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Peter Hun

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Posts posted by Peter Hun

  1. A correction is due, but ultimately PCL is like gold, a scarce resource that has value apart from its utility. So even if workers can't afford to live in central london, or even near it, it will retain some value in a global market.

    But the yield is terrible. I know someone who rents in Nine Elms, the rent is the same as a flat costing less than half as much in nicer areas of Battersea.

    PCL is even worse.

  2. Movement in the EU with eu members is influenced by the benefits available in each country - hence the current mess and dissatisfaction by certain member states (i.e. us!). And skews the landscape

    Furthermore some benefits are available in the UK (at massive cost) to people who in the current framework shouldn't be able to avail themselves (by dint of just stepping on these shores) of these high value benefits (think NHS care for HIV where deportation would result in death. A case such as that was given leave to remain). I'm bringing this case up not because I think the person should be shipped back off to africa to die but to illustrate how freedom of movement is skewed.

    The idea that EU migrants come to the UK becuase they provide £20 per week more unemployment benifit is ridiculous. They come here because the wages are higher and there are jobs. Brexit should fix that.

    To get NHS treatment you have to prove you are entitled to it, until you have, nobody in a hospital will speak to you. You do NOT get treatment just by 'stepping on these shores'. Also, EU countries (and others) re-imburse the NHS for their citizens, as does the UK for its citizens treated abroad.

  3. They didn't give a figure, becuase the surveyors know their markets better and its very variable across the country. They advised caution. Look at that report and you (and surveyors) can come to their own conclusion.

    I'd estimate 10-15% down in London from Dec 2015 til Dec 2016, my guess. In contrast Wales is looking at price rises.

    London has a real problem with (potentially) dissappearing jobs and people.

  4. Unfortunately, this may be a reality for many people. Once, on the London suburb bus,I overheard two young mums talking about going back to work - 'Work wouldn't even cover my child care cost', 'Rent, Without HB I can't afford my rent and council tax'. 'School meals, uniform, prescriptions for long term illness all costs just add up'.

    £20k per year for child care, basically 80% of my nurse-wife take home pay. If parents could afford children, we wouldn't need immigrants to cover the falling population.

    The Polish government has started paying £100 per child per month benifit, a fortune it can barely afford (it probably the equivalent to £300 here). This is to reverse the demographic disaster of falling/ageing population that the UK also faces.

  5. Who knows but look at the "New Vendor Instructions" graph per page 3 of the report:

    http://www.rics.org/Global/6._WEB_%20June_2016_RICS_UK_Residential_Market_Survey_ri.pdf

    Sales in London are down 55% and the 3month moving average is the same, so prices have been falling at 55% for at least 3 months. New instructions down 60%. This is BEFORE Brixit.

    In SW11 sales in May 2015 were ~100 (yearly total 1300). In May 2016, sales of 22. Looking at the numbers I'd guess London has been in a crash since late 2015.

  6. the issue is that tax credits can't be stopped to eu arrivals without it seeming discrimatory and hence against the law (EU law as implemented in domestic law)

    Why on earth couldn't they just make working tax-credits and housing benefit part of a contributory based system I don't know - it would not be seen as discriminatory and only those eu workers who had the skills to earn enough so as to live in this country without free money would come. After a reasonable period of contributions they would qualify for job seeks allowance and the other benefits should they subsequently lose their job etc

    Probably because they wanted an excuse to leave the EU and remove the welfare state once they had.

    I would say that`s factually correct

    But the main issue for leave voters was free movement and yes theres nothing in the deal to say thats a guarantee but it would be beyond stupid for the Tories not to take this as their mandate ...and they have already acknowledged this is their main objective when it comes to exiting the EU ..still no guarantee though

    Lib Dems are proposing another vote, on the terms when we leave...... best of luck with that one

    They have a mandate to leave the EU, destroying the UK economy by losing access to the single market is not on it. I didn't vote Tory for them to destroy the country. If, by following the leave vote, they pursue policies that violate the electoral promises that got them elected, they will have a problem.

  7. ....it is ridiculous to suggest Germany in or out of the EU will not wish to trade with the UK.....they are welcome to trade with us if the EU exists or not in two years time...but so to are the rest of the world ....there is unlikely to be free movement in Europe in two years time..... :rolleyes:

    Without access to the single market, the EU will block passporting to the EU, there is no question of that. We'll lose £90 billion of our exports and a huge tax take.

    The repeated assertion that 'Germany will still 'want to trade with us' is ******, The UK will not be able to do business in the EU, period.

  8. The Government have an explicit mandate now to end free movement as per the referendum result.

    Tough luck, the referendum was to leave the EU, nothing, absolutely nothing else. You cannot add your personal list of requirements to the question.

    There was nothing about what happens after we leave or before, or even when.

    Parliament decides everything and a referendum doesn't override an election.

  9. I and 52% of the population are sincerely hoping the banksters pack up their computers and get lost, Frankfurt Ireland want them. Good riddance to the lying scum.

    They didn't do anything of the sort, they voted to leave the EU, not give up the entire budget of the NHS and wreck the economy.

    I`m with you on that one but i`m sad to say they will go nowhere the city of London offers way to much protection

    If they cannot legally operate they will have to move to the EU.

    £90 billions services will not be able to operate outside the EU so will HAVE to relocate from the UK.

    The UK will still buy German cars reguardless.

  10. As I said already, it's arbitrary. Why do you ONLY want to work and live with citizens who belong to a European (EU) state? You still didn't answer me why you arbitrarily draw a line between EU and non-EU citizens that you want to live and work with?

    I drew the line at members of the EU, becuase that is an organisation we are members of, and its has 28 states who have agreed on many things.

    You have a point, why should it be limited to the EU, the world or Britain. We should all be members of a world state with no countries, everyone should be equal and poverty should be eradicated. But thats ********, just like your post.

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