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Will!

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About Will!

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    Where the debris meets the sea.

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  1. Good news. Here in the UK critical care bed occupancy may be starting to plateau and 73% of the adult population have now had two doses of vaccine.
  2. I don’t know, things may be slowing down in the hospitals. Perhaps we’re approaching the peak.
  3. It might be like the NHS in that it doesn’t succeed. Even stuff that should be interesting, like Unreported World or Dispaches, is pretty thin.
  4. There are too many conflicting factors. The Delta variant is more infectious, the vaccination program is working, the pubs are open, its summer and the schools are closed.
  5. Given what we know about the seasonality of coronaviruses in general and Covid-19 in particular (so far), if that nine-month period includes winter in the UK then I would say more likely than not. And I would say to your acquaintance what I say to everyone to whom I talk who thinks that not having the vaccine is in some way about defying the government: the virus doesn't care.
  6. My reading of this story was that the tone of it is that the mortgage market is booming, but the numbers are the reverse and support your assertion that mortgage lending is falling.
  7. I think we’ve discussed R numbers, herd immunity, infection-derived immunity and vaccine-derived immunity enough to say it’s more “when” than “if”.
  8. Yes, it's less comfortable for anti-vaxxers and / or Covid deniers (some overlap) to admit that they can't understand the numbers than it is for them to believe that the numbers are made up and therefore it doesn't matter that they don't understand them.
  9. Data for NHS England: Peak critical care bed occupancy on 23rd January 2021 of 5,370. https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/uec-sitrep/urgent-and-emergency-care-daily-situation-reports-2020-21/ Peak critical care bed occupancy in the previous 2 years of 3,532 in January 2019. https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2020/04/MSitRep-SPN-FEBRUARY-2020-auY71.pdf You can apologise whenever you like.
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