms pulling bond auctions. Looks like there might be a liquidity problem starting.
  8. A bail out of DB will have to include bailouts of other German banks. Then there is Italy... and, um, all the rest. Going to be interesting. reddog is right - no bounce suggests that there is something more going on here. Just wonder how long it is before DB spooks the market BG time. There is no reason why DB could not fall another 50% from here and Merkel is still doing her entrenched position thing that she does.
  9. A US guy I follow reckons there could be a strong bounce - in US Dollars - if it gets to $9.10 area.
  10. This could escalate very quickly couldn't it. It is interesting that DB basically needs 14 billion just to pay the US fine. What about the money it needs to keep going? History shows us that Merkel is a very stubborn person. Once she gets entrenched in a position she keeps on digging. She will not want to be bailing out DB next year as the German elections near. But her political gut instinct is also to always kick the can down the road. We have seen that with the Euro crisis, Greece, etc. As we saw in 2009 politicians had to be sat down and told that the global financial system was just hours from collapse before they actually did anything. I doubt it will be different this time. Painting herself into a corner.
  11. It is not just DB that needs bailing out but also Commerzbank. Merkel is in one heck of a tight spot.
  12. Well worth 10 minutes of your time. The Deutsche Bank crisis could take Angela Merkel down – and the Euro http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/09/26/the-deutsche-bank-crisis-could-take-angela-merkel-down--and-the/
  13. http://abcnews.go.com/US/bernie-madoff-fine-prison-heart-issues-visitors/story?id=36552841
  14. 28,000 Teachers fired. https://hedgeaccordingly.com/ What are they going to do - replace them with immans?
  15. http://www.wsj.com/mdc/public/page/2_3022-mflppg-moneyflow.html
  16. SOS and BOW are Selling On Strength and Buying On Weekness numbers that the Wall Street Journal publishes daily. The most important time to really look at them is in the last hour of US trading and in the 90 or so minutes after the US markets close. They can change frequently during that last 150 minutes. Whilst they are not 100% reliable - take them with a pinch of salt I was told - they can be a very good indicator of strange things happening with stocks. For example, you could have a big player pumping and dumping a stock - they pump, for example, GDX and GDXJ during the open market hours.... luring in Joe Public to buy the rising shares allowing the big player to Sell On Strength in the closing hour of the market or in the after-hours market.
  17. Truly massive selling of GDXJ, GDX and NUGT on the selling on strength SOS numbers late last night. Not seen such amounts for years.
  18. Someone took VERY big positions in GDX and GDXJ last week. Probably a central bank. Swiss? Irish? Norway?
  19. Good article here on house prices in Auckland, New Zealand. Bernard Hickey: Prepare for the party to end http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11707415
  20. Worth a listen about the Fed not having a clue what to do next, interest rates, negative rates. http://www.kereport.com/2016/08/26/thoughts-fed-precious-metal-stocks/
  21. No one has a clue. I have been on several US financial sites today and no one has a clue what is going on.
  22. Petition: Establish a commission to limit the mandate of the Bank of England and end QE. https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/164630
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