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House Price Crash Forum


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Everything posted by Riedquat

  1. Probably not as much as I've had enough of the scared panicking in to throwing basic decency out of the window and demanding authoritarian measures that the relevant powers shouldn't even exist for to make possible without even any reason to believe they will work, and plenty of examples where they haven't. People like that disgust me and pose a far bigger long-term threat than Covid.
  2. My usual way of looking at things is "Why?" rather than "Why not?", because the latter seems to end up handwaving away all sorts of nonsense and absurd over-precautions just because they're simple, a situation I find pretty obnoxious. Over 60 though, if I was then I'd say personally speaking the "Why?" would probably come down to "because it reduces a risk that, whilst not massive, is still higher than I'd prefer."
  3. The problem with your interest rate example is that it's so low in the first place that any drop (that doesn't go into negative rate territory) is small in absolute terms. Of course what is small depends upon just what you're talking about. 0.1% can be a massive number in some contexts (plenty of stuff you wouldn't want that concentration of in your body for example).
  4. Did it also end up killing 40% of people born afterwards? That level of fatality from a single disease (especially when added on top of all the other things that could easily kill people in the past) is unsustainable for both disease and victims, either the disease dies out or both do, or something changes. The evolution is in both mind you (some people are less prone to be killed by it via genetic factors).
  5. Oh dear oh dear oh dear. I understand evolution very well, apparently unlike yourself. Things evolve to get better - or more accurately more successful at spreading - because the random mutations that don't do not succeed. Mutations happen at random, evolution does not (well, not completely at random). The mutations that kill all their hosts die out, the ones that don't are more likely to survive and spread, at least up until the point where the fatality rates are a low factor to be favoured. It is entirely possible Omicron is spreading everywhere because it managed to be mild enough to get widly spread before it was even noticed - various precautions (included non-mandated ones, such as people being reluctant to go near someone obviously sick) that would pick up cases of other variants didn't pick it up quite possibly. That is a pretty damned big advantage to a virus, so if such a strain randomly emerges it's got a good chance of success, if the mutation doesn't cripple it elsewhere. Take the mistake the other poster made with smallpox, by pointing out its devastation when introduced to a new population. That rate of death didn't continue; if it had, we'd all be dead. There are various disease outbreaks throughout history that we've got no idea about what they were - whatever caused them failed to survive.
  6. If that was true we'd all be dead by now. Very contagious and deadly means it would wipe out a local population very quickly and never get a chance to spread further. If they were as contagious as Covid there would've been considerable pressure.
  7. That's got no relevance. Someone's overall intelligence is beside the point when it comes to whether or not they've got expertise and knowledge in a particular field. At the risk of using a stereotype there are plenty of people out there not all that intelligent but who I'd gladly accept that they've got a much better idea than I have when they're talking about football. This doesn't mean I have much tolerance for the appeal to authority approach some take either.
  8. I do find it strange how you'll argue consistently against pretty strong evidence for the usefulness of vaccination but are so willing to leap on arguing for Ivermectin, which is a long, long way from proven beyond doubt. Very different standards of proof there.
  9. Not quite true. We saw Italian hospitals overwhelmed and concluded that keeping the pressure off hospitals was the absolute priority. So sent a lot of people out of hospitals and back in to nursing homes...
  10. I'm sure they'll love to hear from you how to design a perfect "correct" vaccine that's future-proofed from the start.
  11. It's already known that there are different levels of vaccine uptake in different groups of society, some going for them more than others doesn't make the drive racist. It would only be racist if it was excluding some.
  12. I suspect that might be why I see a lot of fundamental similarities between those turning to conspiracy theories and those turning to an obsession with restrictions, the same impulse that would've once been religious, that there's a bigger power out there that's directing things, that there's a sound explanation for everything, someone to blame, someone who could fix it all, a desire to think that the world is simple and, when you dig down, free of uncertainty. And give enough of yourself and someone will make it all better. The religion shifted seems quite obvious for conspiracy theory adherents but it looks very similar in people who have an almost religious view of science.
  13. Odd comment about the fear of chaos and the randomness of nature too, because that very much appears to apply to the people who are clamouring for restriction after restriction, begging for anything that'll make the uncertainty of reality certain for them - a real inability to mentally deal with the idea that sh1t happens sometimes, and a firm misguided belief that all risk can be removed from life, getting hung up on even very remote risks because they could happen. This was all apparent long before Covid appeared, but it's sent it in to overdrive for some.
  14. A lot of people simply don't seem bothered about the government having a party, something they were all sneaking off to do themselves anyway. It's hard to get outraged over people doing something you're not all that bothered about, even though those in power should really be excessively squeaky clean about rules and guidelines they introduce (i.e. stick rigidly to both the letter and the spirit of them, beyond what common sense would deem necessary).
  15. Very hard to tell. One of the big problem with people predicting doom (usually the ones that insist they're being "rational") is that they tend to assume a particular rate of increase will maintain itself for a longer period than generally seems to be justified. How long a particular rate of growth (or decline for that matter) will last appears to be one of the more difficult things to predict and model, even in the absence of measures designed to influence it.
  16. The very concept of "concern" requires emotion. The concept of good or bad outcomes, and hence concern, is meaningless without emotion. Emotion is why we give value to our existence - without it there's no reason to care whether we live or die.
  17. To label something as "concerning" requires emotion. Without emotion it merely is. Without emotion the idea of there being good or bad outcomes is meaningless. People who believe they can determine a desirable course of action or outcome unemotionally are in no position to decide anything because they've clearly not got a clue, if they fail to recognise the basic nonsense of "unemotional but desirable" outcomes.
  18. What they mostly seem to want is everyone else restricted - change the world to look after me! - and realise that has to sweep them up in restrictions too, which they seem happy with.
  19. That would be a very relevant point to consider, where it not for the fact that it's very obviously simply not true. "Watch the video" isn't ever a convincing reply; I may go off and do such things if I'm curious, and it's good if there's a reference for any points you make, but posts need to stand on their own merit. Although there's a bit of a plus for anything that annoys Bob8.
  20. Indeed. The people who keep bleating on about "it isn't much to ask" generally appear to have lost the plot to a degree. Wearing a mask is unpleasant, something that it's considerably nice to have to do without. But it's not utterly horrific either. So there are times and places where it is justifiable, but cowering in fear, desperate for anyone to save them, and resorting to "thus anywhere, everywhere", as some do, is a sign of someone who's lost their grip. And unfortunately that's quite a lot of people.
  21. Supposed to change the paper one if you change address.
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