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House Price Crash Forum

Meat Loaf

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Everything posted by Meat Loaf

  1. As soon as stamp duty exemption expires and the furloughed get sacked expect carnage....Q3 will be steady, Q4 a slight drop...a bloodbath in 2022..... Problem is house prices will go up circa 7% in Q1/Q2
  2. thanks all forexfactory was the one I was thinking of... Thanks again...
  3. I remember years ago there use to be a website that use to give all financial results/indicators including house price indicators (Nationwide, Halifax, Rics etc) within minutes of them being replaced. It use to outline all the stuff that was going to be released on that day and have a forward looking view Does this website still exist? Thanks!
  4. So to conclude do we perceive a cut in stamp duty is very unlikely?
  5. Could he follow Ed Ball's lead and cut stamp duty on first time buyers or on all properties up to say 250k to stimulate the housing market? What do we think?
  6. May choose to use stamp duty on high earners to fund a permamant 0% tax under say 200k?
  7. Are we expecting the exemption up to 200k to be extended/made permanent?
  8. The high street in meltdown, unemployment rising, inflation rising, interest rates due to rise...... Are we entering the crash stage of prices dropping in excess of 1% each month?
  9. Where will house prices be at the end of 2011 according to Halifax/Nationwide indices? I will predict that house prices will nationally decline 5% for the remaining 6 months of the year - obviosuly there will be regional variations. Any views?
  10. He is manager of a local branch and says he has yet to sell a single house since the 20th December! He hardly has any buyers on his books and "off the record" he said this will be a massive crash. I said "what 10% this year", he replied "make that 20%"!
  11. Thanks for the info. I'm interested in the Preston, Longridge, Clitheroe sort of areas........
  12. Anybody with any local knowledge know what is happening with prices? Thansk in advance.........
  13. I have a contact in the Halifax/Lloyds Group and he hinted that drop for August could be around -1.5%. It is officially released early next week. This could be the start of the winter of discontent
  14. The Nationwide monthly HPI is due out at the end of the month. I will start of the predictions by going for -1.1%
  15. Forex predicts -0.4%. I personally expect the fall to be greater than this and it would be great to see a fall of 1% or greater. If we can get a fall of -1% it will hit the mainstream news and hopefully cause panic and therefore create some momentum and allow me to buy my 6 bedroom mansion for 150k Thoughts/predictions?
  16. This week should see Nationwide post its HPI for July. Nationwide HPI is uaually the more optimistic survey. It will be great to see a fall of 1% or more. Any thoughts/predictions??
  17. I like to start threads about house prices as I thought this was the point of this forum....... Where do people perceive house prices to be by the end of 2010. Lets use Halifax HPI as Nationwide uses such a small sample and the Land registry data is months behind. I predict a conservative 5% fall from July-December as I can't see house prices dropping nationally by more than 1% a month. What do others think??
  18. I understand from my contacts that this will show a fall. I will go for -0.5%.......let the falls begin
  19. Lets just hope it goes down this month so we can build some momentum
  20. We are at a critical moment in the house price recovery/crash. I predict we will see the following: Halifax HPI -0.4% Nationwide HPI -0.2% Land Registry HPI +0.1% (as it lags behind the other indices)
  21. Has anybody heard any concrete plans or rumours on the Government's plan towards stamp duty? Surely there will be some incentive for first time buyers?
  22. Just spoken to my contact and he says if you ignore the south east figures thenthe price rises/transcations are desperately low and he envisages that it will get worse.
  23. Official figures out this week. I have a friend who works at the Land Registry and he says that the market is still absolutly dead and workers at the Land Registry are preparing for more redundancies following on from those announced a few months ago.
  24. Been pushed back to Tuesday now I believe. These index is completly pointless however as only covers 10% of the market and heavily biased towards the south east.
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