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House Price Crash Forum

andrewwk

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Everything posted by andrewwk

  1. doesn't just have to be inflation. sudden loss of confidence in the uk resulting in a run on the pound could do it...
  2. depends who is leaving right? if it is loads of high skill people then bad, if it is min wage cohorts, not so bad...
  3. I thought the rule was, if it floats or [rude word, use your imagination], rent it.
  4. I am quite happy if the "super-rich" (how ever that is defined...) want to pay more tax. as long as I am not asked to.
  5. i guess if that is the case, then employers have had a year to figure which employees are in that category. no amount of presenteeism after lockdown will change that, so may as well grab as much wfh until such time as all our jobs move east.
  6. Actually what this suggests is that Taiwan (and basically TSMC) is the strategic asset. which is quite scary given China's intentions towards them.
  7. evolution has hardwired a desire to be part of the collective? much like a gamma chimp will probably still have loyalty to its clan (but on a way larger scale, of course)
  8. so you think that the university's response was proportionate? (and anyway, since when did saying Rule Britannia become a punishable offence?)
  9. Jingoistic nonsense or not, there is no way that she should have been treated that way.
  10. what about assorted roving bandits and other ne'er do wells, of whom there were no doubt many, even in that golden era of community cohesion?
  11. Probably just my 3rd world mentality, but I find it hard to imagine any time in, oh, the last 500 years where I would have left my home, containing all my possessions, unlocked for all and sundry to wander in at will (having said that, I have relatives (in-laws) who do precisely this...). I realise there is a tendency to view the past as paradise lost, but criminals and psychopaths have always been with us.
  12. On the face of it that guy was being super naive. I mean seriously, why would anyone just be giving away an asset worth tens of thousands of dollars?? But I guess there might be more to it than the article indicates.
  13. seems fairly obvious that they are going for some kind of stealth zero COVID strategy, right? Can't be upfront about this, because it probably means being locked down until well into the summer (back of the envelope calc, to get down to 50 cases per day from the current 13k, with a weekly drop of around 25%-30% would take around 4-5 months).
  14. remember reading an article in Dec that tried to work out the implied per coin valuation of the btc held by MS, based on its market cap (with some kind of assumption about value of the core business, I guess based on market cap before they started buying Bitcoin). The implied valuation was substantially above the btc to usd exchange at that time, so I guess there is a strong element of speculation here (and would go some way towards explaining the greater variance of MS daily moves?)
  15. UK doesn't have much choice, does it, with the worst infection track record in Europe and insufficient supply of the top-tier vaccine. Other countries like India etc, are in the same boat, and they too have to use inferior vaccines.
  16. No, several times higher. So given the marked flu reduction seen worlwide due to distancing and masks, it is a fair assumption that uncontained covid would yeild several fold more infections. The ICL 'do nothing' 500k death predition seems very plausible,we will never know for certain. Wrong, see e.g. https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/laninf/PIIS1473-3099(20)30484-9.pdf
  17. well then, silly old UK shouldn't have based its entire economy on real estate speculation, should it?
  18. never really been clear to me why a (fairly large) swath of the UK population are apparently allowed to live their lives quietly on benefits and that this seems to go unquestioned.
  19. to be fair, it comes from the Evans-Pritchard clown, who spouts all sorts of nonsensical gibberish...
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