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House Price Crash Forum


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Everything posted by kzb

  1. I was thinking a 40% mark up on the wholesale price was pretty generous in a competitive market. I still doubt the heat pump/ insulation retrofit payback time is far short of infinity even at say 3p a unit (which would be an acceptable price to me for electric heating without heat pump). The power infrastructure is going to need a massive upgrade in any case. There are all the EVs to charge up as well as domestic heating. Given that heatpumps are no good for hot water so that an immersion heater is required, I doubt there is a vast difference in the peak demand to be met with or without heat pumps. Storage heaters might be acceptable to many people as well if the electric was cheap enough. But all this time you have been promising us super abundant super power ! It was going to be so cheap because the price is constantly falling. Now you tell us it won't happen and it will be more expensive after all ?
  2. Can't change the light bulb myself on my microwave. Cheaper to get a new one than pay to have it replaced. Don't get me started on phones.
  3. Hang on, it wasn't CO2 that killed the dinosaurs. Those that survived the initial cataclysm died as a result of global cooling.
  4. The gauge data goes right up to the present day. It's not a measurement, it's a statistic. In the same way that RPI is a statistic, because what contributes to it changes with time. ...global sea level can fluctuate due to climate patterns such as El Ninos and La Ninos (the opposing phases of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation), which influence ocean temperature and global precipitation patterns. Nerem and his team used climate models to account for the volcanic effects and other datasets to determine the El Nino/La Nina effects, ultimately uncovering the underlying rate and acceleration of sea level rise over the last quarter century. Anyone with a decent scientific brain would have a good think about that last paragraph above. It also says: Others have used tide gauge data to measure sea level acceleration, but scientists have struggled to pull out other important details from tide-gauge data, such as changes in the last couple of decades due to more active ice sheet melt. https://climate.nasa.gov/news/2680/new-study-finds-sea-level-rise-accelerating/ BTW, NASA is a human construct staffed by humans. Need I mention the Hubble mirror? What was that Mars probe that crashed because NASA hadn't realised the difference between imperial and metric measurements? This is a contrarian forum. People on here believe the system and the news media are one machine to keep property prices high and the people poor. They are very sceptical of official stats as presented to them on the BBC et al. They don't believe in it all. Yet when that very same machine tells them they have to be poor because of climate change, many of them swallow it whole. I don't get it.
  5. Asteroid strikes and massive volcanic action are out of scope of climate models.
  6. That uses satellite data. I posted tidal gauge data, which shows little if any acceleration. You have got to make a judgement at the end of the day.
  7. So is it really the NOAA who is silly then?
  8. The planet has been both warmer and colder than it is now. Is the climate teetering on a knife edge of runaway heat death on one side and frozen solid on the other? As you say, this is very unlikely, because if true the world would long since have fallen off the knife edge on one side or the other.
  9. There is a discrepancy between satellite data and tidal gauge data. The discrepancy appears exactly at the date NASA replaced the previous satellites. Also, they add 0.3mm p.a. to the satellite series for "isostasy correction". This is intended to measure the ocean volume more accurately, but that is not the same thing as sea level. Anyhow, take your pick. Tidal gauges which are there on site, or something hundreds of miles up, trying to measure fractions of millimetres on a constantly varying surface.
  10. That has certainly happened in the recent past. A few thousand years ago, there was a huge meltwater lake on north America, held by an ice wall. When that wall collapsed the sea level increased by several metres in a few years. Nothing like that seems to be happening on Greenland though. All other potential sites are much smaller. I think we've already had most of the meltwater that we could, coming out the last glaciation. In fact, the worry seems to be more about the thermal expansion of the existing seawater. The reason I posted those plots is because people say sea level increase is accelerating. You can see for yourself there is no sign of this on the tidal gauge data.
  11. Do these people not know climate change is a global phenomenon? Anyhow what about all the Mexicans? Are they climate refugees as well?
  12. There's massive savings on the costs of employees recently: Working From Home. Reportedly costs £7.5k p.a. per person to provide office facilities. If you have three people time-sharing one desk there's a £5k saving right there. Who's getting it?
  13. The most common reason given is study. We actually don't know what is happening recently because no data has been collected since March 2020, due to Covid.
  14. No these projects would've been paid for while we were still contributing to the budget. The settlement also means we'll be paying for EU projects authorised before we left for years to come.
  15. Good, it's about time the boot was on the other foot. The corporations can afford it too. What we have to avoid in this country is giving in to vested interests wanting to import cheap labour. Freedom of movement by the back door, supported by the rejoiners.
  16. EU grants, paid for by you and me?
  17. 2nd reply to this: Great, so what are worrying about heat pumps for. If they can retail it to consumers at say 1.3p/kWh, that would be half the price of gas was the other year. We don't need to super-insulate our homes nor have heat pumps at a price like that. The electricity will be cheap enough to have an electric radiator in each room. In fact a heat pump would make little sense financially, because its installation, maintenance and depreciation costs would likely exceed the money saved on electricity at these prices. So you seem a little conflicted. You support trillion-pound property retrofits whilst also believing that electricity will be so cheap it makes no financial sense to undertake those same retrofits ?
  18. None of this means anything will get any better. Anyhow they are all promising to build houses and have a cordial working relationship with Europe. What we will get is a vicious war on the motorist and insane energy prices. No thanks.
  19. You've got the most rabid Green Party in power right now. I don't recall it being in their manifesto to this extent either. The proper Green Party could hardly be worse than this. I do accept you are right about the ConDem coalition, but it didn't stop tuition fees being put up to ridiculous levels.
  20. It's A BID. Like all private sector you win the bid, then worry about how to pay for it later. Wind power has doubled in price in the last 20 years. Look at that link I gave above, even the recent offshore wind sites to come online are more expensive, not cheaper. PV is no good for the grid in Britain without immense energy storage, which has not been costed in the bids. It's a false bid in a sense; they should have to bid prices based on keeping us supplied 24/7, not just when it suits them to sell it to us.
  21. And what difference will that make if they get in?
  22. So we won't have super-abundant super power ? We are not having electric at 1p/kWh ? OH no I was so looking forward to that.
  23. The very same countries that are building all the coal power plants. We make it clear in Glasgow they're not coming here if they build those plants. Pigs might fly as well.
  24. Even if true (and bear in mind much of our housing is many decades old), the question is what do we do about it now. We are stuck with the housing we have for many decades to come. We have got to think if the proposals are actually feasible given our current situation. It does not look like it is to me.
  25. Quite true, and that is one of the messages we should be giving at COP26. Another one is that Britain will not be badly affected by climate change. Many of us would welcome it being a couple of degrees warmer and we are at little risk of extensive bushfires. All we have to do is beef up our sea defences and flood management (e.g. much of the Netherlands is below sea level now, and it only costs them about a billion to stop it flooding). I saw something a while back that Britain would be some kind of haven compared to many countries. Therefore, our message should be, Britain has done its bit with emissions, and we'll continue to track what other G20 countries achieve. But the British people are not going to be impoverished just to make way for more Chinese and Indian emissions. We won't be handing over any money. If you lot want to carry on as you are, good luck and don't expect help when you are underwater. Your displaced people aren't coming here either. Let's get tough.
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