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House Price Crash Forum

MountainClimber

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About MountainClimber

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  1. Yes, I think you are correct. We are leaving it very late to produce enough electricity for our (UK) needs. I think we are in for a difficult time for the next 20-30 years until new capacity comes on line. And, I'm afraid it looks like nuclear. The automotive industry is tooling up as you say for new propulsion approaches. I believe GM has put a lot of development into reducing the size and weight of Lithium batteries, so they can produce electric vehicles with good acceleration and journey distance. I'm particularly interested in what this means for the IC engine. Will we see the demis
  2. BP calculates that we have 133 years left of coal if consumption is frozen at 2007 levels. That is highly unlikely, and if you keep growing at existing levels it gives you the value I quoted. China and India's usage is growing phenomenally. Anyway, we may differ on the availability of energy, but the automotive industry is planning for a different future, and I think the theme of this forum is the transport technologies of the future. So maybe we should agree too stick to that!
  3. Every year, the demand for energy is increasing by the amount a country the size of Italy consumes (175 millions tons of oil equivalent). Iceland, USA and Kuwait have the highest energy consumptions per capita, whilst India and China are an order magnitude smaller. Still, China and India are in the top 5 of total energy consumers. When their per capita usage starts to get anywhere near ours, just watch energy prices rise. The point is that whilst we have 'plenty' of fossil-fuel energy now, we will have less in the future unless we find dramatic new supplies. People only misuse energy now
  4. I too am interested in the technologies for transportation. BUT, the supply of fossil fuels, and their price, is important because they are major drivers (!!) of change. Based on the BP annual energy survey (www.bp.com/productlanding.do?categoryId=6929&contentId=7044622 ), I calculate that if energy demand continues to rise at the current rate, we have 38 years of oil (and oil shale) left, 41 years of natural gas, and 29 years of coal. This is pessimistic, because demand will be moderated by reducing supply. But we must be talking about sooner rather than later now. To my great disapp
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