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dances with sheeple

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Posts posted by dances with sheeple

  1. 1 hour ago, zugzwang said:

     

    Alternative scenario: the economy flatlines after a couple of tiny hikes and we get a run on sterling.

    Can you imagine? The economy mired in a stagflationary recession even though the govt is borrowing >10% of GDP every year?

    It's almost incomprehensible that we've got to this point but we have.

     

    A run on the currency would be absolutely mental after all the plate spinning they have done! How high would rates have to go in that scenario I wonder?

  2. 5 hours ago, Bruce Banner said:

     

    “Why of course the people don't want war. Why should some poor slob on a farm want to risk his life in a war when the best he can get out of it is to come back to his farm in one piece? Naturally the common people don't want war: neither in Russia, nor in England, nor for that matter in Germany. That is understood. But after all it is the leaders of a country who determine the policy and it is always a simple matter to drag the people along, whether it is a democracy or fascist dictatorship, or a parliament or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked, and denounce the peace makers for lack of patriotism and exposing the country to danger. It works the same in any country.”

    Hermann Göring

    Didn`t really work out too well for Hermann in the end though?

  3. 7 minutes ago, Confusion of VIs said:

     

    LOL I take it you get your information from dedicated reading of the Daily Express. Reality is somewhat different.

     

    PG_2020.11.17_EU_0-01.png?w=620

     

     

    NB Today's Daily Mail published their own poll of how popular Brexit is. Embarrassingly only 36% would vote to leave if their was another vote tomorrow.

    The poll was buried a long way down in their website and now seems to have disappeared.   

     

    Sure, but they said all that before we voted to leave as well. Your idea of what "reality" is seems slightly skewed, we have left, the EU backed polls are chip paper.

  4. 5 minutes ago, pig said:

    No I mean he isn't going to make vaccination compulsory, but I wouldn't bet against him about to screw this all up all over again.

    Was watching the footy tonight. Non-english fans wearing masks. I'm wondering what will happen if he brings in his 'Plan B' too late.

    They already screwed up by leaving lockdown too early IMO, it was all done to try and get people out mad spending again but they should have done it much more slowly I think, and been crystal clear that full lockdown can come back if required instead of trumpeting about  Freedom Day etc. What they will get now if they try to lockdown is people refusing to do it and protesting and getting rowdy when pubs and other businesses are told to shut.

  5. On 01/08/2021 at 09:09, winkie said:

     

    That is not security....all insecure together.

    A gym, a concierge is not a reason to buy, forever increasing service charges/wages/costs, unable to cancel the gym, obliged to keep it, want it or not got to pay for it....I can't see how a leasehold flat has any special ability to find anyone a partner..

    Think of the thousands of people with homes here and overseas that are paying huge monthly service charges that are unable to visit or use the facilities they are paying for...... totally out of their control.;)

    I agree, but people fell for the "get on the ladder" "executive/modern living" B.S. more fool them as you say.

  6. 5 minutes ago, pig said:

    Aint gonna happen.

    But what happens if we end up in another Lockdown lol ?  While the rest of Europe stays open ?

    What, he ain`t going to be elected again? The chances of the rest of Europe being open if we lockdown is slim with travel and nightclubs etc. getting back to full swing don`t you think, or are they magically protected because they didn`t vote for Brexit? LOL. (probably more than half of Europe would vote to break up the EU if given the chance though?)

  7. 3 minutes ago, Arpeggio said:

    Remember when they stopped AZ completely back in April?; AstraZeneca vaccine: Denmark stops rollout completely

    She's the one who ignored the CDC panel; https://www.nytimes.com/2021/09/24/world/covid-boosters-vaccine-cdc-director.html

     

    Sorry to disagree, as much as I agree with much else that you say, but if you think these are actually concerns for them then I don't think you are getting what this is really about and where they want this to go. The 6 month act has been extended another 6 months and Boris and co aren't exactly looking too ruffled by that development of "democracy."

    Maybe, but that could be seen as prudent measures to "safeguard public health", that is actually going to pick up votes, the point I was responding to was about "forcible vaccination", if the police can`t control the streets of London and other major cities in normal times, and people were obviously flouting lockdown rules in large numbers at various times recently, how do you see this being rolled out?

