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campervanman

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About campervanman

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  1. campervanman

    Brexit

    Sterling recovers as Brexit fears recede. http://www.euroexchangeratenews.co.uk/pound-sterling-gbp-euro-eur-exchange-rate-soars-brexit-bets-drop-even-17710 Seems the markets think it's nearly over.
  2. campervanman

    Brexit Betting Vs Polls

    Well I have seen 14 world cups and I cannot ever remember England being favourites, even in 1966. Anyhow, it will soon be June 24th some people are on the pitch, they think it's all over, it is now. Another 30 years of hurt for the Brexiteers coming up.
  3. campervanman

    Brexit Betting Vs Polls

    Bruce, put your money on Brexit. A good hedge against Sterling collapse if it happens.
  4. campervanman

    Brexit

    If you believe that put your house deposit on Brexit then. You won't of course because you know that in a 2 horse race the bookies don't give you free money.
  5. campervanman

    Brexit

    Kinnock was never 5-1 on to win.
  6. campervanman

    Brexit The Movie The Original Version

    As a Remain supporter, I urge every voter to watch Brexit the movie.
  7. campervanman

    Brexit The Movie The Original Version

    Why the 1% are so excited about Brexit http://www.vice.com/en_uk/read/brexit-the-movie-review-sam-kriss-martin-durkin Good review.
  8. campervanman

    Brexit Betting Vs Polls

    Latest odds https://m.oddschecker.com/t/politics/british-politics/eu-referendum/referendum-on-eu-membership-result Remain now 1-5. It's in the bag.
  9. campervanman

    Brexit Betting Vs Polls

    When all the major arguments are lost there are aleays the cospiracy theories.
  10. campervanman

    Brexit

    Fujitsu warn of Brexit risk to investment http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36329178 Yet another overseas investor states the obvious.
  11. campervanman

    Brexit

    How the pro Brexit UK media is distorting the truth http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/may/19/inaccurate-pro-brexit-infacts-investigation-media-reports-eu-referendum
  12. Be more like Canada. Interesting and could work if the UK had the same land mass as Canada, a similar population to Canada and Canadian natural resources. As for Sterling, I got €1.42 before the possibility of Brexit became real. At the back end of last year the markets were signalling implied volatility of over 10% linked to Brexit. The USD/Sterling situation has been clouded by the expectations of rate rises in the US not being fulfilled. Most commentators view that 10% is a true measure of the Brexit risk on Sterling since 2015. If the UK would not be able to defend itself against a united Eurozone then why should anyone believe that an isolated UK could defend itself against any of the other similar sized trading blocs that the outers seem to think will give the UK everything it wants in trade deals? Better to remain as at least an associate member of the EU with the partial protection that offers than as a small and relatively insignificant economic entity that has very little in the way of resources and is vulnerable to being bullied by those countries it needs to supply it with the basics and those who it needs to keep it afloat financially.
  13. You must be mates with Arron Banks. Do you drink the same Champers as he does, the kind that costs an aberage UK workers monthly salary? Billionaire Banks like you thinks giving up a months salary is worth Brexit. Well he would say that wouldn't he. He wont be affected.
  14. That is another Leave campaign lie. The UK has been on the "winning"side 2466 times and on the "losing" side 72 times. Of the 2466 times, the UK will have had influence and input in how final regulations were drafted. Many of those 2466 that the UK will have agreed with were agreed by the UK because the UK had input prior to the vote that changed the final draft and met the needs of the UK. The leave campaign never mention the 2466 only the 72. https://fullfact.org/europe/eu-facts-behind-claims-uk-influence/ The argument that the UK does not have influence is false and based upon use of selective data that does not represent the full picture. Maybe one of the leavers could point out the sort of regulations that those 72 votes relate to. If not, here is an example of the type of EU regulations that UKIP and pro brexit tory mp's try to vote down: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/these-are-the-british-meps-who-voted-against-plans-to-crack-down-on-corporate-tax-evasion-a6982271.html
  15. Wrong. The risk of Brexit ( currently around 45% I believe) is priced into the exchange rate. The falls in Sterling since Brexit became a possibility have been around 10% which would indicate further falls of > 10% should Brexit occur.
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