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Everything posted by jetcat

  1. Stereotypes are ok full stop; you can't legislate thinking. Acting on one's stereotypes, however, is in some cases legally forbidden and a social taboo. The current cultural war discussion of stereotypes is about the question whether a word can constitute a harmful action. Hypothetical progressives/authoritarians believe it can, hypothetical conservatives/libertarians believe it can not. Since progressive mindset originates from Marxism, it is considered that social expression always has a component of power relationships. Therefore, when someone considered powerful (i.e. white males
  2. How useful is a model predicting the long-term state of an airspeed indicator in a stalling aircraft? I don't think economic models predicting indicators rather than the end states are useful for anything other than relatively stable conditions. Brexit, even just a Brexit vote, is too big a change to usefully predict GDP as a result of it.
  3. Would you agree that a valid model predicts a definite end state of a given system with some probability rather than the position of given synthetic indicator (i.e. GDP)? Will the latter only have any meaning so far as the end state is more or less the same and therefore given indicator's composition still unchanged and that it gives any information about the state of the system (see GDP in countries with command- or lots of black economy)?
  4. Even simpler; people change their mind over time under various influences, mostly change or threat thereof in personal circumstance or peer pressure (including negative, i.e. "I'm NOT with that lot"). The pace of change slows down for most as they get older. The only ones who don't change are extreme ideologues or religious zealots and they are a very small minority for whom it's the outside world that must change. They are, however, the most vocal and most noticeable. Pro- or anti-EU is an ideological position and has little to do with facts; one can find plenty of proof for either pre-c
  5. True again, especially the bit about the press. Not sure what's you point about climate deniers, is climate some sort of religion?
  6. I agree with you on that. I thought liberal elites just despised workers as class regardless of their skin color and didn't realize the root of their prejudice was racism with a healthy dose of ageism until the morning after Brexit vote.
  7. Especially true given that units that turned the US into manufacturing superpower and sent man to space were not Imperial, but US customary units defined as derivatives from metric units since 1893. That allowed making of consistently precise gauge blocks for tool calibration and therefore distributed manufacturing, which ultimately made US industry dominant for many decades. The blocks were made in Sweden )
  8. Polarized society in an illusion, one narrow social media bubble talking to another (and occasional loony stupid enough to turn their frustration into action). In my 100% remain surrounding the prevailing mood among people older than in their 20s is quiet resignation and dark jokes. I suspect the same is true for predominantly leave places.
  9. Why is it always the extreme options of either giving the existing NHS more money to waste on private/public partnership and inefficient spending or go full robber-baron-pharma, US-style? How about lots of endless possibilities in between, from efficiency saving and technological solutions to various combinations between self- and state-funded healthcare? What does general human inability to effectively manage overly complex centralized entities (see pretty much everything in the USSR for example) have to do with Brexit (other than the EU drifting towards excess complexity and centraliza
  10. You were given prison sentence for refusing to work for living. You also had to wait for up to 30 years to be allocated an equivalent to 1970s high-rise council flats and live in a shared room in the meantime, often with family and children. An alternative was to choose your employer wisely (so far as you had freedom to) or bribe an official. On a typical worker's salary, your utilities percentage-wise would be similar (20-30%) to paying rent. If the current housing benefit recipients are happy to go for it as opposed to what they have now, who am I to object? Of course, in
  11. Not according to the majority of social science courses you can take these days ) I don't believe there's a secret cabal (or more than one) controlling the social groups drone-like by feeding to them the cultural narrative as per constructionist social theories. What seems to be happening is the result of takeover of English, social sciences and humanities by neomarxists/constructionists which is the first indoctrinated generation having entered workforce in media, tech and government. They seem to be at the moment the tactical allies of the pro-globalist majority of the elite, financial
  12. Except you have bad luck hunting for a few weeks and die (depending, of course, on the particulars of climate). There's a debate over advantages and disadvantages of either way of life and those who insist on better health and longevity of hunter-gatherers tend to be rousseauists or those of a Marxist persuasion (I certainly was indoctrinated into that at the uni, which of course does not mean that this opinion is wrong). My current view is that agriculture gave those adopting it a better experience in a world where no life was particularly pleasant or trouble-free. Average life expectanc
  13. The argument to restrict the welfare is at least an effort to keep it. The endless moaning about poor victims of structural oppression needing more money is a way to implode it. Ironic that Guardian et al will be the reason everyone else is screwed along with freeriders and fraudsters. The same goes for NHS.
