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White Craw

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  1. A FPR possibly greater than the actual prevalence of SARS-Cov-2 infection would have dire consequences for the need to self-isolate if for instance community testing on the Moon Shot scale ever happens.
  2. This is not correct. If FPR is 0.8%, as pointed out by Grayphil, 8 out of 1000 subjects who DO NOT have the condition tested for will return a positive result. This "netting out" concept is not valid for conditions having the prevalence of SARS-Cov-2 infection.
  3. Been about a little while but not mentioned widely. https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-testing-data-methodology/covid-19-testing-data-methodology-note Tests in the UK are carried out through a number of different routes: Pillar 1: swab testing in Public Health England (PHE) labs and NHS hospitals for those with a clinical need, and health and care workers Pillar 2: swab testing for the wider population, as set out in government guidance Pillar 3: serology testing to show if people have antibodies from having had COVID-19 Pillar 4: sero
  4. https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.21.108308v1 Article has evidence of infections with mild symptoms, and subjects seronegative at time of serology testing. Conversely, in mild cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection, S protein-specific serum IgA production was transient, delayed or even absent, accompanied by an S protein-specific serum IgG response that occurred late or remained negative.
  5. Actually irrelevant I think, but 28 August 2019 Balmoral Castle The Queen held a Council at 12.30 p.m.. There were present: the Rt. Hon. Jacob Rees-Mogg MP (Lord President), the Baroness Evans of Bowes (Leader of the House of Lords and Lord Privy Seal) and the Rt. Hon. Mark Spencer MP (Parliamentary Secretary to the Treasury and Chief Whip). Mr. Richard Tilbrook was in attendance as Clerk of the Council. The Rt. Hon. Jacob Rees-Mogg MP had an audience of Her Majesty before the Council.
  6. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acts_of_Union_1800 "parallel acts of the Parliament of Great Britain and the Parliament of Ireland which united the Kingdom of Great Britain and the Kingdom of Ireland (previously in personal union) to create the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Ireland"
  7. https://www.executiveoffice-ni.gov.uk/sites/default/files/publications/execoffice/Letter to PM from FM %26 dFM.pdf This was the joint position on Brexit of Foster and McGuinness as First Minister and Deputy First Minister in August. Nothing I've read in the last few days suggests the DUP stance now is greatly different to the soft position outlined then. Won't go down well with many Conservative MPs!
  8. Confidence and supply. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2017-40236152
  9. AFAIK after 2 rounds of voting by MPs May was the only candidate left and became leader-elect well before September, there being no need for a membership vote?
  10. I don't think Ruth has the political maturity or experience (yet?). A few weeks ago she had her own embarrassing u-turn (prescription charges) http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-39913881 Her pre-emptive jumping in with both feet on the supposed DUP/LGBT question could be seen as a strange sense of priorities on which to urgently approach the PM the morning after the GE http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-40229826 Hard to see how she could become a UK MP, and I don't think her Brexit priorities are any more likely to unite the Conserva
  11. In Scotland there are seats where large SNP majorities from 2015 over Labour were down to SNP holds with majorities under 100 (Glasgow SW, Glasgow E) and many more SNP/Lab contests where the SNP held on this week are now marginal. Similar stories where C or LD were/are challengers to the SNP. So in Scotland, Labour (as with the other "unionist" parties) must fancy their chances of more gains at the next GE. But even if Labour in Scotland did well in their new targets in a future GE and held their gains made this week, it wouldn't be nearly enough to get them over the line at Westmins
  12. A third General Election count in Kensington will begin this evening, authorities have said. The Royal Borough of Kensington and Chelsea said the recount would take place at 6pm. http://www.itv.com/news/london/2017-06-09/third-kensington-election-count-taking-place-tonight/
  13. Damian will be expecting to leave much more than £100,000. Also, if he is unfortunate enough to need care in the future, his retirement INCOME will likely cover his fees.
  14. Too sensible, go to the back of the class! Of course, it doesn't take too long to work out who wouldn't like this approach.
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