Latest: House Price Crash News

Wednesday, Feb 19 2020 Add a News Blog Article

Increasing economic strength + artificially low interest rates = ?

Moneyweek: Is the jump in house prices just a Brexit bounce, or is it more durable?

Moneyweek's John Stepek looks at the latest house price indices and argues that, with increasing economic strength, lots of competition between banks & interest rates being kept low is it any surprise at all that house prices are rising?

Posted by landofconfusion @ 12:54 PM 0 Comments

Nothing to see here

ONS: Index of Private Housing Rental Prices, UK: November 2019

Another check in to see if the much promised retaliation for Section 24, tenant fees ban, etc is materialising. No reply from ARLA about why the figures are wrong or if the are right, when the now pent up price increases are going to burst through.

Posted by mombers @ 09:10 AM 3 Comments

Misallocation of capital

Torygraph: Low interest rates can cause a baby boom, Bank of England suggests

BoE suggests that artificially low interest rates, typically associated with misallocations of capital culiminating in recessions as grand plans exceed real savings, points out that their artificially low interest rates -may- cause a baby boom in the UK! As couples may misunderstand how much capital is available for their additional child presumably and then no .. sell that empty mall mum! No mention sadly of couples forgoing additional children because they can't afford somewhere to live with them. Sensibly Torygraph kept the comments turned off.

Posted by stillthinking @ 08:32 AM 3 Comments

An independent report has found

BBC news: Builder Persimmon lacks minimum house standards, report finds

The UK's second biggest housing firm does not have an agreed minimum standard for all the homes it builds, an independent report has found. When the government makes a policy to throw money at a sector, should it not add checks and balances in place ?

Posted by deepak @ 05:31 PM 3 Comments

Generational property cascade runs into student debt

WSJ: OK Boomer, Who’s Going to Buy Your 21 Million Homes?

I wonder if this effect will be present in the UK, but you could also put this in the same box as those speculating that the global debt ponzi will fall in on itself because eventually we are all saturated with debt etc etc. House prices in the UK are different because they are ultimately always underpinned by housing benefit (unless we run out of claimants )

Posted by stillthinking @ 09:04 AM 2 Comments

When it is locked, how do you en-cash it?

BBC: Investors rush to pull millions from UK property funds

Its not the first fund, but seems the like dominoes are starting to fall. The numbers are not small and are in the billions

Posted by deepak @ 08:35 PM 2 Comments

UK's biggest commercial property fund

BBC news: UK's biggest commercial property fund suspended

Investors in the UK's biggest commercial property fund - worth £2.5bn - have been temporarily prevented from taking out their money.

Posted by tep @ 07:07 PM 0 Comments

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House Price Statistics - UK National

Source website Period covered Average house price Monthly change (%) Annual change (%) Archive / Graph Peak average house price Change since peak (%) Official releases
LSL Property Services & Acadametrics (England and Wales) Jun 18 £303,960 0.20 2.10 Cross£305,654
(May 18)
0.5516/07/2018 (PDF)
Halifax House Price Index Jun 18 £225,654 0.30 1.80 Tick£227,871
(Mar 18)
0.9706/07/2018 (PDF)
Home.co.uk (England and Wales) Jul 18 £310,577 0.10 1.30 Cross N/A N/A 12/07/2018 (PDF)
Hometrack - Monthly National Survey May 18 £217,400 0.00 4.30 Cross N/A N/A 29/06/2018
Land Registry Monthly Report Apr 18 £226,906 1.20 3.90 TickThis monthN/A13/06/2018 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Jun 18 £215,444 0.50 2.00 TickThis monthN/A01/06/2018 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index July 18 £309,191 0.10 1.40 Tick£317,281
(May 17)
2.5516/07/2018 (PDF)

House Price Statistics - Greater London

Source website Period covered Average
house price
Monthly
change (%)
Quarterly
change (%)
Annual change
(%)
Archive /Graph Peak average
house price
Change since
peak (%)
Official releases
Land Registry Monthly Report Apr 18 £484,584 2.40 N/A 1.00 Tick£530,409
(Jan 16)
8.6413/06/2018 (PDF)
Nationwide House Price Index Q2 18 £468,845 N/A 2.30 1.90 Cross£478,782
(Q1 17)
2.0801/06/2018 (PDF)
Rightmove House Price Index July 18 £628,458 0.50 N/A 1.70 Tick£649,864
(May 17)
3.2916/07/2018 (PDF)

Archive of old house price surveys

House Price Predictions

If you have discovered other or revised predictions that you'd like added to this list then send an email to us with all the information for each column and also a link to a website that contains the information so that we can verify the data.

This table is now sorted by the date that the prediction was made.

Source website Analyst Photo Date prediction made Amount predicted Region Time Period Evidence Notes
National Housing FederationDavid OrrPhoto of David OrrDec 2013 35%UK2013-2020Tick
House prices will increase by another 35% by 2020, leaving a huge swathe of the population locked out of home ownership for life.

Predictions archive