Latest: House Price Crash News

Wednesday, Jul 8 2020 Add a News Blog Article

Front running the government

Torygraph: Stamp Duty holiday to kickstart economy to be unveiled by Chancellor

I think i said on some article i posted and i know people here are on this site for over a decade because of interest in economics, but actually, its true. The only thing you can do is front run the government because the whole thing, the entirety, is administered. House prices clearly looking squeaky, so government is intervening on pricing. Is this a market?

Posted by stillthinking @ 11:52 PM 0 Comments

5,271,100,000 pounds of outstanding debt as of 31-Dec-2019

Yahoo Finance: Intu properties plc Balance Sheet

The biggest figure is 4,585,600,000 (4.5 Billion) of long term debt. Any ideas who is holding this debt and not getting paid?

Posted by deepak @ 09:40 PM 1 Comments

CMBS blowing up

Wolf Street: Mall and Hotel Loans Are Blowing up Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities

If you though CDO, MBS securities were dead and part of 2008 crash. Think again. But not as they Commercial MBS are not paying as the rents are not being paid, Who is not getting paid? What I'm looking for what is the next debt fueled domino to fall? Who is the next one who took debt and bought these securities and now can't pay up

Posted by deepak @ 09:30 PM 0 Comments

On a seasonally adjusted basis, house prices in June were 3.2% lower than in April.

Nationwide: Annual house price growth grinds to a halt in June as the impact of the pandemic filters through

Given the BBC misreporting on this, documented below, for balance here are the correct headline stats. House prices continue to fall, more than paying for my rent in the last two months assuming I eventually buy. No figures are provided for MOM by region so we don;t know NW's estimate how MOM has panned out in England, Scotland Wales and N Ireland separately.

Posted by nickb @ 01:35 PM 0 Comments

House prices down for the first time in 8 years

BBC News: House prices "fall for the first time in 8 years

Nationwide figures show yearly decline. The second half of 2020 is going to be steal test... You don't say!

Posted by magnifico @ 09:54 AM 15 Comments

Crazy measures of productivity

London School Economics: Manufacturing matters for the UK economy

Not strictly about house prices but I put here because incredibly, on the output per hour worked, the most "productive" sector in the UK economy, and its an amazing 3x the next most productive, is real estate activity. The most productive part of the UK economy is selling properties amidst ourselves.

Posted by stillthinking @ 01:17 AM 8 Comments

Less credit availability just is lower house prices

This is Money: Banks risk a mortgage credit crunch as 90% of small deposit home loans are axed in lockdown

posted in the forum. stats documenting vanishing high LTV mortgage products.should feed through pretty directly to prices, no?

Posted by nickb @ 05:26 PM 1 Comments

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real house price trend graph

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Simple really. Your not making a strong argument to actually buy. Just what yo...

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Stamp duty holiday for 6 months for properties up to £500K
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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average house price Monthly change (%) Annual change (%) Archive / Graph Peak average house price Change since peak (%) Official releases
LSL Property Services & Acadametrics (England and Wales) Jun 18 £303,960 0.20 2.10 Cross£305,654
(May 18)
0.5516/07/2018 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Jun 18 £225,654 0.30 1.80 Tick£227,871
(Mar 18)
0.9706/07/2018 (PDF) (England and Wales) Jul 18 £310,577 0.10 1.30 Cross N/A N/A 12/07/2018 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey May 18 £217,400 0.00 4.30 Cross N/A N/A 29/06/2018
Land Registry Monthly Report Apr 18 £226,906 1.20 3.90 TickThis monthN/A13/06/2018 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Jun 18 £215,444 0.50 2.00 TickThis monthN/A01/06/2018 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index July 18 £309,191 0.10 1.40 Tick£317,281
(May 17)
2.5516/07/2018 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
change (%)
change (%)
Annual change
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Land Registry Monthly Report Apr 18 £484,584 2.40 N/A 1.00 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
8.6413/06/2018 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q2 18 £468,845 N/A 2.30 1.90 Cross£478,782
(Q1 17)
2.0801/06/2018 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index July 18 £628,458 0.50 N/A 1.70 Tick£649,864
(May 17)
3.2916/07/2018 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive