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Everything posted by CokeSnortingTory

  1. In 20 years time China will be full of obese people driving SUV's between the taco restaurant and the mall. You heard it here first.
  2. Give over will you. The American system is notoriously shit. There are Japanese soldiers still stuck on remote Pacific outposts who know that. As for the NHS, well it's the old diminishing returns of complexity, innit? The more complexity you add to a system in order to solve currently existing problems, the less value you get from each additional £, until you enter the realm of diminishing returns. As this fellow explains: http://www.amazon.co.uk/gp/product/052138673X/ref=s9_simh_gw_p14_t1?pf_rd_m=A3P5ROKL5A1OLE&pf_rd_s=center-1&pf_rd_r=1NF860ADXM3HGG9ATWHH&pf_rd_t=101&pf_rd_p=467198433&pf_rd_i=468294
  3. Whether the boomers are responsible or not, I think that as they had a contemptuous attitude to the generations above them ("hope I die before I get old" and all that shit) I think the karma wheel really must turn full circle so that they receive what they dished out, only more so.
  4. The stock market - like horse racing, only you don't get to meet any interesting people.
  5. It's like one of Craig Brown's synonyms. I am a civic patriot, you are a nationalist, he is a xenophobe.
  6. This is a crazy idea really. The lesson of Greece is that the EU economy needs to be decentralised. The more the EU attempts centralised fixes, the quicker it brings on its own demise. And thus it is with all utopian projects.
  7. This is excellent news for Skegness. Yes, with traditional seaside holidays returning, my "return to the '70's" meme is still giving value.
  8. Japan would appear to be the poster child for this issue: http://globalpublicmedia.com/peak_oil_and_japans_food_dependence Also a couple of papers here: http://www.sustainweb.org/foodandclimatechange/archive_food_miles/ http://www.springerlink.com/content/r0343w7v0h6827uh/ They're written from an environmental/climate impact perspective (which doesn't interest me as I'm not a warmist), but they're interesting for what they say on food transportation.
  9. No. Read the link. From their figures fuel costs are approx. 25% of shipping a tonne of ore. The full cost would therefore be around Euro 200/tonne. This is for a small batch of 20 tonnes, so of course I would expect this figure to be greatly reduced for bigger batches. This sort of thing doesn't dispel my suspicion that your figures come straight off the top of your head. As for UK steel production, you have a point, but I think increasing fuel prices may see a regional localisation rather than a national one - i.e. we would source more steel from the Czech Republic etc.
  10. I think we agree what is going to happen here, but I disagree that co-operativeness = femininity. Russian society, which has always been supremely co-operative (which is why Marxism succeeded there against all the predictions of the Marxists themselves) is so because of a fraternal feeling. This isn't addressing the point I raised, which was not so much about the production of food as its distribution - I think contemporary agriculture is more influenced by the methods of distribution than the methods of production. I'll bow to your greater knowledge on this, with the proviso that I can shrug my shoulders if it doesn't pan out as expected.
  11. I don't know if this logic works, as in a society that values children, women will be vulnerable to the limits of their fertility - it may be younger women have more bargaining power, but older ones won't. That said, I think the whole mentality of competition will tend to fade away - it is one of the ironic features of modern life that the much-vaunted capitalist spirit of "competition" needs an abundance of resources to support it. When times get tight, the co-operative spirit is much more valuable - I therefore think the "sex wars" will become more muted. I don't think you need a large energy crisis to affect how agriculture works. I think the big influence will be increased transportation costs which will make the big box model, with its "just in time" delivery shedules less economical, so the distribution of food will scale downwards. I expect we will see more local permaculture, with people growing their own food. Again, this is nothing particularly drastic, just a return to how things were before the last 30-40 years. Well if low cost substrates are 10 years away they might as well be never, given science's tendency to over-claim. I'll believe them when I see them - the same with paper batteries etc. All this could happen of course - I just tend to be wary of the technologists' promises.
  12. I think any trade war between the USA and the EU will be won by the USA. Their car industry would benefit greatly for a start. In fact, I don't really understand why the Americans didn't start one sooner.
  13. I think all these trends point to greater social stability over the long term. There might be some agitation against this from the younger generations in the short-term, but as adolescence was essentially a post-war invention, we may even see the idea of a generation gap decreasing in importance.
  14. I agree with greater dominance by the old, but not from women. I think a greater reliance on domestic food production, and a resurgent agricultural sector, combined with a decline in urban bureaucratic employment will see women drifting back into the domestic economy, and away from the current idea of a "career" (which will be less available to both men and women). As for digital technology, I'm not sure that will be so prevalent - it depends on the availability of the precious metals required to make the components. Now the Chinese appear to have locked up their supply, it will depend on whether alternatives can be found in Australia etc. Also chip-making etc. is quite an energy-intensive process, so again energy resource issues will affect how robust digital technology will turn out to be.
  15. Yeah I think these kind of changes in collective consciousness are fascinating, and very under-researched. I think we're actually returning to normal, or what Britain normally is, a slightly under-resourced but phlegmatic country. For the last ten years we've been a kind of Little USA, which has combined the some of the worst aspects of both countries.
  16. Yes, this is the most important aspect of the inteview - not what Darling said, but that the BBC might be beginning a propaganda effort at changing public perceptions. Any efforts by the politicians to attack the deficits will need to be foregrounded by a huge push by the MSM to psychologically prepare the public, so as to minimise any likelihood of civil disturbance. Expect all the property-porn/entitlement/wealth-fetishist programmes to gradually disappear in favour of programmes that hark back to when Britain was a more austere but stoical country. The "Blitz Spirit" and all that. "Trinny and Susannah's Allotment Pig Scraps" is probably being scheduled at this very moment.
  17. Well, I think political unions are not something that can be simply conjured out of thin air. There has to be some sense of kinship and shared culture (enforced by conquest if necessary ). What this crisis is telling us at the unspoken level is that the Germans do not consider themselves to be the same people ("Europeans") as the Greeks, and vice-versa.
  18. He eventually shacked up with an old girlfriend - he was from Yorkshire originally. From what I gathered though, the local who befriended him (a genuine rough diamond) pretty much saved his life.
  19. Well, apparently http://www.oakleysteel.co.uk/steel_plate_shipping_costs.htm Edit: Going by the figures quoted here, where 1 Euro = 0.5% cost of shipping, fuel costs would appear to be around 50 Euro/Tonne (for a 20 Tonne load).
  20. And this is before all the stimulus/reflation efforts have been curtailed......
  21. Or people could adopt the radical idea of living near to where they work, shop etc.
  22. Yeah my cousin moved to a small village in Yorkshire from London, and within 3 weeks his fiancee left him, leaving him utterly devastated. When one of the locals took pity on him and befriended him, the first thing he said was "Every time a couple move up here they split up. We all knew she'd leave you from the moment you both turned up". Otherwise this article is just painful isn't it? People who can't live without the "buzz" of cafe culture. They all deserve a fortnight in Mogadishu.
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