Monday, Mar 29, 2010
Fears that the surfeit of US government debt is starting to saturate bond markets.
Telegraph: Sell-off in US Treasuries raises sovereign debt fears
Mr Rosenberg said the yield spike recalls the move in the spring of 2007 just as the credit system started to unravel. "The question is how the equity market is going to handle this back-up in rates," he said.
Posted by mark @ 01:12 PM (558 views) Add Comment
2 Comments
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1. mountain goat said...
"The rise in US bond yields has set off mayhem in the 10-year US swaps markets. Spreads turned negative last week, touching the lowest level in 20 years. "
Have a look here for some ZeroHedge speculation on what this means: More Than Meets The Bottom Line: Are Banks Getting Crushed Due To Negative Swap Spreads And The $154 Trillion IR-Derivative Market?
2. Missedtheboat said...
The ZeroHedge speculation is uninteresting.
The P&L swings of IR swaps are generally cash settled on a daily basis, otherwise the positions get closed. This is a safety mechanism.
For everyone that lost money, someone else made money in the derivatives market. This is profoundly different to collapsing asset prices which leave asset price deflation to punish all participants equally.