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House Price Crash Forum


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About Tricksy

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    HPC Poster
  1. Thank you for taking the time to respond Uncle_Kenny, but I'm interested in examining the opportunities for profiting from the correction process itself. Shorting BDEV, BVS, FOXT, SVS, ZPLA, BKG etc is the obvious route in theory but I suspect is challenging to structure and execute efficiently. I'm interested in exploring this, and also in generating some lateral thinking on other ways to capitalise.
  2. The mechanics of house price inflation have been well examined by this forum over the years. Opinions have been expressed as to the magnitude, timing and duration of the inevitable correction. Huge energy has been devoted elsewhere (118, MSE etc) as to how to "play" the inflationary phase, and there are many who have prospered from this. But I can find little discussion as to how savvy individuals can "play" the deflationary phase / correction for financial gain, and I would welcome an examination of the available options. I guess the central question is this: What are the practical ways to
  3. This is an interesting idea. I'm sure it (or some variant) was considered at the time. My immediate observations: NR had about £20bn of retail deposits. Putting up 10% to cover that would have required £2bn. Isn't this about what the bailout cost anyway? NR had a particularly low level of retail deposit funding. Other banks have far greater deposit bases. Possibly a difficult precedent to set. Don't think it would have worked, or could work in other cases.
  4. That's not how they do it. Don't pay too much attention to the one-eyed men of the HPC kingdom! How is the HPI calculated? The HPI is calculated by using Land Registry's own 'Price Paid Dataset'. This is a record of all residential property transactions made in England and Wales since January 1995. At present it contains details on over 16 million sales. Of these, over six million are identifiable matched pairs, providing the basis for the repeat-sales regression analysis used to compile the index. This technique of quality adjustment ensures an 'apples to apples' comparison between proper
  5. No, you are not forced to buy government bonds. Where the money is invested depends upon the nature of the particular scheme adopted by your employer, and the investment choices you make for your money within that scheme.
  6. Perhaps they could cut to the chase and have a referendum on sharing out the accumulated wealth of the (say) top 10% of the population between the less fortunate 90%? I'm shaw it would be a popular proposal.
  7. The better (and more likely) explanation is simply that they are paranoid about security. Problems of the type you're worried about won't show up first in transactions of this type.
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