

moonriver
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Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?
moonriver replied to LetsBuild's topic in House prices and the economy
So the UK has 1820 new deaths today. Out of this.... Northern Ireland had 22 deaths today.. https://www.belfastlive.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-northern-ireland-22-further-19663656 Scotland had 92 deaths today... https://www.gov.scot/publications/coronavirus-covid-19-daily-data-for-scotland/ Wales had 44 deaths today... https://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/coronavirus-infection-rates-cases-wales-19662688 Not sure of the figures, but even taking into account population, isn't a death rate of 1662 for England very high compared to the others? -
GOV: UK House Price Index for November 2020
moonriver replied to Notting Hell's topic in House prices and the economy
so much seems to be rigged now. -
GOV: UK House Price Index for November 2020
moonriver replied to Notting Hell's topic in House prices and the economy
Too true! I see inflation came in higher than expected, https://www.poundsterlingforecast.com/2021/01/gbp-to-eur-higher-as-uk-inflation-picks-up/ but I am guessing it has a long, long way to go if it is going to affect mortgage rates? -
GOV: UK House Price Index for November 2020
moonriver replied to Notting Hell's topic in House prices and the economy
It's a shame not all workers have had a 7.6% annual wage rise to match this. -
Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?
moonriver replied to LetsBuild's topic in House prices and the economy
Its about time this government were more cautious. I'd be mad if I'd consented to taking the 1st dose on the agreement that the 2nd dose would be given within the timeline of 21 days, as per the trial study of the vaccine supplier. Then the government decided to delay it, and my 2nd appointment then cancelled. (as we have heard has been happening). As already mentioned on here, the government may even mix and max vaccines, again not recommended by their trial study. Does anyone know if the UK is the only country doing this? -
Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?
moonriver replied to LetsBuild's topic in House prices and the economy
Agree, this is horrifying and incredibly scary as to where it is heading? It is also covered in the Daily Mail. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9159525/As-bodies-pile-Germanys-eastern-COVID-hot-spots-struggle-answers.html "Meanwhile the eastern state of Saxony has confirmed plans to hold quarantine-flouters in a fenced-off section of a refugee camp set to be build next week. Baden-Württemberg in south-west Germany will use two hospital rooms to detain repeat offenders, who will be guarded by police. In Brandenburg, authorities will detain a section of a refuge -
Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?
moonriver replied to LetsBuild's topic in House prices and the economy
Yes, I'd be interested in seeing a copy of one of the consent forms. I am guessing they don't forward a copy of this consent form with the appointment letters for patients to read beforehand? -
Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?
moonriver replied to LetsBuild's topic in House prices and the economy
Thank you for this Arpeggio and also the interesting leaflet from AstraZeneca. Do you know if people taking these vaccines have to sign a special consent form before receiving it? And if so, any idea whats in it and are they sent it with their appointment or left to read it when they arrive for their appointments? I have heard some don't even know which type of vaccine they are getting until they arrive for their appointment though. -
Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?
moonriver replied to LetsBuild's topic in House prices and the economy
And that is a big "if".....and it looks like the UK are lining up big problems with this. Professor Beate Kampmann, Director of Vaccine Centre from the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, was on ITV "This Morning" today. She raised the importance of the 2nd dose and the timing of it and pointed out it is important to follow trial study's findings and recommendations. She also did not approve of mixing and matching vaccines (I wonder if UK will go down that path?) and she criticised how vaccine numbers are being presented. From her twittter...Beate Kampmann @Beat -
Thank you for that very interesting and well explained article. What a massive increase in freight costs. As Timm says, could this mean inflation takes off, and a lot more and quicker than we anticipated?
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Rishi throwing around some more plans to see the reaction? eg rise taxes but extend Stamp Duty holiday? Sunday Times piece taken from Henry Pryor's link on twitter....Henry Pryor writes..... “Dear@RishiSunak, Please don’t fly yet another policy kite. Either extend the Stamp Duty holiday or confirm you are not. Don’t think about doing it or the market grinds to a halt while we wait for you to make up your mind. Thank you."
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Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?
moonriver replied to LetsBuild's topic in House prices and the economy
Bloomberg have now updated Norway figures... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-16/norway-vaccine-fatalities-among-people-75-and-older-rise-to-29 ....Death count raised, age threshold lowered from initial report. (to 75)...Country suggests vaccines may be too risky for the elderly... And in Germany.... https://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/german-specialists-probing-10-deaths-of-people-vaccinated-against-covid-19-121011500088_1.html Specialists from Germany's Paul Ehrlich Institute are looking into the deaths of 10 people who passed awa -
Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?
moonriver replied to LetsBuild's topic in House prices and the economy
Exactly, so far they have found no end date to this natural immunity from previous covid sufferers, because they can only report on the study time they have been able to do. This article I have previously linked to mentions a study of 8 months, so this study shows immunity of 8 months. Therefore perhaps natural immunity could be indefinite? It looks like only continued studies, as time goes on, can prove that. https://www.biospace.com/article/new-study-shows-covid-19-immunity-can-last-at-least-eight-months-after-infection/ -
Coronavirus - potential Black Swan?
moonriver replied to LetsBuild's topic in House prices and the economy
So another case of the government not listening to the scientists? Why inject on a mass level when not necessary, with this high natural immunity from previous infections now being shown for the whole period studied so far? (currently up to 8 months) And it looks like, as usual, lots of money has been wasted.