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House Price Crash Forum


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Everything posted by Guest_FaFa!_*

  1. My understanding the bubble was mainly in the 6 largest cities (off the top of my head that would be Tokyo. Yokohama, Osaka, Kobe and two others) with other parts of Japan seeing rises of about 20 to 30 per cent whilst being large not massively lunatic. I'd imagine the 80% drop would be not be typical. It should also be remembered the Japanese prefer not buy second hand as a rule, they prefer to demolish and build their own. This being the case, houses are not a store of savings as they don't retain value in the same way. Negative equity is not so much a problem as they are not aiming to move. If Dad gets transferred to a different office, he moves into a flat on his own in the new city and sees the kids on the weekend/as and when. Location for schools is also unimportant. Basically I am not sure the Japanese case is really comparable given the house buying culture is so different.
  2. No, that takes me to the last page I looked at.You've let me down
  3. I have found a problem - you cannot go to the end of threads anymore on the mobile skin. I clicked on the If Anyone Is Interested thread and found myself in the middle of January
  4. http://www.japantoday.com/smartphone/view/business/japan-posts-first-current-account-surplus-in-5-months
  5. Ok......you don't feel things like infrastructure, productivity or education levels are important? Just public debt sizes? I wrote about that in the gold thread. The gold fever is 200 people a day
  6. What an amazing gold rush. Hyperinflation here we come http://thediplomat.com/2014/03/shopping-sprees-gold-rush-ahead-of-first-japanese-sales-tax-hike-in-17-years/
  7. Do you genuinely believe that it is reasonable to compare Japan to a group of countries comprising South Africa, Turkey, India, Indonesia and Brazil? Is that serious?
  8. A spike? In SEVEN shops? Right before they increase the consumption tax? Who'd have thunk it. Ginza is the Japanese Mayfair, btw
  9. http://www.japantoday.com/smartphone/view/business/consumer-prices-up-jobless-rate-falls-to-6-year-low
  10. They have about, what, 12% of global production, marginally above Saudi. They are not OPEC by any stretch of the imagination.
  11. I don't know why you talk as if Russia has some sort of global monopoly on oil and gas. They don't. The customer will pay in the currency of their convenience.
  12. http://www.economonitor.com/blog/2014/03/japan-cuts-solar-raises-wind-tariff/
  13. http://www.economonitor.com/blog/2014/03/russia-to-fall-into-recession-as-tensions-rise/
  14. Interesting article, more at the link http://www.economonitor.com/blog/2014/03/abenomics-time-for-a-push-from-higher-wages/
  15. Japan lost, what, 30% of its power following the tsunami. That's 30% of power, not 25% of its gas. There have been no blackouts. US gas is rapidly coming online, that plus energy efficiency, strong push into renewables.... Certainly it could hurt but I think it would not be a catastrophe. It is amazing how arses get into gear and money gets miraculously found when they shoved against the fire.
  16. The point is this is a who blinks first situation. 25% of EU gas comes from Russia, giving energy to the EU and jobs to Russia. Everyone is talking about Russia being in control - far from it. The US is not dependent on Russia in anyway and is in a position to bring pain.
  17. The West will be done when capacity drops. Debt is just paper it can be torn up I repeat who needs 124 billiin cubic meters of gas per year and can afford to buy it?
  18. 1. That is in 4 years time 2. EU annual consumption is 462 billion cubic meters of which Russia supplies 27% 3. This means Russia supplies 124.64 billion cubic meters to EU 4. Even taking price differences into account it is clear that China cannot replace the EU in terms of demand. 5. This is a Mexican standoff. Edit: Source: http://m.chinapost.com.tw/business/2014/03/20/403234/Russian-share.htm
  19. Feel free to name who is going to replace European demand for the Russians
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