  14. To give it a bit of a twist, let's test the idea of a two-tier social housing. One tier is owned and operated by local councils, with close to market rates for the area, but some built-in incentives on which further, longer contracts, greater security and a mechanism for the tenants to coupe with temporary unemployment, say, up to 6 months. Also, annually compounding discount for maintaining the area around their house and communal areas and absence of any trouble and noise, say, up to 50% of rent paid. Persistent anti-social behavior and complaints from neighbors will mean first increase
  15. I like cruisers and used to commute on one for 4 years to Central London every day. The quality of Harleys have improved in the last decade. I wouldn't mind one but anything decent is too expensive and cheap Street 750 impressed me with the crappiest gearbox I've ever seen on a new bike. I'd take Yamaha Bolt over Sportster as an everyday ride.
  16. Not for me; things were pretty rubbish where I grew up. But again maybe bad memories stick. The demise of social cohesion is a feature of any country with heavy immigration from ancient empires until now. Probably also has reverse correlation with wealth and size of the unit in question, from what I see. People stick together in small poor places with low immigration, far from central controlling authority.
  17. It went down a good deal in terms of opportunity and freedom and a a bit in terms of law, order and social cohesion during my time in the UK (since 2005). Whether it has anything to do with EU membership, I'm not sure, but it does have a lot to do with immigration in general. I know a few Eastern Europeans who came over to the UK (some were working illegally before it was permitted) and what's rarely discussed is that there's an opinion among those particularly hard working that Brexit will be a good thing. Of course all of them have kept the EU passport (even though it's illegal in Eston
  18. The only way this may happen is if Brexit is somehow stopped. Negative social consequences from disruption of peace if the elites wiggle out of Brexit will far outweigh any possible negative consequence of Brexit itself. They had also better make it look like success whatever the actual effect is. On the other hand, Brexit avoided on a technicality, would be precisely the event required for a new political party to emerge, so who knows. For the record, I voted remain and changed my mind recently.
  19. He has his own weird sort of integrity. What's not helping is the track record of radical social constructionists in actual government. Pretty much anyone translating liberal centrist message with integrity all their life would be a roaring success, but it naturally requires decades of consistency and being in politics strongly selects against it, thus leaving only fringe figures with any integrity left to them, and their baggage is too radical by the time they by some accident appear anywhere near power. If I was a nonexistent Conservative overlord I would find an obscure MP not mas
  20. Suits the political elites perfectly; both parties justifiably claim that the other side are hypocrites. This way, any side can respond to any objections to their policy by pointing to their opponent's hypocrisy and avoid honest discussion. I would rather dismiss any claim of wealthy privileged elites to being social justice advocates and their opponents as lacking integrity in their claim to being social justice advocates as irrelevant and only discuss policy.
  21. Corbyn, McDonell and Abott, are of course the reason.
  22. Or an authoritarian government, which is why all major political parties everywhere are way more authoritarian than they used to be 20 years ago. As an added bonus, all of the social unrest can be dealt with swiftly.
  23. More state, more intervention, this time it's got to work. For once, I find it hard to decide which flavour of authoritarian intrusion and control is more repulsive. Since I was born in the 1970s Soviet Union, I find kleptocracy and cronyism way better than the whole country knowingly lying to each other all the time out of habit or fear, but I can understand the attraction for those who did not experience the latter. Advocating socialism can't be either honest, rational or intellectually mature. If you let a socialist anywhere near power, the only hope is they are a self-interested
  24. I have it on good authority that medicine as it stands now is a craft as much as science. Watson-like AIs will help a great deal, but unlikely to make a dent in doctors' numbers any time soon. Learning algorithms make decisions on the same small data samples as doctors. It may all of course change if we have a massive breakthrough in biology on the knowledge side or get much, much more data for learning algorithms to process (and then it may not help anyway). Paralegals and anyone dealing with tight sets of formal known rules are screwed though. Drivers... I'm not sure.
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