Latest: House Price Crash News

Monday, Aug 20 2018 Add a News Blog Article

Prices now slightly less over inflated

Zero Hedge: London House Prices Fall At Fastest Rate Since Height Of Financial Crisis

- London house prices fall at the fastest annual rate since height of the financial crisis - London house prices fall in 5th month in row, worst falls since 2009 - London rents dropped at the fastest rate in eight years - ONS - Brexit, London property slump put brake on UK house price growth - Consumer spending declined in July as inflation increased

Posted by khards @ 04:14 PM 2 Comments

Corbyn or HPC ?

Politics Home: Tory minister says build houses on greenbelt or risk Jeremy Corbyn as Prime Minister

"Chief Secretary to the Treasury Liz Truss blasted “nimbys in Britain” and called for a major overhaul of UK planning laws. But she was attacked by a Conservative colleague who said the party would face an electoral “catastrophe” if it fails to protect the greenbelt. Theresa May has vowed to fix the broken housing market." Good job we have a strong Prime Minister on the case then.

Posted by quiet guy @ 06:33 PM 2 Comments

Lies, damned lies, and statistics

Telegraph: Why you shouldn't pay attention to house price indices

"Pryor dismisses some indices entirely, including one from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (“the views of 250 people and what their guts tell them”) and those produced by mortgage lenders Halifax and Nationwide (“they’re just kindling”)."

Posted by wdbeast @ 12:24 PM 1 Comments

Fergie:

Kent Online: Landlord Fergus Wilson hikes rent within minutes of interest rate rise

Everyone's favorite Toryshire parasite does it again. A 0.25% base rate increase = 3.3% increase on a £1500/pcm rental. And as you'd expect the comments are excellent.

Posted by landofconfusion @ 02:25 PM 8 Comments

Interest rate rise not tightening

BBC: Bank of England raises UK interest rates

I am pretty sure that the original plan was to retire QE first before raising rates, as otherwise it might appear that the BoE has printed money and to cover inflation raised borrowing costs for everybody else. That aside, usually for each debtor there is a creditor, in the case of QE (10 thousand apiece), there is no debtor. The money has been printed, any interest on gilts being a BoE profit is promptly remitted back to the UK government. So who is the payer of the additional interest on the fresh deposits created by QE? It seems nobody. So its hard to see how rates on savings can increase. So the wonderful BoE has increased borrowing costs but without increasing saving rates, the stick but not the carrot.

Posted by stillthinking @ 12:39 PM 1 Comments

Warning of the risks of buy to let incorporation

City Tax Direct: CONSIDERATIONS FOR BUY TO LET INCORPORATION

A detailed look at the issues buy to let landlords need to consider when contemplating moving a rental property business into a limited company structure.

Posted by andrew pelis @ 03:30 PM 0 Comments

Borrowing subsidy

Evening Standard: Playing too safe on pensions is costing companies

Unusually excellent article from london standard. Points out that returns on stocks are 7% but for gilts slightly negative in real terms, but that pensions are forced to calculate on known returns. There are no guaranteed equity returns so they are forced into gilts. My view is that pension funds are forced to provide free loans to government. Anyway, -if- pensioners every manage to do anything about being fleeced (which they have known about for ages without doing anything, in fact legislation to force lending to gov. is worse) then borrowing costs would be going up, and a lot. What is also interesting is that you might think stocks have gone up a lot because of QE, but they would have gone even further with pension purchases.

Posted by stillthinking @ 12:27 PM 4 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average house price Monthly change (%) Annual change (%) Archive / Graph Peak average house price Change since peak (%) Official releases
LSL Property Services & Acadametrics (England and Wales) Jun 18 £303,960 0.20 2.10 Cross£305,654
(May 18)
0.5516/07/2018 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Jun 18 £225,654 0.30 1.80 Tick£227,871
(Mar 18)
0.9706/07/2018 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Jul 18 £310,577 0.10 1.30 Cross N/A N/A 12/07/2018 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey May 18 £217,400 0.00 4.30 Cross N/A N/A 29/06/2018
Land Registry Monthly Report Apr 18 £226,906 1.20 3.90 TickThis monthN/A13/06/2018 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Jun 18 £215,444 0.50 2.00 TickThis monthN/A01/06/2018 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index July 18 £309,191 0.10 1.40 Tick£317,281
(May 17)
2.5516/07/2018 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Land Registry Monthly Report Apr 18 £484,584 2.40 N/A 1.00 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
8.6413/06/2018 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q2 18 £468,845 N/A 2.30 1.90 Cross£478,782
(Q1 17)
2.0801/06/2018 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index July 18 £628,458 0.50 N/A 1.70 Tick£649,864
(May 17)
3.2916/07/2018 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive