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Data PointLatest Reading1 m/o change3 m/o change12 m/o change
Mortgage Approvals49,444-5161-120-13,735
5yr Fixed Mortgage Rate 5.710.761.542.28
M4 Growth (%)-8.30.50.9-2.2
GFK Index-255219
Avg Real Weekly Earnings (£)515475
Score11-1

Latest: House Price Crash News

Wednesday, Dec 6 2023 Add a News Blog Article

London is in negative territory (-0.8%) YoY

MoM sold prices down

On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average UK house price decreased by 0.5% in July 2023, following a month-on-month increase of 0.7% in June 2023.

Posted by Data Dave @ 01:30 PM 1 Comments

Represents annual fall of c£14,600 on a typical home

"August sees further weakness in house prices"

“August saw a further softening in the annual rate of house price growth to -5.3%, from -3.8% in July, the weakest rate since July 2009. Prices fell by 0.8% over the month, after taking account of seasonal effects. “The softening is not surprising, given the extent of the rise in borrowing costs in recent months, which has resulted in activity in the housing market running well below pre-pandemic levels.

Posted by Data Dave @ 09:20 AM 0 Comments

Further falls in house prices

Halifax HPI July '23

“Expectations of further Base Rate increases from the Bank of England were tempered by a better-than expected inflation report for June. However, while there have been recent signs of borrowing costs stabilising or even falling, they will likely remain much higher than homeowners have become used to over the last decade."

Posted by Data Dave @ 03:40 PM 0 Comments

BOE report

Bank Rate increased to 5.25%

At its meeting ending on 2 August 2023, the MPC voted by a majority of 6–3 to increase Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points, to 5.25%. Two members preferred to increase Bank Rate by 0.5 percentage points, to 5.5%, and one member preferred to maintain Bank Rate at 5%.

Posted by Old Man George @ 07:26 AM 0 Comments

House prices further into negative territory

Nationwide HPI Jul 2023

Headlines: Monthly Index: 517.8 Monthly Change: -0.2% Annual Change: -3.8% Average Price (not seasonally adjusted) £260,828

Posted by Data Dave @ 10:08 AM 0 Comments

No spring bounce in May ’23

Latest Land Registry Sold Prices

House prices fall 0.4% MoM when seasonally adjusted. (0.00% non S.A). London falling 1.2% MoM.

Posted by Old Man George @ 01:53 PM 1 Comments

UK Property Market Leading Indicators

Youtube video

YouTube video showing lending falling but mortgage spreads are low.

Posted by L.T @ 10:03 AM 0 Comments

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Real House Prices

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UK House Prices Graph

The UK average house price is now £291,385

  • As of Sep 2023 the UK Average House Price is £291,385
  • The House Price Index [HPI] now currently stands at 152.8
  • Property prices have fallen by 0.50% when compared to the same month last year and have decreased 0.10% when compared to the previous month.

Source: Land Registry

UK Average House Prices

UK House Price Index

Source website Period covered Average house price Monthly change (%) Annual change (%) Official releases
e.serv (prev LSL Acadata HPI) (England and Wales) Oct 23 £362,777   0.40   4.10 Oct 2023
Halifax House Price Index Oct 23 £281,974   1.10   3.20 Oct 2023
Office for National Statistics [O.N.S] Sep 23 £291,000   0.50   0.10 Sep 2023
Zoopla / Hometrack Nov 23 £264,600   0.08   1.20 Nov 2023
HM Land Registry UK HPI Sep 23 £291,385   0.50   0.10 Sep 2023
Nationwide House Price Index Nov 23 £258,557   0.20   2.00 Nov 2023
Rightmove ‘Asking’ Price Index Nov 23 £362,143   1.70   1.30 Nov 2023

 

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you’d like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
SP Rating SP Rating Photo of David Orr 2022 Overvalued by 50% UK Not Stated Tick
”SP Rating has stated that London and the South East of England is overvalued by 50%. They further the statement by saying the rest of the UK is overvalued by 20%”

 

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