  8. 23 hours ago, Timm said:

    Please correct me if I am wrong with the statements below:

    A bailout of Evergrande would be an inflationary event. 

    The failure of Evergrande would be a deflationary event.

    A bailout would be followed by a crackdown on leverage by the Chinese Government, which would be deflationary

    The failure could lead to a wider credit crunch which would be deflationary......

  9. 1 hour ago, Bruce Banner said:

    If vaccination were to be made a legal requirement, ultimately the only way it could be enforced would be by strapping people to gurneys and forcibly injecting them. I think that would backfire spectacularly and hasten the demise of any government that was idiotic enough to mandate it.

    Yep, BJ would recoil from that straight away, he just wants to be elected.

  10. 4 minutes ago, anonguest said:

    The media, and what passes for investigative journalism these days, more often than not doesn't know 'the full details' on a story before not only publishing but pontificating on and offering their opinions, etc.   So why would this incident/event be expected to be any different?

    Because it provided an opportunity to slot in a statement that helps pull back from the previous, obviously now untenable, stance on vaccines/freedom passes etc. I predicted this would be happening all over the media some time ago.

  11. 4 hours ago, Bluestone59 said:

    My last visit was 31 years 4 months ago. Unless you count my attempt to register with a GP when I moved to another area. 

    Reception told me they didn't have to accept me. I decided I didn't have to sign up with them.

    At my age I'm getting advice to get on board, unsurprisingly. 

    Though I'm no fan of Dr Vernon Coleman he has a point when he says surgeries and hospitals are potentially highly dangerous locales. Stay away if possible.

    Yep, ideally you only want to go near if you are carried in unconscious, and make sure you get away as soon as possible. My last visit would be about 24 years ago and that was for a brief medical relating to a job application

  12. 7 hours ago, winkie said:

    First was that wages were a lot higher in the UK......what could be earned in say London from city bonuses and people with cash to burn could go further in home country, the exchange rate good once, so worth earning pounds....other countries would more likely employ their own rather than a foreigner including the British.....there was no competitive advantage.;)

    Still plenty of people who want to be here, I have spoken to EU nationals recently who are absolutely furious at Brexit and the end of FOM  (they are too young to know that people moved about in Europe before the EU and Android phones of course, LOL)

  13. 3 hours ago, Timm said:

    They are very significant and unusual daily moves.

    I am very very far from being an expert, and I had been hoping someone better qualified would be along to provide some educated comment / narrative.

    The general consensus view seems to be that the markets have suddenly decided that inflation (and therefore interest rates) are about to be reported as much higher in the UK than expected. This could be because the expected CPI figure of 4.1 is going to come out a lot higher than forecast. The next CPI figure comes out this Wednesday, so a leak is possible. 

    The other possibility is that somebody (or some people) needs a lot of money fast and is selling bonds in a hurry. That does not seem to be the view of most market commentators.

    China?

  14. 1 minute ago, winkie said:

    ........there are jobs, there are roads, there are trains, there is connection......first things first..... infastructure......good infastructure at a reasonable price encourages people.......people need people, they feed from each other.

    People need to earn enough to live......who wants to live in a place with growing inequality, where poor areas and wealthy areas live alongside and one looks down to the other as if they have deserved what they have got......An area of deprivation and low investment, a shit life with little hope........that doesn't make for a cohesive contented society.;)

    Yes, but what people actually did during FOM doesn`t back up what you said about EU destinations that are off the beaten track to many people?

  15. 4 minutes ago, highcontrast said:

    I wondered about this, they need to up the interest rate but they don't want to appear to be the Christmas Grinch and raise them in December just before  everyone spends on excess food,drink, partying and presents. Perhaps if they do it in November they hope people will have short memories and still spend like crazy in December?

    Damned if they do, damned if they don't 😄

    There will be a lockdown in December probably and they are going to have to raise them anyway, the people who matter will be as well positioned as they can be, but there is going to be fallout for residential and commercial property sadly, the real players don`t care about some Doughnut in Wakefield or Preston with 6 BTL`s although the commercial rent damage might hurt them a bit.

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